Como vs Empoli prediction
Como midfielder Nicolas Paz celebrates a goal - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Como & Over 2.5 goals

Como have secured most of their points at home this season where they average 1.36 points per game.

Como will be looking to put some more distance between themselves and the relegation zone on Saturday when they play host to third-from-bottom Empoli in Serie A.

Como vs Empoli prediction: A home win expected

Key Stats

  • Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 57% of Como's home games this season.
  • Empoli have lost seven of their 15 away games in Serie A this season.
  • Over 2.5 goals have been produced in 53% of Empoli's away games.
  • Patrick Cutrone joint-top scores for Como this season with six Serie A goals.

Correct score prediction: Como 2-1 Empoli

We're backing Como to secure a narrow 2-1 victory against Saturday's guests Empoli as the hosts score an average of 1.57 goals per home game in Serie A, while the visitors concede an average of 1.73 goals per away game but are scoring 1.20 goals on their travels.

Pre-game odds and win probability: The bookmakers are backing Como

  • HOME: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%
  • DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
  • AWAY: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Como are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 55.6% but we are expecting a close game between the pair on Saturday.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Level pegging

The last five meetings between these two clubs have been split evenly with each team taking home two wins, one draw and two defeats. Empoli claimed a 1-0 win over Como when the two sides met in November.

Italy Serie A 04/11/24

Empoli

Empoli

1
Como

Como

0

Como preview: Four points from last two at home

Como made the trip to AC Milan before the international break and the visitors led 1-0 at the interval thanks to a goal in the 33rd minute from Lucas da Cunha.

However, AC Milan scored two goals in the second half to turn this game in their favour and the match ended on a sour note for Como when substitute Dele Alli was sent off in stoppage time on his debut.

Alli will now miss the Empoli game along with Nico Paz who is also suspended, while Alberto Dossena, Marlon Mustapha, Marco Sala, Ivan Azon, Nikolas Ioannou, Simone Ghidotti and Alessandro Bellemo are all doubts due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Butez (GK), Kempf, Goldaniga, Smolcic, Valle, Caqueret, da Cunha, Perrone, Cutrone, Strefezza & Diao

Italy Serie A 13/04/25

W

Torino

Torino

0

Como

Como

1

Italy Serie A 05/04/25

W

Monza

Monza

1

Como

Como

3

Italy Serie A 29/03/25

D

Empoli

Empoli

1

Como

Como

1

Italy Serie A 15/03/25

L

AC Milan

AC Milan

2

Como

Como

1

Italy Serie A 08/03/25

D

Venezia

Venezia

1

Como

Como

1

Empoli preview: Without a win in 14

Empoli had been hoping to end their long winless run last time out against Torino but Nikola Vlasic scored the game's only goal for the home side in the 70th minute.

Empoli have now gone 14 matches without a victory, so it is no surprise to see the club sitting in the relegation zone, three points adrift of safety.

Gabriele Guarino, Jacopo Fazzini, Tino Anjorin, Szymon Zurkowski, Samuele Perisan and Nicolas Haas could all miss the trip to Como due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Silvestri (GK), Sambia, Pezzella, Ismajli, Cacace, Marianucci, Grassi, Henderson, Gyasi, Kouame & Esposito

Italy Serie A 14/04/25

L

Napoli

Napoli

3

Empoli

Empoli

0

Italy Serie A 06/04/25

D

Cagliari

Cagliari

0

Empoli

Empoli

0

Coppa Italia 01/04/25

L

Bologna

Bologna

3

Empoli

Empoli

0

Italy Serie A 29/03/25

D

Como

Como

1

Empoli

Empoli

1

Italy Serie A 15/03/25

L

Torino

Torino

1

Empoli

Empoli

0

Player to watch: Patrick Cutrone

Patrick Cutrone failed to make the grade at Wolverhampton Wanderers but since his return to his homeland with Como, the former AC Milan striker has rediscovered his goalscoring touch.

Patrick Cutrone
Patrick Cutrone – Photo by Imago

Cutrone scored 14 times in Serie B last season, helping Como to earn promotion to Serie A, and so far this season, the Italian striker has scored six times in 27 top-flight appearances.

Cutrone joint-top scores for Como this season

With Paz suspended, there is more pressure on Cutrone to score the goals this weekend against Empoli as both he and the Argentine midfielder are tied on six league goals apiece this season.


James developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer and now has 10+ years experience covering club and international leagues and competitions across the globe.