Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid prediction, odds & betting tips – 17/08/2025
Can Espanyol pull off a surprise? - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Match result - Draw

The last four H2Hs have been draws

Atletico Madrid will be hoping to start off their title challenge with all three points when they travel to Espanyol at the RCDE Stadium on Sunday night in their first game of the new 2025/26 campaign in La Liga. Indeed, Atleti ended up finishing in third place in the 2024/25 season, but were in the title race with the usual suspects Barcelona and Real Madrid for a large portion of it.

Meanwhile, Espanyol managed to finish in 14th spot in the league, but only two points above the dreaded relegation zone. The hosts will therefore be hoping for a more stress-free campaign, and perhaps even a push for a top-half finish.

Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Atleti to be held to draw?

Key stats

  • Espanyol were unbeaten in all five pre-season friendlies leading up to this game, winning four of them.
  • Espanyol are also unbeaten in the previous four H2Hs in all competitions.
  •  Atleti have only scored three goals in total across their last three matches in all competitions.

Correct score prediction: Espanyol 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Given that the last four H2Hs have all ended in draws, we are happy to back Espanyol to get a point here. Based on the respective pre-season friendlies of both teams, we are also not expecting a particularly high-scoring encounter either.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Atleti installed as favourites by bookmakers

  • HOME: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
  • DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
  • AWAY: 8/15 (1.53) – 65.2%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

As shown by the implied probabilities, Atleti have been installed as big favourites with bookmakers to claim all three points away from home. A draw is rated at 25%, while an Espanyol win on home soil can be backed at just over 15%.

Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Football Betting Tips Today page, as well as our La Liga predictions & betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Pattern of draws to continue?

As mentioned before, an interesting pattern has emerged in the most recent H2Hs in that the last four have been draws. Of those, three saw both teams score as well, which we could see a repeat of on Sunday.

Spain La Liga 29/03/25

Espanyol

Espanyol

1
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 28/08/24

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0
Espanyol

Espanyol

0

Spain La Liga 24/05/23

Espanyol

Espanyol

3
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

Spain La Liga 06/11/22

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1
Espanyol

Espanyol

1

Spain La Liga 17/04/22

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2
Espanyol

Espanyol

1

Espanyol preview: Hernandez only absentee

Javier Hernandez is expected to be the only absentee for Espanyol through injury. Otherwise, the hosts are expected to name a strong starting XI.

Predicted lineup: Dmitrovic (GK), Romero, Cabrera, Rubio, El Hilali, Carreras, Lozano, Exposito, Terrats, Puado & R Fernandez.

Spain La Liga 11/05/25

L

Leganes

Leganes

3

Espanyol

Espanyol

2

Spain La Liga 04/05/25

L

Real Betis

Real Betis

2

Espanyol

Espanyol

1

Spain La Liga 27/04/25

L

Villarreal

Villarreal

1

Espanyol

Espanyol

0

Spain La Liga 22/04/25

D

Valencia

Valencia

1

Espanyol

Espanyol

1

Spain La Liga 18/04/25

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

Espanyol

Espanyol

1

Atletico Madrid preview: Gimenez injured

Jose Maria Gimenez is the only player expected to be out for Atleti through injury. Otherwise, the visitors could also choose to field a strong starting XI.

Predicted lineup: Oblak (GK), Ruggeri, Hancko, Le Normand, Llorente, Barrios, Cardoso, Almada, Baena, Simeone & Alvarez

Spain La Liga 10/05/25

W

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

4

Spain La Liga 03/05/25

D

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

Spain La Liga 24/04/25

W

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

Spain La Liga 19/04/25

L

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

1

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

Spain La Liga 14/04/25

W

Valladolid

Valladolid

2

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

4

Player to watch: Julian Alvarez

seattle sounders vs atletico madrid prediction
Julian Alvarez is Atletico Madrid's main man – Photo by Imago

Atleti will be relying on Julian Alvarez for goals once again in the 2025/26 campaign. Indeed, the Argentina international scored a total of 29 goals in all competitions last season, and so will be aiming for 30+ this time around.

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Adam is a lead writer on Football Whispers. He is a big Arsenal fan, and also follows his local club Wealdstone, made famous by The Wealdstone Raider, who he has interviewed. Adam also follows darts, boxing, cricket and tennis, among many other sports.