Ecuador go up against Bolivia in a friendly at Subaru Park in Pennsylvania this Thursday and we're bringing you our predictions for this all-South American clash.
History heavily favours an Ecuador victory and one quick look at the squads and you'd have to fancy La Tri to defeat a Bolivia squad that is packed with almost all home-based players.
Enner Valencia captains this Ecuador side which has Bayer Leverkusen's Piero Hincapié in defence and Chelsea's Moisés Caicedo in the centre of midfield.
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Ecuador vs Bolivia prediction: No shocks expected
Key Stats
- Under 2.5 goals have been produced in each of Ecuador's last six outings.
- Four of Bolivia's last six fixtures have also witnessed fewer than three goals.
- Ecuador have won 16 of their 19 previous encounters with Bolivia across all competitions.
- None of Ecuador's last six matches have ended with both teams scoring and only one of Bolivia's last six have.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Ecuador the heavy favourite in the US
- HOME: 1/4 (1.25) – 80%
- DRAW: 77/20 (4.85) – 20.6%
- AWAY: 37/5 (8.40) – 11.9%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Last five H2Hs: Ecuador dominate
Ecuador have won each of their last five games against Bolivia the most recent of which was a 2-1 World Cup Qualifier victory in La Paz back in October
International Match 13/06/24
Ecuador
Bolivia
South America - World Cup Qualifying 13/10/23
Bolivia
Ecuador
International Match 18/06/23
Ecuador
Bolivia
South America - World Cup Qualifying 08/10/21
Ecuador
Bolivia
International Match 29/03/21
Ecuador
Bolivia
Ecuador preview: A good mix of youth and experience
Ecuador followed up their 2-0 friendly defeat against Italy in March with a 1-0 loss against Argentina in midweek. Angel Di Maria scored the only goal of the game and was replaced in the second forty-five by Lionel Messi.
The Ecuador captain, Enner Valencia, is 34-years-old but isn't the oldest player in the team as two of their three goalkeepers are aged 37. Teenager Kendry Páez has seven caps to his name and one goal and it is thought that the 17-year-old Independiente del Valle midfielder has a big future in the game.
Predicted lineup: Galíndez (GK), Torres, Preciado, Pacho, Hincapié, Ortiz, Franco, Sarmiento, Caicedo, Minda & Páez
South America - World Cup Qualifying 10/09/24
W
Peru
0
Ecuador
1
South America - World Cup Qualifying 07/09/24
L
Brazil
1
Ecuador
0
Copa America 05/07/24
L
Argentina
1 (4)
Ecuador
1 (2)
Copa America 01/07/24
D
Mexico
0
Ecuador
0
Copa America 26/06/24
W
Jamaica
1
Ecuador
3
Bolivia preview: Just two European-based players
Bolivia suffered a 1-0 defeat against Mexico in their last international friendly earlier this month, Edson Alvarez of West Ham scored the winning goal.
This Bolivia squad only has three players with just over 50-caps apiece and favours youth rather than experience. However, there is also a distinct lack of a goal threat up top with the six forwards that have been selected only producing four international goals between them.
Predicted lineup: Lampe (GK), Jose Sagredo, Álvarez, Quinteros, Rocha, Saucedo, Justiniano, Vaca, Chávez, Terceros & Algarañaz
South America - World Cup Qualifying 10/09/24
W
Chile
1
Bolivia
2
South America - World Cup Qualifying 05/09/24
W
Venezuela
0
Bolivia
4
Copa America 02/07/24
L
Panama
3
Bolivia
1
Copa America 28/06/24
L
Uruguay
5
Bolivia
0
Copa America 23/06/24
L
USA
2
Bolivia
0
Player to watch – Enner Valencia
Enner Valencia has been a fantastic servant for his country and continues to lead by example.
The 34-year-old forward has 40 goals in 84 caps for Ecuador, making him the leading scorer for his country but he still has some way to go if he is going to top the total caps record of 168 which is held by Iván Hurtado.
Valencia played his club football with Brazilian side Internacional where he scored 13 goals in 28 appearances across all competitions last season.
Valencia's all-time top goalscorer continues to impress
We're backing the former Premier League frontman to put in an impressive display against Bolivia on Thursday and wouldn't bet against the veteran adding to his goals tally.
