Finished 1 0 Derby - Fleetwood Town England League 1 - Pride Park Stadium 4th Round
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Derby vs Fleetwood Town Top Two Betting Tips
Derby head into Saturday's League One game against Fleetwood as the big favourite to secure all 3pts. This is despite the Rams losing both of their home games so far this season.
Over 2.5 Goals
- Derby saw 4 of their last 5 matches go over 2.5 goals.
- This also happened in 2 of Fleetwood’s last 3 games.
- Fleetwood also saw 4 of their last 5 away games produce at least 3 goals.
- Derby too saw 4 of their last 5 home matches go over 2.5 goals.
BTTS
- Derby saw in 3 of their last 4 home games both teams scoring.
- All of Fleetwood’s last 5 away matches had BTTS outcomes.
- Also, 3 of Fleetwood’s 4 games this season had no clean sheet in them.
Derby vs Fleetwood Town: Bookmakers & Odds
Let's take a look at the latest markets and odds ahead of Derby vs Fleetwood Town.
06/01/24 England League 1 League 1 Fleetwood Town Derby 1 3 05/12/23 England EFL Trophy England Derby Fleetwood Town 3 0 18/03/23 England League 1 League 1 Derby Fleetwood Town 0 2 20/08/22 England League 1 League 1 Fleetwood Town Derby 0 0 01/10/24 England Championship CHA Sunderland Derby 2 0 L 28/09/24 England Championship CHA Norwich Derby 3 2 L 21/09/24 England Championship CHA Sheff Utd Derby 1 0 L 14/09/24 England Championship CHA Cardiff Derby 0 1 W 31/08/24 England Championship CHA Bristol City Derby 0 3 W 01/10/24 England League 2 England Walsall Fleetwood Town 2 6 W 28/09/24 England League 2 England Cheltenham Fleetwood Town 0 2 W 23/09/24 England League 2 England Morecambe Fleetwood Town 2 2 D 17/09/24 England EFL Cup EFL Cup Stoke Fleetwood Town 1 (2) 1 (1) L 14/09/24 England League 2 England Carlisle Fleetwood Town 2 3 W
Head to Head
Last Five - Derby
Last Five - Fleetwood Town
Derby odds: 3/5 (1.60) – 62.5%
Draw odds: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
Fleetwood odds: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
*all odds provided are the best price at the time of publication and come from various bookmakers and therefore the probabilities won't always add up to 100%.
Derby are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 62.5% and we can't argue with the bookmakers on this one. For more of our football betting tips, you should check out the Under/Over 2.5 Goals market. You can back Under 2.5 Goals to be scored at 6/4 (2.50) which has a probability of 40%, while the odds on Over 2.5 Goals being scored currently stand at 20/23 (1.87) with a probability of 53.5%.
Derby vs Fleetwood Town Lineups and Last Match
Derby
Derby suffered their second consecutive 1-2 home defeat since the start of the campaign on Tuesday. They made a slow start to their match vs Oxford and never recovered after that.
The Rams have been shaken by major financial troubles this summer and this explains why the squad is so small and barely constructed a week before the start of the season.
Recently signed strikers Washington and Waghorn are yet to start. Both have scored a goal each in the last 2 rounds coming off the bench though. Now they both could be given their first starts.
There are serious issues on the flanks with the 3 main wide midfielders out injured right now. All of Ward (hurt on Tuesday), Barkhuizen and Sibley are unavailable.
Predicted Lineup – Wildsmith (GK), Nelson, Bradley, Cashin, Wilson, Bird, Hourihane, Smith, Elder, Washington & Waghorn
Fleetwood
Fleetwood are yet to win this season (D1 L3). On Tuesday they never got going away against Bolton and logically lost 1-3. The Cod Army has been having some serious issues defending so far. Conceded 9 goals in the 4 games played.
There are some minor injury issues and fatigue due to the congested schedule. However, all important players are fit and available so can’t hide behind excuses.
Predicted Lineup – Lynch (GK), Sarpong-Wiredu, Nsiala, Earl, Rooney, Vela, Robertson, Broom, Patterson, Omochere & Marriott
Starting Lineups
*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off
Player to Watch: Martyn Waghorn
Derby’s latest signing Martyn Waghorn netted his first goal for the club on Tuesday when coming off the bench. The 33-year-old veteran is a proven goalscorer at this level and we back him to score again now.
Waghorn is likely to make his first start now after gaining some match sharpness with back-to-back appearances off the bench.