Borussia Dortmund welcome Italian giants Inter Milan to the iconic Signal Iduna Park this Wednesday for a crucial Champions League matchday eight fixture.
The home team have struggled in the Champions League this season, sitting 16th in the group with just one win from their last four matches. Their 2-0 loss to Tottenham last week has further dented their hopes of reaching the last 16 automatically.
Despite their scoring power, only three teams have netted more than their 19 goals in the UCL this term. Dortmund have been vulnerable against sides from Europe’s top-five leagues, having lost their last 11 encounters against such opponents.
However, Signal Iduna Park has been a fortress of sorts, with the team losing only once in their last 21 home UCL matches, giving them hope of bouncing back.
Inter Milan, meanwhile, arrive off the back of a 3-1 defeat to Arsenal, leaving them just outside the top eight. Despite this setback, they have continued their strong domestic form, hammering Pisa 6-2 in Serie A on Friday.
While three consecutive UCL losses highlight the challenge they face, Inter have been impressive on the road, winning their last five competitive away games, and will be hoping that this momentum helps them avoid a fourth successive European defeat.
Read our Dortmund vs Inter Milan predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other UEFA Champions League predictions.
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Dortmund vs Inter Milan prediction: Away team to claim a narrow win
Key statistics
- BTTS has been played in three of their last four meetings.
- Inter have won four of their last five away games.
- The away team have won three of their last five games in all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Dortmund 1-2 Inter Milan
We expect a very cagey and tactical affair between these two European heavyweights, as neither side can afford a defeat at this stage of the competition. We predict a 2-1 win for Inter based on their recent defensive records and their form.
Inter have been in good form in their last five games, with three wins and one draw, with the only loss being against the Premier League leaders, Arsenal. They will be looking to end their last group game with a win over Dortmund.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Inter tipped to win
- Home: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
- Draw: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- Away: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
The bookmakers give a marginal edge to the away side, with odds of 2.40 implying a 41.7% chance of victory. The home side are close behind at 2.70 (37.0%), while the draw is priced at 3.60, reflecting a 27.8% probability. Overall, this shapes up as a finely balanced contest, though the visitors are narrowly favoured.
Most recent head-to-head: A balanced record in European competition
The history between these two sides suggests that there is very little to separate them when they meet on the big stage. In their last four competitive meetings, both teams have enjoyed periods of dominance, with the most notable recent encounters.
In that campaign, Inter Milan secured a 2-0 victory at the San Siro, only for the German side to produce a stunning comeback at the Signal Iduna Park to win 3-2 in the return fixture.
This trend indicates that while home advantage is significant, both teams possess the European pedigree to get results on the road, setting the stage for another balanced and unpredictable meeting.
After reviewing our key Dortmund vs Inter Milan predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Dortmund preview: Key players missing for the clash
Dortmund have several absentees, with Niklas Sule and Marcel Sabitzer sidelined due to injury, while Daniel Svensson misses out through suspension. These absences leave the team short in defence and midfield, potentially affecting their balance and stability at home.
Predicted lineup: Kobel (GK), Anton, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini, Couto, Bellingham, Nmecha, Ryerson, Adeyemi, Brandt & Guirassy
Last five fixtures
- 24.01.26 – Union Berlin 0–3 Dortmund
- 20.01.26 – Tottenham 2–0 Dortmund
- 17.01.26 – Dortmund 3–2 St. Pauli
- 13.01.26 – Dortmund 3–0 Werder Bremen
- 09.01.26 – Eintracht Frankfurt 3–3 Dortmund
Inter have a limited squad, as Tomas Palacios, Denzel Dumfries, and Hakan Calhanoglu are all sidelined with injuries. These missing players restrict options across defence, midfield, and attack, which could influence their performance in this crucial away fixture.
Predicted lineup: Sommer (GK), Akanji, Acerbi, Bastoni, Henrique, Barella, Zielinski, Sucic, Dimarco, Thuram & Martinez
Last five fixtures
- 23.01.26 – Inter 6–2 Pisa
- 20.01.26 – Inter 1–3 Arsenal
- 17.01.26 – Udinese 0–1 Inter
- 14.01.26 – Inter 1–0 Lecce
- 11.01.26 – Inter 2–2 Napoli
Player to watch: Lautaro Martinez
Lautaro Martinez is the player to watch for the visiting side, as he continues to be the most consistent attacking threat for the Italian champions. The Argentine forward has been in excellent form in the Champions League, scoring four goals during the league phase.
He proved his importance in the recent league win against Pisa by scoring one of the goals in their 6-2 victory and leading the line with great physical intensity.