Everton vs Arsenal prediction
Declan Rice in action for Arsenal - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Draw

Everton are the drawn specialists in the Premier League this season with 13 of their 30 games ending in stalemates.

Only Alex Ferguson (27) and Arsène Wenger (15) have been named Premier League manager of the month more times than David Moyes (11), but since winning the award for March the Toffees have lost the Merseyside Derby and now face another tough test on Saturday at home against Arsenal.

Everton vs Arsenal prediction: Will these two sides cancel one another out again?

Key Stats

  • Arsenal have played out ten draws so far this season, six of which have arrived away from the Emirates.
  • 60% of Everton's league games this season have produced under 2.5 goals.
  • 73% of Arsenal's away trips in the Premier League this season have witnessed fewer than three goals.

Correct score prediction: Everton 1-1 Arsenal

The Toffees score an average of 1.40 goals per home game and concede an average of 1.20 goals, while the Gunners score an average of 1.67 goals on their travel and only concede an average of 0.87 goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies backing the visitors

  • HOME: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
  • DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
  • AWAY: 8/11 (1.73) – 57.9%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Arsenal are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 57.9% but we are predicting a close and competitive 90 minutes at Goodison Park.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Arsenal in control

The Gunners have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five games against Everton with the pair playing out a goalless draw at the Emirates in December.

England Premier League 14/12/24

Arsenal

Arsenal

0
Everton

Everton

0

England Premier League 19/05/24

Arsenal

Arsenal

2
Everton

Everton

1

England Premier League 17/09/23

Everton

Everton

0
Arsenal

Arsenal

1

England Premier League 01/03/23

Arsenal

Arsenal

4
Everton

Everton

0

England Premier League 04/02/23

Everton

Everton

1
Arsenal

Arsenal

0

Everton preview: Narrowly lost at Anfield

The Toffees put in a decent effort in the second Merseyside Derby of the season at Anfield in midweek but still ended up losing the game 1-0.

Everton thought they had opened the scoring in the first half but the goal was eventually ruled out for offside with the assistance of VAR, and Liverpool scored shortly before the hour mark to pinch all three points.

Orel Mangala, Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Dwight McNeil make up the trio of players that could miss the Arsenal game this weekend through injury, though, McNeil is back in training now.

Predicted lineup: Pickford (GK), Tarkowski, Mykolenko, Branthwaite, O'Brien, Gueye, Doucoure, Garner, Ndiaye, Harrison & Beto

England Premier League 12/04/25

W

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

0

Everton

Everton

1

England Premier League 05/04/25

D

Arsenal

Arsenal

1

Everton

Everton

1

England Premier League 02/04/25

L

Liverpool

Liverpool

1

Everton

Everton

0

England Premier League 15/03/25

D

West Ham

West Ham

1

Everton

Everton

1

England Premier League 08/03/25

D

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

1

Everton

Everton

1

Arsenal preview: Edged past Fulham

Mikel Merino was on target once again for the Gunners in midweek as Mikel Arteta's side ran out 2-1 winners at the Emirates Stadium.

The makeshift Spanish striker opened the scoring in the 37th minute and second-half substitute Bukayo Saka made it 2-0 in the 73rd minute. Fulham pulled a goal back deep into stoppage time but the result had already been decided by that point.

Gabriel Jesus, Takehiro Tomiyasu, Kai Havertz, Riccardo Calafiori and Ben White could be joined on the sidelines by Gabriel Magalhaes after the Brazilian picked up an injury against Fulham.

Predicted lineup: Raya (GK), Kiwior, Timber, Saliba, Partey, Odegaard, Merino, Rice, Lewis-Skelly, Saka & Martinelli

England Premier League 12/04/25

D

Brentford

Brentford

1

Arsenal

Arsenal

1

UEFA Champions League 08/04/25

W

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

Arsenal

Arsenal

3

England Premier League 05/04/25

D

Everton

Everton

1

Arsenal

Arsenal

1

England Premier League 01/04/25

W

Fulham

Fulham

1

Arsenal

Arsenal

2

England Premier League 16/03/25

W

Chelsea

Chelsea

0

Arsenal

Arsenal

1

Player to watch: Mikel Merino

Spanish midfielder-turned striker Mikel Merino scored his sixth league goal of the campaign in midweek as Arsenal beat Fulham 2-1.

Mikel Merino player to watch
Mikel Merino celebrates a double against Leicester – Photo by Imago

The former Real Sociedad man, who had never scored more than five league goals in a single campaign before, has impressed for the Gunners when forced to play up-front due to injuries.

The midfielder, turned striker, is thriving under Arteta

We're backing Merino to put in another important performance for Arsenal this weekend in a game the Gunners can't really afford to drop points in.

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James developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer and now has 10+ years experience covering club and international leagues and competitions across the globe.