Corinthians vs Sao Paulo prediction, odds & betting tips 20/11/2025
Sao Paulo striker Luciano will be crucial against Corinthians. Photo by Imago/ Fotoarena
🔥 Our Hot tip

Draw

Five of the last seven meetings between these two at this venue ended in a stalemate.

With five games left in the Brazilian Serie A, Corinthians and Sao Paulo clash in the Classico Majestoso derby, eager to secure bragging rights along with crucial points.

Only three points separate the teams in the standings, and the hosts can go level on points with SPFC if they can get over the line.

The visitors had their Paulista crown snatched by the hosts this year, adding more spice to the already fierce rivalry.

Check out our Corinthians vs Sao Paulo prediction below.

Corinthians vs Sao Paulo prediction: Visitors' away struggles to continue

Key stats

  • Corinthians recently won three games in a row before losing twice in succession. 
  • Sao Paulo have only won three of their last 10 games in all competitions. 
  • The hosts have not beaten the visitors in each of their last seven meetings at any venue. 
  • Sao Paulo won only four of 16 away dates in the Brasileiro this season.

Correct score prediction: Corinthians 1-1 Sao Paulo

In the last four games that Corinthians have scored, they have only managed exactly one strike, while Sao Paulo netted 15 goals in 16 games away from home, an indication of their struggles up front on the road.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Leading towards the hosts

  • HOME: 11/10 (2.1) – 47.6%
  • DRAW: 11/5 (3.2) – 31.3%
  • AWAY: 12/5 (3.4) – 29.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Corinthians vs Sao Paulo odds suggest that this will be a close encounter that can easily end with three different outcomes. Ladbrokes have given the hosts a slight edge with a 47.6%, but a draw is more likely to happen than a victory for the away side. Check out our other predictions and free betting tips for today.

Most recent H2Hs: History favours travelling party

Sao Paulo have beaten Corinthians in each of their last three meetings in all competitions, part of a sequence that includes six wins for them across the last seven head-to-heads.

Brazil Campeonato Paulista 26/01/25

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

3
Corinthians

Corinthians

1

Brazil Serie A 29/09/24

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

3
Corinthians

Corinthians

1

Brazil Serie A 16/06/24

Corinthians

Corinthians

2
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2

Brazil Campeonato Paulista 30/01/24

Corinthians

Corinthians

1
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2

Brazil Serie A 30/09/23

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2
Corinthians

Corinthians

1

Corinthians preview: Players returning for Dorival Junior

After serving bans for yellow card accumulation and a red card offence,  Andre Carrillo and Charles will be welcomed back into the fold. Rodrigo Garro is ineligible after picking up a yellow-card suspension the last time out, while all hopes will depend on the returning Memphis Depay. Vitinho, Raniele, goalkeeper Hugo Souza and teenager Andre are all out through injury.

Predicted lineup: Longo; Matheuzinho, Ramalho, Henrique, Bidu; Maycon, Bidon, Romero, Dieguinho; Alberto, Depay

Last five matches

  • Corinthians 0-1 Ceara
  • Bragantino 2-1 Corinthians
  • Corinthians 2-0 Gremio
  • Vitoria 0-1 Corinthians
  • Corinthians 1-0 Athletico MG

Sao Paulo preview: Luciano to play a big role

Hernan Crespo’s side have been decimated by injuries, but forward Luciano has been a mainstay this season. The Brazilian striker notched up eight goals in 28 league appearances and 15 in 52 throughout the season. Ferreira should provide adequate support alongside him. 

Predicted lineup: Rafael; Franco, Arboleda, Sabinho; Maik, Gustavo, Bobadilla, Moura, Diaz; Ferreira, Luciano

Last five matches

  • Sao Paulo 0-1 Bragantino
  • Sao Paulo 2-2 Flamengo RJ
  • Vasco 0-2 Sao Paulo
  • Sao Paulo 2-0 Bahia
  • Mirrasol 3-0 Sao Paulo

Player to watch: Memphis Depay

Corinthians' Memphis Depay
Corinthians' striker Memphis Depay will be key for the hosts. Imago/Rebeca Schumacker

It remains to be seen if Memphis Depay gets the nod from the start, since the striker will arrive late from international duty. However, with a goal for the Netherlands last week and five in the league campaign for the People’s Team, he will be crucial for the hosts.

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Byron is a sports journalist based in South Africa. He has a Media degree from the University of Kwa Zulu Natal and has been writing football content since 2019. Byron is also a sports presenter with experience in radio particularly.