All eyes will be on Signal Iduna Park as Borussia Dortmund and Sturm Graz battle for supremacy in the fourth round of the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday, 5 November. View our free Dortmund vs Sturm Graz predictions below.
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Dortmund vs Sturm Graz predictions: Both teams to find the net
Key stats
- Eight of Borussia Dortmund's last nine matches featured goals at both ends.
- Both teams were on the scoresheet in four of Sturm Graz's last five matches.
- At least three goals were scored in nine of Dortmund's last 11 games across all competitions.
- Sturm Graz have lost three out of three Champions League matches this season.
Correct score prediction: Dortmund 2-1 Sturm Graz
Four of Borussia Dortmund's last six matches have ended 2-1, and their last two victories were by the same scoreline.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Dortmund are overwhelming favourites
- HOME:1/6 (1.17) – 85.7%
- DRAW:7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
- AWAY:12/1 (13.00) – 7.7%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Sturm Graz have been the best team in Austria this season. They are leading the Bundesliga standings after winning eight out of 12 league matches. However, Christian Ilzer’s team has been one of the worst in the Champions League, as they have suffered three defeats in as many UCL games.
On that note, Borussia Dortmund are the expected winners at 1/6 (1.17). Teams with these odds usually have an 85.7% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Dortmund vs Sturm Graz predictions.
Despite being the underdogs, it is important to note that Sturm Graz opened the scoring in five of their last six matches. For this reason, Sturm Graz to score first has an appealing look at 15/4 (4.75). That one has a 21.1% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Will Dortmund's dominance over Austrian opponents continue?
Borussia Dortmund and Sturm Graz will square off against each other for the first time on Tuesday. As it stands, Dortmund have a 7-1-1 win-draw-loss record in nine previous clashes with Austrian teams.
On the other hand, Sturm Graz have a 2-1-9 record in 12 previous encounters with German opposition.
Dortmund preview: A long list of absentees
Dortmund will not be able to call upon the services of the following players for this clash: Marcel Sabitzer, Julian Ryerson, Niklas Sule, Yan Couto, Karim Adeyemi, Giovanni Reyna, Gregor Kobel, Waldemar Anton, Kjell Watjen and Julien Duranville.
Predicted lineup: Meyer (GK), Grob, Can, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini, Nmecha, Azhil, Campbell, Brandt, Gittens & Guirassy.
Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/25
W
Bayer Leverkusen
2
Borussia Dortmund
4
Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25
W
Wolfsburg
0
Borussia Dortmund
4
Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25
W
TSG Hoffenheim
2
Borussia Dortmund
3
Germany Bundesliga I 20/04/25
W
Borussia M'gladbach
2
Borussia Dortmund
3
UEFA Champions League 15/04/25
W
Barcelona
1
Borussia Dortmund
3
Sturm Graz preview: Eyeing their first win of the tournament
Long-term absentees Jon Gorenc-Stankovic (shoulder injury), Gregory Wuthrich (ligament injury) and Alexander Borkovic (ACL) are still sidelined for the visiting team.
Predicted lineup: Scherpen (GK), Gazibegovic, Aiwu, Geyrhofer, Lavalee, Yalcouye, Chukwuani, Kiteishvili, Boving, Jatta & Biereth.
Austria Bundesliga 09/05/25
W
FC Salzburg
2
SK Sturm Graz
4
Austria Bundesliga 04/05/25
W
FC Blau Weiss Linz
0
SK Sturm Graz
1
Austria Bundesliga 27/04/25
L
FK Austria Vienna
1
SK Sturm Graz
0
Austria Bundesliga 23/04/25
L
FK Austria Vienna
2
SK Sturm Graz
1
Austria Bundesliga 20/04/25
W
FC Blau Weiss Linz
0
SK Sturm Graz
2
Player to watch: Serhou Guirassy
Serhou Guirassy scored the winning goal in Dortmund's 2-1 victory over Leipzig last weekend. The 28-year-old forward has been in sensational form since he joined from Stuttgart last summer, scoring 12 times and providing two assists in 13 total appearances for club and country. Guirassy will fancy his chances against Sturm Graz.