England Women will take on Italy Women in the semi-finals of the Women's European Championships on Tuesday, 22 July, with a place in the final on Sunday at stake.
As the defending champions, more pressure is on England, but after coming from behind to overcome Sweden in the quarter-finals, they will perhaps feel that their name is on the trophy once again.
Italy also come into the match with a spring in their step following their last-gasp win over Denmark in their quarter-final.
As part of our semi-final round of Women's Euros betting tips, check out our England Women vs Italy Women prediction below.
Contents
- 1 England Women vs Italy Women prediction: Another final awaits the Lionesses
- 2 Pre-game odds and win probability: England start as favourites
- 3 Most recent H2Hs: Advantage England
- 4 England Women preview: Doubts linger over key players
- 5 Italy Women preview: A free choice for Andrea Soncin
- 6 Player to watch: Ella Toone
England Women vs Italy Women prediction: Another final awaits the Lionesses
Key Stats
- England Women scored five goals in their most recent match against Italy Women.
- Italy Women conceded three goals in their only other match against a team ranked higher than them at the Women's Euros.
- Both teams have scored in three of England's four matches at the tournament.
Correct score prediction: England Women 3-1 Italy Women
England Women showed that they aren't prepared to roll over and relinquish their European Championships title by coming back from two goals down in the quarter-finals, and that was against a team superior to Italy. Despite making it to the semi-finals, Italy haven't impressed in any of their four matches and lack the quality that England possess.
Pre-game odds and win probability: England start as favourites
- HOME: 8/15 (1.53) – 65.2%
- DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
- AWAY: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The England Women vs Italy Women odds suggest that the Lionesses should start preparing for the final on Sunday already. Ladbrokes have made them the odds-on favourites, and have given them a 65.2% chance of winning the match inside 90 minutes. Italy Women, meanwhile, have been given just a 17.4% chance of victory.
Visit our latest football tips page for more free predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Advantage England
England have had the better of the recent head-to-head meetings, winning four of the last five. The most recent clash was in February 2024, and the Lionesses ran riot, beating Italy 5-1 away from home.
- 17/02/2024: Italy Women 1-5 England Women
- 19/02/2023: England Women 2-1 Italy Women
- 17/04/2017: England Women 1-1 Italy Women
- 05/03/2014: England Women 2-0 Italy Women
- 06/03/2013: England Women 4-2 Italy Women
England Women preview: Doubts linger over key players
England could be without three of their most important players for this match, with Leah Williamson, Lucy Bronze and Lauren James all carrying knocks. There are also a couple of players pushing for a start after helping to turn the match against Norway around, including Michelle Agyemang, who scored the equaliser.
Predicted lineup: Hampton (GK), Bronze, Williamson, Carter, Greenwood, Walsh, Toone, Stanway, James, Russo, Hemp
Italy Women preview: A free choice for Andrea Soncin
Italy manager Andrea Soncin is in the enviable position of having no injuries or suspensions to deal with for the clash with England. Given that Italy put in their best performance of the tournament so far against Norway in the quarter-finals, they are likely to go in unchanged.
Predicted lineup: Giuliani (GK), Di Gugliemo, Silvai, Linari, Oliviero, Caruso, Giugliano, Severini, Bonansea, Girelli, Cantore
Player to watch: Ella Toone
Italy Women are likely to try and sit back and soak up the pressure on Tuesday night, which means that Ella Toone could be the key to England getting through their defences. Toone has the guile and eye for a pass that could unlock the door for the Lionesses on the night, and she should be regarded as a dead cert to start the match.