Finished 2 4 Peterborough - Derby England League 1 - ABAX Stadium 5th Round 
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Two of the main favourites for promotion Peterborough and Derby cross swords on Saturday, August 26h in a match that promises to be close. Both sides are trying to find form right now. Here is our detailed preview of the game, as well as our best Peterborough vs Derby free betting tips.
Peterborough vs Derby Predictions and Betting Tips
If you need help finding the right bet for Peterborough vs Derby, check our top betting picks for this game, along with our other best football tips for today.
Peterborough to Win
- Peterborough won 5 of the previous 7 home H2Hs (D1 L1).
- Posh also won all of their last 3 home games vs Derby.
- Derby already suffered 3 defeats in just 5 games played so far this season.
- Posh started the season with 3 wins in 4 rounds, including back-to-back wins in their 2 home matches so far.
Half Swith Most Goals – Second
- There had been more goals scored in the second half in 8 of the last 10 H2Hs.
- Also, Peterborough have scored 80% (4 out of 5) of their goals this season in the second half.
- Derby too have scored 67.7% ( 4 out of 6) of their goals after the interval.
Top Betting Odds and Key Stats for Peterborough vs Derby
Check the best Peterborough vs Derby odds and useful stats here, on our website:
25/03/23 England League 1 League 1 Peterborough Derby 2 0 27/08/22 England League 1 League 1 Derby Peterborough 2 1 19/02/22 England Championship CHA Derby Peterborough 1 0 14/08/21 England Championship CHA Peterborough Derby 2 1 05/12/23 England EFL Trophy England Arsenal U21 Peterborough 0 3 W 02/12/23 England FA Cup FA Cup Doncaster Peterborough 1 2 W 28/11/23 England League 1 League 1 Stevenage Peterborough 2 2 D 25/11/23 England League 1 League 1 Burton Albion Peterborough 0 4 W 21/11/23 England EFL Trophy England Colchester Peterborough 1 0 L 05/12/23 England EFL Trophy England Fleetwood Town Derby 0 3 W 28/11/23 England League 1 League 1 Port Vale Derby 0 1 W 25/11/23 England League 1 League 1 Bristol Rovers Derby 1 2 W 14/11/23 England FA Cup FA Cup Crewe Derby 3 1 L 11/11/23 England League 1 League 1 Barnsley Derby 0 3 W Head to Head
Last Five - Peterborough
Last Five - Derby
Now, let's take a better look at the best markets and odds we found for this duel:
Peterborough odds: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5% Probability
Draw odds: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6% Probability
Derby odds: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5% Probability
*all odds provided are the best price at the time of publication and come from various bookmakers and therefore the probabilities won't always add up to 100%.
As we can see, the bookies favour slightly Peterborough as the expected winners of this match. With a 38.50% win probability, the hosts are given only a slim advantage. Derby’s probability for the win is not far behind at 34.50%. Regarding other markets, Clarke-Harris to Score Anytime has the best odds in that category 36/22 (2.64) – 37.90%.
Peterborough – Derby Preview: Latest Form, News, and Potential Lineups
Read all of the latest injury updates and team news for this duel, including our predicted Peterborough vs Derby lineups.
Peterborough
Despite nearly falling into administration this year and starting the campaign with a very small squad Peterborough won their opening 3 league games. Only last weekend they dropped their first points with a bad mistake from goalkeeper Bilokapic resulting in a 0-1 away loss vs Northampton.
Posh have been scoring goals with great ease all of last season and despite not scoring that many so far this year they keep creating on average 4.9 big chances per game, the second most in the division.
Posh don’t have many options to rotate and the starting 11 should remain the same. Only backup goalie Blackmore and the rarely-used midfielder Fuchs are out injured.
Predicted Lineup:
Bilokapic (GK), Kioso, Edwards, Crichlow, Burrows, Kyprianou, Collins, Poku, Randall, Mason-Clark & Clarke-Harris
Derby
Derby recorded their first home win of the season last weekend when they edged Fleetwood 1-0 at home. Waghorn was trusted with his first start since joining the team and he scored the only goal. He has now scored in consecutive rounds.
Derby too are in serious financial trouble right now and their squad is very small. This explains why in the first 4 rounds the Rams mixed 2 wins without conceding with 2 home defeats in each of which 2 goals were conceded.
After impressive displays in their first starts for the club both Washington and Waghorn could retain their starting roles now.
The options out wide remain seriously restricted with the 2 main wide midfielders Ward and Barkhuizen set to miss injured again.
Predicted Lineup:
Wildsmith (GK), Nelson, Bradley, Cashin, Mendez-Laing, Bird, Hourihane, Smith, Forsyth, Washington & Waghorn
Starting Lineups
The teams usually announce their starting lineups one hour before the start of the game.
Player to Watch: Joe Wildsmith
Derby’s goalie Joe Wildsmith was voted Best Goalkeeper in League One last season. He hasn’t been playing that well in the early rounds of the new campaign though and this is one of the main reasons why Derby have been struggling.
Wildsmith produced a Player of the Match display last weekend though and reminded everyone why he had a run of 12 consecutive games without conceding between January and March this year. For Derby to get something from this match Wildsmith will need to be at his best.
