Dortmund vs Union Berlin prediction, odds & betting tips – 31/08/2025
Dortmund players celebrating | Photo - Imago
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Home team (First-half win)

Dortmund have led at halftime in four of their last five meetings with Union Berlin.

The Bundesliga continues with a captivating match this Sunday as Dortmund welcome Union Berlin at Signal Iduna Park. The Black and Yellows played out a thrilling 3-3 draw against St. Pauli last weekend, while Union Berlin will be confident after a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Stuttgart. 

The home side will be looking to make a statement and continue their dominant home form against the Iron Ones, while Union Berlin will look to build on their opening game of the season victory. 

Read our Dortmund vs Union Berlin predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Bundesliga predictions.

Dortmund vs Union Berlin prediction: Dortmund to secure a win

Key statistics

  • Four of their last five clashes have had over 3.5 goals.
  • The Black and Yellows have won their last five home games against the Iron Ones.
  • Over 2.5 goals have been scored in their last four meetings.

Correct score prediction: Dortmund 3-0 Union Berlin

Dortmund will go into this clash as strong favourites, and we see them winning by a 3-0 scoreline. Their superior quality and dominant head-to-head record against Union Berlin give them a clear advantage. 

The Black and Yellow have won their last five meetings against Union Berlin, showing their control in this tie. Although Union Berlin have been able to score in recent matches, it will be difficult for them to cope with Dortmund based on their home advantage.

With their firepower in attack and proven dominance in this fixture, Dortmund look well placed to secure a comfortable 3-0 victory.

Pre-match odds and win probability: Dortmund favoured by bookmakers

  • Home: 4/11 (1.36) – 73.33%
  • Draw: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.00%
  • Away: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.33%

*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*

The bookmakers made Dortmund the clear favourites at 1.36, giving them about a 73% chance of winning. A draw is set at 5.00, which equals a 20% chance, while Union Berlin at 7.50 have only around a 13% chance. The odds strongly back Dortmund to win, with Union Berlin seen as big underdogs and the draw also considered unlikely.

Most recent head-to-head: Dortmund on winning streak

Niko Kovac’s side go into this fixture with a strong head-to-head record against Union Berlin. In their last five meetings, Dortmund have come out on top five times, while Steffen Baumgart’s team have not won any game. 

Their most recent clash ended in a dominant 6-0 victory for Dortmund back in February. While Union Berlin are a disciplined and hardworking team, past results suggest they often struggle to contain Dortmund’s pace and creativity in the final third, giving the home side a clear advantage ahead of their meeting.

Germany Bundesliga I 22/02/25

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

6
Union Berlin

Union Berlin

0

Germany Bundesliga I 05/10/24

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

2
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

1

Germany Bundesliga I 02/03/24

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

0
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

2

Germany Bundesliga I 07/10/23

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

4
Union Berlin

Union Berlin

2

Germany Bundesliga I 08/04/23

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

2
Union Berlin

Union Berlin

1

After reviewing our key Dortmund vs Union Berlin predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.

Dortmund preview: Injury-hit squad

Kovac’s team will head into this match with a few important absences due to suspension and injuries. Filippo Mane is unavailable through suspension, while Emre Can and Julien Duranville are both expected back in early September after recovering from a groin issue and a dislocated shoulder. Defenders Nico Schlotterbeck and Niklas Sule face longer spells on the sidelines, with both not expected to return until mid-October due to knee and calf injuries. These setbacks mean Dortmund will need to rely on squad depth to keep their momentum going.

Predicted lineup: Kobel (GK), Svensson, Yan Couto, Kabar, Anton, Bensebaini, Sabitzer, Bellingham, Gross, Guirassy & Adeyemi

Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/25

W

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

2

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

4

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

W

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

0

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

4

Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25

W

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

2

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

3

Germany Bundesliga I 20/04/25

W

Borussia M'gladbach

Borussia M'gladbach

2

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

3

UEFA Champions League 15/04/25

W

Barcelona

Barcelona

1

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

3

Union Berlin preview: Defence hit with Injury troubles

Baumgart’s side will also be without several key players going into this match. Andrik Markgraf (injury) and Stanley N’Soki (thigh) are ruled out until mid-September, while Livan Burcu (ankle) is expected back later in the month. Lucas Tousart is sidelined briefly with illness but should return in a few days, and Oluwaseun Ogbemudia is doubtful after suffering a knock.

These setbacks reduce Union Berlin’s options, especially in defence, which could make things more difficult against Dortmund’s strong attack.

Predicted lineup: Ronnow (GK), Trimmel, Rothe, Querfeld, Doekhi, Skov, Schafer, Haberer, Khedira, Ilic & Ansah

Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25

L

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

3

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

0

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

D

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

2

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

2

Germany Bundesliga I 27/04/25

D

Bochum

Bochum

1

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

1

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

D

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

4

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

4

Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25

D

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

0

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

0

Player to watch: Serhou Guirassy

All eyes will be on Serhou Guirassy, who has quickly established himself as a key attacking threat. In his last five matches across all competitions, the striker has scored three goals, showing great consistency in front of goal.

Serhou Guirassy in action for Dortmund || Credit - Imago
Serhou Guirassy in action for Dortmund || Credit – Imago

This run includes a decisive strike in a recent DFB-Pokal win and another in the Bundesliga opener, proving his ability to deliver in important moments. With his sharp finishing, strong physical presence and always at the right place at the right time, Guirassy could play a crucial role in breaking down Union Berlin’s defence.


Stephen is a dynamic sports journalist, writer, and reporter who brings passion and expertise to the world of sports, captivating audiences with insightful articles and in-depth analysis of the game.