Three points will be up for grabs as two local rivals clash at the Governador Magalhães Pinto this weekend. View our free Cruzeiro vs Atletico MG predictions below.
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Cruzeiro vs Atletico MG predictions: Hosts to claim all the spoils
Key stats
- Cruzeiro won 10 of their last 11 home games across all competitions.
- On the other hand, Atletico Mineiro are without a win in their last four road games.
- At least one team blanked in four of the last six encounters between these outfits.
- Cruzeiro kept six clean sheets in their last nine home matches.
Correct score prediction: Cruzeiro 2-0 Atletico MG
Cruzeiro won four of their last six home games without conceding, and three of those wins were by two unanswered goals.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour the hosts
- HOME: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- AWAY: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As it stands, Cruzeiro have been one of the best home teams in the Serie A this season. They have a near-perfect record at home, winning eight of nine league matches at the Governador Magalhães Pinto.
Bearing that in mind, Cruzeiro are the expected winners at 11/10 (2.10). Teams with these odds generally have a 47.6% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Cruzeiro vs Atletico MG predictions.
It is also fair to point out that four of Atletico Mineiro's last five trips to this stadium featured less than three goals. On that note, under 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 13/20 (1.65). That one has a 60.6% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: An even contest
In the last five skirmishes between these outfits, both teams have two wins apiece with a draw between them. However, it is fair to point out that Atletico Mineiro emerged victorious the last two times these teams squared off against each other.
Brazil Serie A 21/04/24
Atletico Mineiro
Cruzeiro
Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 07/04/24
Cruzeiro
Atletico Mineiro
Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 30/03/24
Atletico Mineiro
Cruzeiro
Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 03/02/24
Atletico Mineiro
Cruzeiro
Brazil Serie A 22/10/23
Atletico Mineiro
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro preview: Looking to bounce back from their first home defeat of the season
João Marcelo has accumulated maximum yellow cards and is serving a one-game suspension. William is also unavailable for selection after bruising his knee in Cruzeiro's 2-1 defeat to Fortaleza.
Predicted lineup: Cassio (GK), Vitinho, Ivaldo, Gasolina, Marlon, Romero, Barreal, Henrique, Pereira, Diaz & Jorge.
Brazil Serie A 11/05/25
W
Sport Recife
0
Cruzeiro
4
Copa Sudamericana 08/05/25
D
Mushuc Runa
1
Cruzeiro
1
Brazil Serie A 04/05/25
W
Flamengo
1
Cruzeiro
2
Copa do Brasil 02/05/25
W
Vila Nova
0
Cruzeiro
2
Brazil Serie A 27/04/25
W
Vasco da Gama
0
Cruzeiro
1
Atletico MG preview: Eyeing their first away win in five weeks
Likewise, there are a few absentees for Atletico Mineiro, including Guilherme Arana, Hulk, Mauricio Lemos, and Alisson Santana.
Predicted lineup: Mendes (GK), Alonso, Battaglia, Saravia, Rubens, Otavio, Scarpa, Franco, Bernard, Paulinho & Vargas.
Brazil Serie A 11/05/25
W
Fluminense
2
Atletico Mineiro
3
Copa Sudamericana 08/05/25
L
Deportes Iquique
3
Atletico Mineiro
2
Brazil Serie A 05/05/25
W
EC Juventude
0
Atletico Mineiro
1
Copa do Brasil 29/04/25
D
Maringa FC
2
Atletico Mineiro
2
Brazil Serie A 26/04/25
D
Mirassol
2
Atletico Mineiro
2
Player to watch: Gustavo Scarpa
Gustavo Scarpa put up an impressive performance in the reverse fixture of this clash, setting up two of Atletico Mineiro's three goals. The former Palmeiras player has three direct goal involvements in his last two clashes with Cruzeiro.
It is worth mentioning that Scarpa has more assists than every other Atletico MG player this season. It will be interesting to see how he performs this weekend.