Empoli vs Roma prediction, odds & betting tips – 26/05/2024

Empoli need a positive result against Roma at the Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena on the final weekend of the Serie A season on Sunday, 26 May. Check out our Serie A betting tips for the contest below.

Empoli vs Roma prediction
Empoli need a win against Roma on the final day to secure survival – Photo by Icon Sport

Empoli vs Roma prediction: Can hosts secure their survival?

With the risk of relegation on the line, Empoli will play hard in this match and we can see them edging out Roma in a close, low-scoring duel.

Key Stats

  • Empoli pocketed seven points from the last nine on offer on home soil.
  • Roma failed to win five of their last six games in all competitions.
  • Under 2.5 goals were scored in six of Empoli’s last seven home matches in Serie A.
  • The last encounter between these clubs featured four yellow cards.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Roma priced as underdogs

  • HOME: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
  • DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
  • AWAY: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Empoli will kick off Sunday’s game in the bottom three and one point from safety, however, with relegation rivals Frosinone and Udinese facing off the same day, a win could catapult them to survival. The hosts are unbeaten in three games on home soil and the bookies have made Empoli 10/11 favourites to prevail.

Roma eked out a 1-0 win over Genoa in their last assignment and they are guaranteed to finish 6th this term, no matter the result on Sunday. The Giallorossi dropped points in four of their last away fixtures and our top betting tips suggest opposing Roma could be the way to go again. The bookies have given the visitors a 30.3% chance of success.

Last five H2Hs: Roma have had the edge

Italy Serie A 17/09/23

Roma

Roma

7
Empoli

Empoli

0

Italy Serie A 04/02/23

Roma

Roma

2
Empoli

Empoli

0

Italy Serie A 12/09/22

Empoli

Empoli

1
Roma

Roma

2

Italy Serie A 23/01/22

Empoli

Empoli

2
Roma

Roma

4

Italy Serie A 03/10/21

Roma

Roma

2
Empoli

Empoli

0

Roma thumped Empoli 7-0 when the teams last met in September and they have won the last eight iterations of this fixture overall since October 2016.

Empoli preview: Grassi suspended in midfield

Alberto Grassi is suspended for Empoli while Alberto Cerri and Gabriele Guarino are both considered doubtful. Empoli drew 1-1 at Udinese in their last assignment after they conceded a 94th minute equalizer.

Predicted lineup: Caprile – Bereszynski, Ismajli, Luperto – Gyasi, Bastoni, Fazzini, Maleh, Pezzella – Cerri, Canellieri

Italy Serie A 26/05/24

W

Roma

Roma

1

Empoli

Empoli

2

Italy Serie A 19/05/24

D

Udinese

Udinese

1

Empoli

Empoli

1

Italy Serie A 12/05/24

L

Lazio

Lazio

2

Empoli

Empoli

0

Italy Serie A 05/05/24

D

Frosinone

Frosinone

0

Empoli

Empoli

0

Italy Serie A 28/04/24

L

Atalanta

Atalanta

2

Empoli

Empoli

0

Roma preview: Dybala to replace Lukaku?

Leonardo Spinazzola is out of action for Roma while Leandro Paredes and Romelu Lukaku are both serving bans and won't be involved. Paulo Dybala could come back into the XI to replace the suspended Lukaku.

Predicted lineup: Svilar – Celik, Llorente, Ndicka, Angelino – Bove, Aouar, Cristante – Baldanzi, Pellegrini, Dybala

Elite Club Friendlies 31/05/24

W

AC Milan

AC Milan

2

Roma

Roma

5

Italy Serie A 26/05/24

L

Empoli

Empoli

2

Roma

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 19/05/24

W

Genoa

Genoa

0

Roma

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 12/05/24

L

Atalanta

Atalanta

2

Roma

Roma

1

UEFA Europa League 09/05/24

D

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

2

Roma

Roma

2

Empoli vs Roma prediction
Paulo Dybala could be restored to the Roma XI on Sunday – Photo by Icon Sport

Player to watch – Paulo Dybala

With Romelu Lukaku suspended for an accumulation of bookings, Argentinean superstar Paulo Dybala could come back into the Roma XI on Sunday and the 30-year-old has the ability to shine.

Dybala targeting more goals against Empoli

When Roma hammered Empoli 7-0 earlier in the campaign, Paulo Dybala was central to their success, netting two of his team’s goals in that one-sided rout. Having already found the net twice against Empoli this term, Dybala can approach his final appearance of the campaign against the same opponents with confidence.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.