Ecuador vs Bolivia prediction
Ecuador are clear favourites to beat Bolivia in Guayaquil. (Photo by Imago)
🔥 Our Hot tip

Under 2.5 total goals

Each of Ecuador’s last seven World Cup qualification fixtures have featured under 2.5 goals.

Ecuador take on Bolivia at the Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha in a CONMEBOL World Cup Qualification fixture on Friday, 15 November. Read our World Cup predictions for the contest below.

Ecuador vs Bolivia prediction: Hosts should be too strong

Key Stats

  • Ecuador have won each of their last seven meetings with Bolivia in all competitions.
  • Ecuador beat Bolivia 3-1 when the teams met in a friendly encounter in June.
  • 100% of Ecuador’s last seven World Cup qualification fixtures have produced under 2.5 goals.
  • Enner Valencia was among the goal-scorers when Ecuador beat Bolivia in the summer.

Correct score prediction: Ecuador 1-0 Bolivia

Ecuador have kept six clean sheets in their last seven World Cup qualification contests, though two of their last three assignments at home produced narrow 1-0 wins. A similar outcome looks possible when Bolivia visit Guayaquil.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Markets favour Ecuador

  • HOME: 2/11 (1.18) – 84.6%
  • DRAW: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
  • AWAY: 18/1 (19.00) – 5.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Ecuador have lost only two of their ten World Cup qualification fixtures so far, though just ten goals in total were scored in those matches. Nevertheless, the 2/11 favourites are expected to squeeze a win out of Friday’s encounter with the Bolivians.

Bolivia meanwhile, have lost six of their ten qualifiers and the 18/1 underdogs were hammered 6-0 by Argentina in their last outing. Check out more of our latest football predictions on our dedicated page.

Most recent H2Hs: Ecuador have a strong record

Ecuador beat Bolivia 3-1 when the nations last met in a summer friendly and the Ecuadorians have won each of the last seven clashes between the teams overall.

International Match 25/06/24

Ecuador

Ecuador

0
Bolivia

Bolivia

0

International Match 13/06/24

Ecuador

Ecuador

3
Bolivia

Bolivia

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 13/10/23

Bolivia

Bolivia

1
Ecuador

Ecuador

2

International Match 18/06/23

Ecuador

Ecuador

1
Bolivia

Bolivia

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 08/10/21

Ecuador

Ecuador

3
Bolivia

Bolivia

0

Ecuador preview: Caicedo and Estupinan to feature

Alexander Domínguez, Robert Arboleda, Jhegson Mendez, Jose Cifuentes and Jordy Caicedo are missing from the current Ecuadorian squad. Head Coach Sebastian Beccacece has plumped for experience, naming just one uncapped player in this roster (Gonzalo Valle).

Predicted lineup: Galindez (GK), Preciado, Torres, Pacho, Hincapie, Estupinan, Franco, Caicedo, Minda, Plata, Valencia

South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25

D

Chile

Chile

0

Ecuador

Ecuador

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25

W

Venezuela

Venezuela

1

Ecuador

Ecuador

2

South America - World Cup Qualifying 19/11/24

W

Colombia

Colombia

0

Ecuador

Ecuador

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/11/24

W

Bolivia

Bolivia

0

Ecuador

Ecuador

4

South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/10/24

D

Uruguay

Uruguay

0

Ecuador

Ecuador

0

Bolivia preview: Bejarano and Saucedo out

Carlos Lampe, Adrian Jusino, Jario Quinteros, Erwin Saavedra, Diego Bejarano, Leonel Justinano, Fernardo Saucedo, Rodrigo Ramallo and Danny Bejarano are all absent from the Bolivia squad for the current international break.

Predicted lineup: Viscarra (GK), Medina, Haquin, Suarez, Sagredo, Fernandez, Terceros, Cespedes, Villamil, Vaca, Algaranaz

South America - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/25

D

Uruguay

Uruguay

0

Bolivia

Bolivia

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25

L

Peru

Peru

3

Bolivia

Bolivia

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 19/11/24

D

Paraguay

Paraguay

2

Bolivia

Bolivia

2

South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/11/24

L

Ecuador

Ecuador

4

Bolivia

Bolivia

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/10/24

L

Argentina

Argentina

6

Bolivia

Bolivia

0

Player to watch – Moises Caicedo

Moises Caicedo could be the player with the highest profile on the pitch this week and the Chelsea midfielder is certain to carry his tough-tackling Premier League performances onto the international stage for Ecuador.

Ecuador vs Bolivia prediction
Moises Caicedo is a cardd-earning machine for Ecuador. (Photo by Imago)

Caicedo is a card magnet

Caicedo is a favourite among Premier League card-market bettors and the 23-year-old also collects plenty of cautions for his country. The anchorman has been booked four times in his last six appearances for Ecuador in all competitions.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.