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Atalanta - Empoli
Italy Serie A - Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta and Empoli meet in Serie A this Sunday with the hosts pushing for European places and the visitors looking to avoid the drop. Our Atalanta vs Empoli prediction considers whether the favourites can make home advantage count.
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Atalanta vs Empoli prediction: Hosts to win by one in game with goals
🔥Hot tip Over 2.5 goals ⚽ Correct score prediction Atalanta 2-1 Empoli 👑 Empoli to win (+2 handicap) Yes
Key Stats
- Our Atalanta vs Empoli betting tips take into account the home team’s impressive 67% win ratio at the Gewiss Stadium this term in Serie A.
- 66% of Atalanta’s league games this season have produced over 2.5 goals.
- Empoli have lost five of their last seven in Serie A, but only one of those defeats was by more than a single goal.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atalanta the strong favourites
- HOME: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
- DRAW: 17/5 (4.40) – 22.7%
- AWAY: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the clear favourites according to the Atalanta vs Empoli odds with an implied probability of 69.2% that they claim all the points to edge closer to European qualification.
With Italy set to get five Champions League places, Atalanta are eyeing up fifth place and they boosted their chances with a 2-1 win at Monza last weekend with El Bilal Toure on target, before beating Fiorentina 4-1 in the Coppa Italia in midweek.
Empoli also picked up a vital win in their last game with Alberto Cerri’s early strike defeating Napoli 1-0.
For more, today’s football betting tips will guide you around the best bets from the weekend action.
Last five H2Hs: Nerazzurri the dominant force
Italy Serie A 30/10/23 Empoli Atalanta Italy Serie A 17/03/23 Atalanta Empoli Italy Serie A 30/10/22 Empoli Atalanta Italy Serie A 21/05/22 Atalanta Empoli Italy Serie A 17/10/21 Empoli Atalanta
Our Atalanta vs Empoli prediction of a home win is backed up by recent history with the side from Bergamo winning four of the last five meetings. Atalanta were convincing 3-0 victors when the sides met earlier this term.
Atalanta Preview: Rotation likely in between cup semis
It’s shaping up to be an exciting end to the season for Atalanta who visit Marseille in the Europa League next week and we should see some rotation from them here. Giorgio Scalvini and Emil Holm are out injured.
Predicted Lineup: Carnesecchi (GK), Kolasinac, Hien, Djimsiti, Ruggeri, Ederson, De Roon, Hateboer, Miranchuk, Toure, Lookman
UEFA Champions League 02/10/24 W Shakhtar Donetsk 0 Atalanta 3 Italy Serie A 28/09/24 D Bologna 1 Atalanta 1 Italy Serie A 24/09/24 L Como 3 Atalanta 2 UEFA Champions League 19/09/24 D Arsenal 0 Atalanta 0 Italy Serie A 15/09/24 W Fiorentina 2 Atalanta 3
Empoli Preview: Cerri blow for visitors
Last weekend’s match winner Alberto Cerri looks like he could miss the rest of the season after sustaining an injury. Etrit Berisha and Ardian Ismajli are also sidelined.
Predicted Lineup: Caprile (GK), Luperto, Walukiewicz, Bereszynski, Pezzella, Grassi, Maleh, Gyasi, Fazzini, Cambiaghi, Niang
Italy Serie A 29/09/24 D Fiorentina 0 Empoli 0 Coppa Italia 24/09/24 W Torino 1 Empoli 2 Italy Serie A 20/09/24 W Cagliari 0 Empoli 2 Italy Serie A 14/09/24 D Juventus 0 Empoli 0 Italy Serie A 31/08/24 D Bologna 1 Empoli 1
Player to watch – Ademola Lookman
26 year old forward Ademola Lookman is having a good campaign for Atalanta with eight goals and six assists in Serie A. He has also been on target in both the Europa League and Coppa Italia with his team maintaining a challenge on three fronts as we head towards May.
Lookman a bigger threat after the break
The London-born striker has tended to do most of his damage in the Second Half of matches this season. 70% of his goals in all competitions have come after the interval, continuing a trend from last term when eight of his 13 Serie A goals came after the break.