Estonia will take on Italy in a World Cup qualifier on Saturday, 11 October, in a huge match for the visitors in their bid to qualify for the finals in Mexico, Canada and the USA next summer.
Coming into the match, Italy are sitting inside the top two in Group I, but with Israel level on points in third, every match feels like a must-win for the Gli Azzurri.
Estonia, meanwhile, are effectively out of the running with just three points to their name.
As part of this week's round of World Cup qualifying betting tips, check out our Estonia vs Italy prediction below.
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Estonia vs Italy prediction: An easy night ahead for Italy
Key Stats
- Estonia have failed to score in any of their last three matches.
- Italy have scored 12 goals across their last three matches.
- Mateo Retegui scored twice in Italy's last match against Estonia.
Correct score prediction: Estonia 0-3 Italy
Italy were utterly dominant when they last faced Estonia, and although Italy are typically a worse team away from home, there is no way they should be dropping points here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Estonia given little chance
- HOME: 28/1 (29.00) – 3.4%
- DRAW: 9/1 (10.00) – 10%
- AWAY: 1/11 (1.09) – 91.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Estonia vs Italy odds indicate that the visitors should breaze through this match without any troubles at all. Ladbrokes have given Italy a 91.7% chance of winning the match, while Estonia have been given a 3.4% chance of securing one of the best wins in their history.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Italian dominance
Italy have faced Estonia four times over the past 15 years, and it should come as no surprise to learn that they have won every one of those matches. The closest Estonia have ever come to getting a result against Italy was in September 2010 when they were narrowly beaten 2-1.
International Match 11/11/20
Italy
Estonia
Estonia preview: A debut is on the cards
Estonia could hand a first cap to Karel Mustmaa after the forward was called up to the squad for the first time this week. In a further boost to their chances, the national team captain Karol Mets has returned to the squad after missing the September break through injury.
Predicted lineup: Hein (GK), Schjonning-Larsen, Kuusk, Paskotsi, Saliste, Palumets, Shein, Yakovlev, Kait, Sinyavskiy, Sappinen
Last five results
- Estonia 0-0 Andorra
- Italy 5-0 Estonia
- Estonia 0-1 Norway
- Estonia 1-3 Israel
- Moldova 2-3 Estonia
Italy preview: A change on the flanks
Gennaro Guttoso will have to make changes to his wingers for this match as Matteo Politano and Mattia Zaccagni, his first choice wide options, have both withdrawn from the current squad to due to injuries. Byran Cristante has returned to the squad after an excellent start to the season in Serie A.
Predicted lineup: Donnarumma (GK), Di Lorenzo, Mancini, Bastoni, Dimarco, Orsolini, Barella, Locatelli, Tonali, Kean, Retegui
Last five results
- Israel 4-5 Italy
- Italy 5-0 Estonia
- Italy 2-0 Moldova
- Norway 3-0 Italy
- Germany 3-3 Italy
Player to watch: Mateo Retegui
Mateo Retegui made the controversial decision to move to the Saudi Pro League in the summer, but the former Atalanta man is still a key part of the international squad, as proven by his performances in the last set of fixtures. He will be determined to prove himself once again this time around.