Como vs Lecce prediction, odds & betting tips – 28/02/2026
Como players celebrating || Credit IMAGO / Insidefoto
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Home to win and over 2.5 goals

Como have dominated recent meetings with Lecce, winning the last three encounters, with two of those matches featuring at least three goals scored.

Como will prepare to host Lecce at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia this Saturday for round 27 in Serie A, with the home team looking to keep the pressure on the Serie A’s top four race.

The host boosted their European push with a valuable 2-0 victory over Juventus last weekend, ending a three-match winless spell in the league and moving to within touching distance of Serie A’s top four. 

The Lariani have their sights set on a first UEFA Champions League qualification, but they still trail the top four by five points and have struggled to build sustained momentum, managing consecutive league wins only once in their last eight outings.

Cesc Fabregas’s side have claimed just one win from their previous five Serie A matches at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, tempering expectations despite their recent success.

Meanwhile, Lecce saw a two-game winning streak come to an end with a 2-0 defeat against league leaders Inter Milan. That setback left the Salentini in the relegation zone on goal difference, with just three points separating 14th and 18th place before this round.

Head coach Eusebio Di Francesco will be keen for improvement away from home, where his team have won only once in their last seven league trips. 

However, a 2-0 success at Cagliari Calcio in their most recent away outing provides hope of securing back-to-back top-flight away wins.

Read our Como vs Lecce predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Italian Serie A predictions

Como vs Lecce prediction: Home team to get a comfortable win

Key statistics

  • Como have won their last three meetings against Lecce and over 2.5 goals have been scored twice in those encounters.
  • Lecce have lost and failed to keep a clean sheet in their last three meetings with Como.
  • Como have not conceded against Lecce in their last three encounters.

Correct score prediction: Como 3-0 Lecce

We expect the home team to secure a comfortable victory in this fixture. We predict a 3-0 win for Como based on their impressive performance this season and the creative brilliance displayed by the team. 

While Lecce has shown grit in recent away matches, including a 0-2 victory at Cagliari, the attacking display of the Larians should prove to be the deciding factor. The previous meetings between these two sides suggest that the home advantage plays a massive role in the outcome.

We believe the attacking threat available to the hosts will eventually break down a Lecce defence that has often struggled against high-pressing systems this season.

Pre-match odds and win probability: Como are clear favourites at home

  • Home: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
  • Draw: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
  • Away: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%

*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*

Como are strong favourites at 1.44 odds, implying a 69.2% probability of securing all three points on home soil. The draw is priced at 4.33 odds, giving it a 23.1% implied chance. Lecce are clear underdogs at 7.50 odds, which translates to a 13.3% probability of an away victory.

Most recent head-to-head: Como dominate history 

The history between these two sides has been largely dominated by the Larians in recent seasons, with the visitors finding it difficult to breach the Como defence. 

Looking at the last five meetings between Como and Lecce, the home side have secured three victories, while the visitors have one win and one ended in a draw. In their most recent clash in December 2025, Como triumphed with a 3-0 scoreline, mirroring their 3-0 victory in April 2025.

Lecce have failed to score a single goal in their last three meetings, making the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia a particularly daunting destination for the Giallorossi.

Italy Serie A 27/12/25

Lecce

Lecce

0
Como

Como

3

Italy Serie A 19/04/25

Lecce

Lecce

0
Como

Como

3

Italy Serie A 30/12/24

Como

Como

2
Lecce

Lecce

0

Coppa Italia 13/08/23

Lecce

Lecce

1
Como

Como

0

Italy Serie B 05/02/22

Como

Como

1
Lecce

Lecce

1

After reviewing our key Como vs Lecce predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.

Como preview: Attacking setbacks for Fabregas

Como have injury issues, with in-form Martin Baturina ruled out for around three weeks due to an ankle sprain. Teenage winger Jayden Addai has also seen his season ended after suffering an Achilles injury in training.

Assane Diao remains sidelined, further limiting options in attack. However, there is positive news for head coach Fabregas, as star playmaker Nico Paz is available again after missing last week’s win through suspension.

Predicted lineup: Butez (GK), Smolcic, Ramon, Kempf, Valle, Perrone, Da Cunha, Vojvoda, Paz, Rodriguez & Douvikas

Last five fixtures

  • 21.02.26 – Juventus 0–2 Como (Serie A)
  • 18.02.26 – AC Milan 1–1 Como (Serie A)
  • 14.02.26 – Como 1–2 Fiorentina (Serie A)
  • 10.02.26 – Napoli 1–1 Como (P) (Coppa Italia, AET)
  • 01.02.26 – Como 0–0 Atalanta (Serie A)

Lecce preview: Limited options in attack

On-loan AC Milan youngster Francesco Camarda is still unavailable, while Mergim Berisha and Kialonda Gaspar are also sidelined. Gaspar suffered a serious knee injury against Inter, further stretching the visitors’ resources.

Predicted lineup: Falcone (GK), Veiga, Gabriel, Siebert, Gallo, Coulibaly, Ramadani, Pierotti, Gandelman, Sottil & Cheddira

Last five fixtures

  • 21.02.26 – Lecce 0–2 Inter (Serie A)
  • 16.02.26 – Cagliari 0–2 Lecce (Serie A)
  • 08.02.26 – Lecce 2–1 Udinese (Serie A)
  • 01.02.26 – Torino 1–0 Lecce (Serie A)
  • 24.01.26 – Lecce 0–0 Lazio (Serie A)

Player to watch: Anastasios Douvikas

Anastasios Douvikas is enjoying his good season with Como and he has played a pivotal role in the home side's surge up the Serie A table. He has recorded eight goals and one assist in Serie A this season.

Anastasios Douvikas in action for Como || Credit - IMAGO / Ball Raw Images
Anastasios Douvikas in action for Como || Credit – IMAGO / Ball Raw Images

His presence in the final third makes him a big threat to the Lecce defence. We expect him to get on the score sheet as the Larians push to secure another home victory.

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