Corinthians vs Flamengo prediction
Flamengo have a one-goal lead to defend in the Copa do Brasil semi-final second-leg against Corinthians. (Photo by Imago)
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Under 2.5 total goals

Eight of Flamengo’s last nine matches in all competitions have featured under 2.5 goals.

Corinthians take on Flamengo at the Neo Química Arena in the semi-final second-leg of the Copa do Brasil on Sunday, 20 October. View our Brazilian football betting tips for the match below.

Corinthians vs Flamengo prediction: Margins could be slim in Sao Paulo

Key Stats

  • Flamengo edged out Corinthians 1-0 when the teams met in the semi-final first-leg on 3 October.
  • Eight of Flamengo’s last nine matches in all competitions have featured under 2.5 goals.
  • Seven cards were brandishes in the first-leg between Flamengo and Corinthians earlier this month.
  • Corinthians have lost only one of their last 24 home games in all competitions.

Correct score prediction: Corinthians 1-0 Flamengo

Corinthians have a one-goal deficit to chase in this semi-final second-leg of the Copa do Brasil, though they have lost only once in 24 home assignments in all competitions and they could take this one to extra time with a narrow triumph over low-scoring Flamengo.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Corinthians given the edge

  • HOME: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%
  • DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
  • AWAY: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Corinthians warmed up for Sunday’s crucial tie with a thumping 5-2 win over Athletico Paranaense and having avoided defeat in 23 of their last 24 home matches overall, the hosts represent good value at 8/5 to triumph here.

Flamengo meanwhile, lost the Flu-Fla derby to rivals Fluminense (0-2) last time out, so it will be interesting to see what effect that result has on their confidence. Flamengo have a 34.5% chance of winning on Sunday. View more of our latest South American tips on our free football predictions page.

Most recent H2Hs: Home advantage has been key

Three of the last four meetings between Corinthians and Flamengo have been won by the home team. Four of the last five encounters between the clubs have also featured under 2.5 goals.

Copa do Brasil 03/10/24

Flamengo

Flamengo

1
Corinthians

Corinthians

0

Brazil Serie A 01/09/24

Corinthians

Corinthians

2
Flamengo

Flamengo

1

Brazil Serie A 11/05/24

Flamengo

Flamengo

2
Corinthians

Corinthians

0

Brazil Serie A 08/10/23

Corinthians

Corinthians

1
Flamengo

Flamengo

1

Brazil Serie A 21/05/23

Flamengo

Flamengo

1
Corinthians

Corinthians

0

Corinthians preview: Trio out injured for hosts

Ryan, Diego Palacios and Ruan Oliveira are all out injured for Corinthians. The hosts looked slick in the final third in midweek when they put five goals past Athletico PR in a Serie A fixture.

Predicted lineup: Souza (GK), Franca, Ramalho, Caca, Bidu, Martinez, Carrillo, Garro, Bidon, Alberto, Depay

Brazil Serie A 10/05/25

L

Mirassol

Mirassol

2

Corinthians

Corinthians

1

Copa Sudamericana 07/05/25

D

America de Cali

America de Cali

1

Corinthians

Corinthians

1

Brazil Serie A 03/05/25

W

Internacional

Internacional

2

Corinthians

Corinthians

4

Copa do Brasil 01/05/25

W

Gremio Novorizontino

Gremio Novorizontino

0

Corinthians

Corinthians

1

Brazil Serie A 27/04/25

L

Flamengo

Flamengo

4

Corinthians

Corinthians

0

Flamengo preview: Suspensions mounting up for visitors

Last year's beaten Copa do Brasil finalists Flamengo must compete in this weekend's crucial clash without the suspended Erick Pulgar, Gerson and Nicolas De La Cruz while Luiz Araujo and Pedro are both out injured.

Predicted lineup: Rossi (GK), Wesley, Bruno, Pereira, Lucas, Ortiz, Allan, Goncalves, Alcaraz, Henrique, Barbosa

Brazil Serie A 11/05/25

W

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

0

Flamengo

Flamengo

1

Copa Libertadores 08/05/25

D

Central Cordoba

Central Cordoba

1

Flamengo

Flamengo

1

Brazil Serie A 04/05/25

L

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

2

Flamengo

Flamengo

1

Copa do Brasil 01/05/25

W

Botafogo PB

Botafogo PB

0

Flamengo

Flamengo

1

Brazil Serie A 27/04/25

W

Corinthians

Corinthians

0

Flamengo

Flamengo

4

Player to watch – Memphis Depay

Dutch international Memphis Depay was a high-profile summer capture for Corinthians and the 30-year-old finally got off the mark for his new employers against Athletico PR in midweek.

Corinthians vs Flamengo prediction
Memphis Depay got off the mark for Corinthians in midweek. (Photo by Imago)

Depay’s class could tell

Depay can be a major threat in the final third when he is fit and firing and the 30-year-old has the kind of top-level experience that isn’t all that common in domestic football in Brazil. The ex-Barcelona and Atletico Madrid star could make a telling impact on Sunday.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.