Derby vs Fleetwood Town prediction, odds & betting tips 19/08/2023

Derby
19/08/23 - 15:00

Finished

1

-

0

Fleetwood Town

Derby - Fleetwood Town

England League 1 - Pride Park Stadium

4th Round

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Derby vs Fleetwood Town Top Two Betting Tips

Derby head into Saturday's League One game against Fleetwood as the big favourite to secure all 3pts. This is despite the Rams losing both of their home games so far this season.

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Derby saw 4 of their last 5 matches go over 2.5 goals. 
  • This also happened in 2 of Fleetwood’s last 3 games.
  • Fleetwood also saw 4 of their last 5 away games produce at least 3 goals.
  • Derby too saw 4 of their last 5 home matches go over 2.5 goals.

BTTS

  • Derby saw in 3 of their last 4 home games both teams scoring. 
  • All of Fleetwood’s last 5 away matches had BTTS outcomes. 
  • Also, 3 of Fleetwood’s 4 games this season had no clean sheet in them. 

Derby vs Fleetwood Town: Bookmakers & Odds

Let's take a look at the latest markets and odds ahead of Derby vs Fleetwood Town.

Head to Head

18/03/23

England League 1 League 1

Derby

Derby

Fleetwood Town

Fleetwood Town

0

2

20/08/22

England League 1 League 1

Fleetwood Town

Fleetwood Town

Derby

Derby

0

0

Last Five - Derby

27/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Carlisle

Carlisle

Derby

Derby

0

2

W

20/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Cambridge Utd

Cambridge Utd

Derby

Derby

0

1

W

13/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Leyton Orient

Leyton Orient

Derby

Derby

0

3

W

10/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Wycombe

Wycombe

Derby

Derby

0

0

D

02/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Portsmouth

Portsmouth

Derby

Derby

2

2

D

Last Five - Fleetwood Town

27/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Burton Albion

Burton Albion

Fleetwood Town

Fleetwood Town

0

3

W

20/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Leyton Orient

Leyton Orient

Fleetwood Town

Fleetwood Town

0

1

W

16/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Peterborough

Peterborough

Fleetwood Town

Fleetwood Town

4

1

L

13/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Northampton

Northampton

Fleetwood Town

Fleetwood Town

0

2

W

09/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Blackpool

Blackpool

Fleetwood Town

Fleetwood Town

1

0

L

Derby odds: 3/5 (1.60) – 62.5%

Draw odds: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%

Fleetwood odds: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%

*all odds provided are the best price at the time of publication and come from various bookmakers and therefore the probabilities won't always add up to 100%.

Derby are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 62.5% and we can't argue with the bookmakers on this one. For more of our football betting tips, you should check out the Under/Over 2.5 Goals market. You can back Under 2.5 Goals to be scored at 6/4 (2.50) which has a probability of 40%, while the odds on Over 2.5 Goals being scored currently stand at 20/23 (1.87) with a probability of 53.5%.

Derby vs Fleetwood Town Lineups and Last Match

Derby

Derby suffered their second consecutive 1-2 home defeat since the start of the campaign on Tuesday. They made a slow start to their match vs Oxford and never recovered after that. 

The Rams have been shaken by major financial troubles this summer and this explains why the squad is so small and barely constructed a week before the start of the season. 

Recently signed strikers Washington and Waghorn are yet to start. Both have scored a goal each in the last 2 rounds coming off the bench though. Now they both could be given their first starts. 

There are serious issues on the flanks with the 3 main wide midfielders out injured right now. All of Ward (hurt on Tuesday), Barkhuizen and Sibley are unavailable. 

Predicted Lineup – Wildsmith (GK), Nelson, Bradley, Cashin, Wilson, Bird, Hourihane, Smith, Elder, Washington & Waghorn

Fleetwood

Fleetwood are yet to win this season (D1 L3). On Tuesday they never got going away against Bolton and logically lost 1-3. The Cod Army has been having some serious issues defending so far. Conceded 9 goals in the 4 games played. 

There are some minor injury issues and fatigue due to the congested schedule. However, all important players are fit and available so can’t hide behind excuses. 

Predicted Lineup – Lynch (GK), Sarpong-Wiredu, Nsiala, Earl, Rooney, Vela, Robertson, Broom, Patterson, Omochere & Marriott

​Starting Lineups

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off

Player to Watch: Martyn Waghorn

Derby’s latest signing Martyn Waghorn netted his first goal for the club on Tuesday when coming off the bench. The 33-year-old veteran is a proven goalscorer at this level and we back him to score again now. 

Waghorn is likely to make his first start now after gaining some match sharpness with back-to-back appearances off the bench. 


Iskra had a promising, at least she believed so, tennis and volleyball career as a junior but a series of injuries ended her hopes to become a professional athlete very early. Instead, she focused all her energy on her other passions - soccer scouting and sports writing. For nearly two decades, Iskra had been a freelance sports writer. Football, basketball and tennis are the main fields of her expertise. She has dined with kings, queens and some of the most famous sports figures of the past and the present. Iskra is also a member of the largest independent union of investigative journalists. She has minority ownership at several sports clubs and has been actively involved with the creation of FIFA [Freelance Isn't Free Act] and its passing as official legislation.