Borussia Dortmund are still in with a chance of automatic qualification from the Champions League group stage but are going to have to win on Wednesday night and hope that enough results elsewhere go in their favour.
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Dortmund vs Shakhtar prediction: Goals expected at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK
Key Stats
- Five of Dortmund's last six matches have produced over 2.5 goals.
- At least three goals have been scored in three of Shakhtar's last six fixtures.
- Dortmund's Serhou Guirassy has scored seven times in the Champions League this season.
Correct score prediction: Dortmund 3-1 Shakhtar
Shakhtar were beaten 5-1 when they played host to Bayern Munich last month and were backing another German side to secure a comfortable 3-1 victory against the Ukrainians in final round of group games in this season's Champions League.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Odds stacked against the visitors
- HOME: 2/5 (1.40) – 71.4%
- DRAW: 23/5 (5.60) – 17.9%
- AWAY: 15/2 (8.50) – 11.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Dortmund are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 71.4%, and we can't see this game ending in anything but victory for the home side.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Dortmund dominate
These two clubs have met four times before, each in the Champions League, and it's the Germans that have enjoyed this fixture a lot more, picking up three wins and one draw.
Dortmund preview: Guaranteed a spot in the play-offs
Borussia Dortmund suffered a narrow 2-1 defeat in their last Champions League game away at Italian side Bologna but a win against Shakhtar on Wednesday could be enough to see them finish in the top eight and automatically qualify for the next round.
Dortmund played out a 2-2 draw at home to Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on Saturday where despite having a player sent off in the 21st minute, the home side raced into a two-goal lead. However, that one-man advantage eventually paid out for Bremen as they scored twice in the second half to salvage a share of the spoils.
Defender Niklas Suele is expected to miss out on Wednesday night due to an ankle injury.
Predicted lineup: Kobel (GK), Bensebaini, Ryerson, Schlotterbeck, Gross, Can, Brandt, Sabitzer, Guirassy, Adeyemi & Gittens
Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/25
W
Bayer Leverkusen
2
Borussia Dortmund
4
Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25
W
Wolfsburg
0
Borussia Dortmund
4
Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25
W
TSG Hoffenheim
2
Borussia Dortmund
3
Germany Bundesliga I 20/04/25
W
Borussia M'gladbach
2
Borussia Dortmund
3
UEFA Champions League 15/04/25
W
Barcelona
1
Borussia Dortmund
3
Shakhtar preview: Unlikely to qualify
Shakhtar kept their faint hopes of reaching the Champions League group stage play-offs alive courtesy of a 2-0 home win against French side Brest.
Brazilain Kevin opened the scoring in the 18th minute before a Heorhii Sudakov penalty made it 2-0 before the break and there were no further goals in the game.
Midfielder Maycon Barberan has a knee injury that is expected to keep him out of the trip to Germany this week.
Predicted lineup: Riznyk (GK), Matviienko, Bondar, Azarovi, Tobias, Pedrinho, Kryskiv, Sudakov, Kevin, Gomes & Eguinaldo
Ukraine Vyscha Liga 09/05/25
D
FC Zorya Lugansk
0
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
Ukraine Vyscha Liga 03/05/25
W
Chernomorets Odessa
0
Shakhtar Donetsk
3
Ukraine Vyscha Liga 27/04/25
D
Dynamo Kiev
2
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
Ukraine Cup 23/04/25
W
Polissya Zhytomyr
0
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
Ukraine Vyscha Liga 19/04/25
L
Kolos Kovalivka
4
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
Player to watch – Serhou Guirassy
Dortmund striker Serhou Guirassy has been in excellent form this season, adapting well to life at his new club.
Guirassy enjoyed one and a half fantastic seasons with Stuttgart before making the move to Dortmund in the summer where he has gone on to score eight times in 16 league games as well as scoring seven in seven in the Champions League.
Guirassy has impressed during his first season with the club
We're backing the Guinea international to score again on Wednesday night in what should turn out to be a fairly routine victory for our German hosts.