Costa Rica vs Paraguay prediction, odds & betting tips – 03/07/2024

Costa Rica vs Paraguay prediction, odds & betting tips – 03/07/2024
Paraguay midfielder Mathias Villasanti battles for the ball against Brazil - Photo by Icon Sport
🔥 Our Hot tip

BTTS - No

Both teams have scored in just one of the last five meetings between Costa Rica and Paraguay

Paraguay can't finish in the top two positions in Group D following back-to-back defeats against Brazil and Colombia but Los Guaraníes will be looking to get their first points on the board in the 2024 Copa America when they take on Costa Rica on matchday three.

Costa Rica vs Paraguay prediction: Tight and tense 90 minutes expected

Key Stats

  • Both teams have scored in just one of Costa Rica's last six matches.
  • Only two of Paraguay's last six outings have seen both teams score.
  • Under 2.5 goals have been produced in four of the last five head-to-heads between these two countries.

Correct score prediction: Costa Rica 0-1 Paraguay

Costa Rica have failed to score in four of their last five games against Paraguay and the South Americans have scored exactly one goal in each of their last three fixtures.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Paraguay the favourite

  • HOME: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
  • DRAW: 40/17 (3.35) – 29.8%
  • AWAY: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Paraguay are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 48.8%, and we agree with the bookmakers on this selection.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: Paraguay lead

Los Guaraníes have picked up two wins, two draws and suffered one defeat in their last five games against Costa Rica.

Copa America 04/06/16

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

0
Paraguay

Paraguay

0

International Match 27/03/15

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

0
Paraguay

Paraguay

0

International Match 06/03/14

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

2
Paraguay

Paraguay

1
Caballero

Costa Rica preview: Yet to score at the 2024 Copa America

Costa Rica were looking to build upon their excellent draw against Brazil when they faced Colombia on matchday two.

Whatever luck they had during the goalless draw with Brazil seemed to have warn out by the time they faced James Rodriguez and co as Colombia strolled to a 3-0 victory, a result which leaves Costa Rica needing a win in their final group game against Paraguay.

Predicted lineup:  Sequeira (GK), Calvo, Vargas, Quirós, Mitchell, Galo, Aguilera, Lassiter, Ugalde, Zamora & Madrigal 

Copa America 03/07/24

W

Paraguay

Paraguay

1

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

2

Copa America 28/06/24

L

Colombia

Colombia

3

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

0

Copa America 25/06/24

D

Brazil

Brazil

0

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

0

North & Central America - World Cup Qualifying 09/06/24

W

Grenada

Grenada

0

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

3

North & Central America - World Cup Qualifying 07/06/24

W

St. Kitts and Nevis

St. Kitts and Nevis

0

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

4

Paraguay preview: Lost opening two matches

Paraguay simply couldn't live with Brazil in the first half of their clash on matchday two and went in at the break three goals down.

Defender Omar Alderete scored his first goal for Paraguay early in the second 45 to make it 3-1 but Brazil converted a penalty in the 65th minute to restore their three-goal lead and nine minutes from time, Adrian Cubas was shown a straight red card and Paraguay finished the game with ten men.

Predicted lineup:  Morínigo (GK), Balbuena, Velázquez, Alderete, Almirón, Caballero, Villasanti, Espinoza, Enciso, Bobadilla & Arce

Copa America 03/07/24

L

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

2

Paraguay

Paraguay

1

Copa America 29/06/24

L

Brazil

Brazil

4

Paraguay

Paraguay

1

Copa America 24/06/24

L

Colombia

Colombia

2

Paraguay

Paraguay

1

International Match 16/06/24

W

Panama

Panama

0

Paraguay

Paraguay

1

International Match 12/06/24

L

Chile

Chile

3

Paraguay

Paraguay

0

Player to watch – Miguel Almirón

Newcastle's Miguel Almiron is our pick for the ‘player to watch' against Costa Rica as we believe that the midfielder has the skill set to unlock the opposition's defence and help earn his country their first points of the 2024 Copa America.

Miguel Almirón player to watch
Paraguay midfielder Miguel Almiron moves the ball forward – Photo by Icon Sport

Almiron has 56 caps and seven goals for his country but is yet to get off the mark in the USA. The 30-year-old midfielder has made over 200 appearances in the Premier League, scoring 30 goals, and is dangerous when he comes inside from wide positions, dribbling at defences.

A key player for Paraguay

We're backing Almiron to cause plenty of problems for the Costa Rica defence on matchday three, creating chances for his teammates and getting into good goalscoring positions.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things