Ecuador vs Jamaica prediction, odds & betting tips – 26/06/2024

Things didn't go according to plan for Ecuador on matchday one of the 2024 Copa America as they lost 2-1 against Venezuela and had their captain, talisman and all-time top goalscorer Enner Valencia sent off.

Jamaica put in a brace performance against Mexico in their opening match in Group B but slipped to a narrow 1-0 defeat.

Both Ecuador and Jamaica will be desperate to get some points on the board when they go head-to-head on Wednesday and we're bringing you our predictions for the game.

Ecuador vs Jamaica prediction: Will Jamaica upset the odds?

Key Stats

  • Both teams have scored in each of Ecuador's last three outings.
  • Jamaica have only failed to score in one of their last five fixtures.
  • Ecuador have only won two of their last five matches and will be without all-time top goalscorer Enner Valencia who is suspended.
  • Under 2.5 goals have been produced in four of Jamaica's last six matches across all competitions.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Ecuador the bookmaker's pick

  • HOME: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.6%
  • DRAW: 31/10 (4.10) – 24.4%
  • AWAY: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Ecuador are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 63.6%, but they will be without their captain and all-time top goalscorer Enner Valencia so we can see Jamaica causing an upset.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: Only met three times before

Ecuador have never lost against Jamaica before, picking up two wins and a draw from the pair;s three previous encounters.

International Match 08/09/18

Ecuador

Ecuador

2
Jamaica

Jamaica

0

Ecuador preview: Without a key player for the Jamaica match

Ecuador captain Enner Valencia was shown a straight red card in the 22nd minute against Venezuela with the match still goalless at that point.

Brighton's Jeremy Sarmiento managed to fire Ecuador in front five minutes before the break but the toll of playing with one player fewer told in the second 45 as Venezuela scored twice and won the match 2-1.

The issue for Ecuador is replacing Valencia who has scored 41 goals in 87 caps for his country, while the two other forwards in the squad, Jordy Caicedo and Kevin Rodriguez, have a combined total of four goals in 29 appearances for Ecuador.

Predicted lineup: Domínguez (GK), Torres, Preciado, Pacho, Hincapié, Franco, Yeboah, Sarmiento, M. Caicedo, Páez & J. Caicedo

Copa America 05/07/24

L

Argentina

Argentina

1 (4)

Ecuador

Ecuador

1 (2)

Copa America 01/07/24

D

Mexico

Mexico

0

Ecuador

Ecuador

0

Copa America 26/06/24

W

Jamaica

Jamaica

1

Ecuador

Ecuador

3

Copa America 22/06/24

L

Venezuela

Venezuela

2

Ecuador

Ecuador

1

International Match 16/06/24

W

Honduras

Honduras

1

Ecuador

Ecuador

2

Jamaica preview: Battled bravely against Mexico

Jamaica defended manfully against a strong Mexican side on matchday one but a 69th-minute effort from Monterrey defender Gerardo Arteaga proved enough to down the underdogs.

There is plenty of Premier League experience and quality in this Jamaica side with Demarai Gray, Michail Antonio, Leon Bailey and Bobby Decordova-Reid all having played or are currently playing in England's top-flight and have a knack for scoring and setting up goals.

Predicted lineup: Waite (GK), Leigh, Pinnock, Latibeaudiere, Bernard, Lembikisa, Palmer, Antonio, De Cordova-Reid, Gray & Nicholson

Copa America 01/07/24

L

Venezuela

Venezuela

3

Jamaica

Jamaica

0

Copa America 26/06/24

L

Ecuador

Ecuador

3

Jamaica

Jamaica

1

Copa America 23/06/24

L

Mexico

Mexico

1

Jamaica

Jamaica

0

North & Central America - World Cup Qualifying 09/06/24

W

Dominica

Dominica

2

Jamaica

Jamaica

3

North & Central America - World Cup Qualifying 06/06/24

W

Dominican Republic

Dominican Republic

0

Jamaica

Jamaica

1

Player to watch – Demarai Gray

Former Leicester and Everton winger Demarai Gray has started his Jamaica career brightly with five goals in his first 11 caps.

Demarai Gray player to watch
Demarai Gray celebrates a goal for Al-Ettifaq – Photo by Icon Sport

The 27-year-old, who now plays in the Saudi Pro League for Al-Ettifaq, has always possessed the ability to score wonder goals and create chances for his teammates with crosses into the box. However, his consistency has let him down in the past and that is why he never really found a home in the Premier League.

Does the Al-Ettifaq winger hold the key to unlocking the Ecuador defence?

Gray will run directly and has the pace to cause the Ecuador defence plenty of problems and that is why he is our player to watch in Wednesday's clash.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things