England vs Slovenia prediction, odds & betting tips – 25/06/2024

Despite two lacklustre performances at Euro 2024 England find themselves top of Group C with four points from a possible six.

As little as a draw against Slovenia on Tuesday night will be enough for Gareth Southagte's side to book their place in the knockout stage but the worrying thing for the England fans is how negative the tactics and performances have been so far in Germany.

Southgate has a chance to change things up and play more open and attacking football against Slovenia in the final group game but we doubt that he will.

England vs Slovenia prediction: Three Lions to edge past Slovenia

Key Stats

  • England have only kept clean sheets in two of their last six attempts.
  • Slovenia haven't conceded more than two goals in any of their last six outings.
  • Harry Kane opened his Euro 2024 account against Denmark and top scores for England with 64 goals in 93 caps.

Correct score prediction: England 2-1 Slovenia

Despite taking the lead against Denmark through captain Harry Kane, England were unable to defeat the Danes and were very lucky not to lose the match. In addition, both teams have scored in five of Slovenia's last six fixtures, so this will be far from straightforward for the Three Lions.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Odds stacked against Slovenia

  • HOME: 2/5 (1.40) – 71.4%
  • DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
  • AWAY: 17/2 (9.50) – 10.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

England are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 71.4%, and we can't argue with the bookmakers on this selection.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: England unbeaten

England have won four and drawn one of their last five games against Slovenia, securing a 1-0 win in the pair's last encounter back in 2017.

Euro 2024 25/06/24

England

England

0
Slovenia

Slovenia

0

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 05/10/17

England

England

1
Slovenia

Slovenia

0

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 11/10/16

Slovenia

Slovenia

0
England

England

0

Euro 2015 Qualifying 14/06/15

Slovenia

Slovenia

2
England

England

3

Euro 2014 Qualifying 15/11/14

England

England

3
Slovenia

Slovenia

1

England preview: Three Lions simply have to improve

Gareth Southgate's side were played off the pitch by a Denmark side that seemed to want to win the game more than England whose fans booed and jeered them at the final whistle following another negative and passionless performance.

Southgate continues to ‘play it safe' by scoring the first goal and then sitting back and hoping to hold out for victory which worked against a lesser side in the form of Serbia but backfired against Denmark who totally controlled the game and should have won.

Predicted lineup: Pickford (GK), Walker, Trippier, Stones, Guéhi, Alexander-Arnold, Rice, Bellingham, Kane, Foden & Saka 

Euro 2024 14/07/24

L

Spain

Spain

2

England

England

1

Euro 2024 10/07/24

W

Netherlands

Netherlands

1

England

England

2

Euro 2024 06/07/24

W

Switzerland

Switzerland

1 (3)

England

England

1 (5)

Euro 2024 30/06/24

W

Slovakia

Slovakia

1

England

England

2

Euro 2024 25/06/24

D

Slovenia

Slovenia

0

England

England

0

Slovenia preview: Great character maintains optimism

The Slovenia players were left devastated as Serbia equalised late on to claim a share of the spoils. right-back Zan Karnicnik looked to have won the game for Slovenia with his 69th-minute effort but Serbia managed to convert from a corner deep into stoppage-time to make the final scoreline 1-1.

This Slovenia side certainly have it in them to test England on Tuesday night but they probably lack the firepower to cause a massive upset and win the game, despite striker Benjamin Sesko being one of the hottest prospects in European football right now.

Predicted lineup: Oblak (GK), Janža, Stojanović, Drkušić, Karničnik, Bijol, Elšnik, Gnezda Čerin, Šporar, Mlakar & Šeško

Euro 2024 01/07/24

L

Portugal

Portugal

0 (3)

Slovenia

Slovenia

0 (0)

Euro 2024 25/06/24

D

England

England

0

Slovenia

Slovenia

0

Euro 2024 20/06/24

D

Serbia

Serbia

1

Slovenia

Slovenia

1

Euro 2024 16/06/24

D

Denmark

Denmark

1

Slovenia

Slovenia

1

International Match 08/06/24

D

Bulgaria

Bulgaria

1

Slovenia

Slovenia

1

Player to watch – Harry Kane

England need more from their captain at Euro 2024 where despite scoring against Denmark, Harry Kane was substituted in the second half following another fairly anonymous performance.

Harry Kane player to watch
Harry Kane celebrates his opening goal at Euro 2024 – Photo by Icon Sport

Kane was partly at fault for the Denmark equaliser after his wayward pass was intercepted and then finished beautifully from long range. If Kane isn't scoring goals then he needs to be creating chances for the likes of Jude Bellingham, something he hasn't been able to do enough so far at Euro 2024.

England's captain opened his Euro 2024 account against Denmark

After being substituted, we're backing Kane to bring out a big performance against a hard-working Slovenia side that England really should be defeating with ease by scoring and causing the opposition defence problems from the first whistle to the last.

The latest Tweets from each camp

England

Slovenia


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things