Fiorentina vs Parma predictions
Photo by IMAGO
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Both teams have scored in five of Fiorentina's last six outings.

Fiorentina have the home advantage against Como on Sunday and head into the game as the favourite but the hosts will be without their top scorer Moise Kean who is suspended.

Fiorentina vs Como prediction: Both teams to score?

Key Stats

  • Five of Como's last six league games have ended with both teams scoring.
  • Over 2.5 goals have been produced in five of the hosts' last six fixtures.
  • Four of the visitor's last five matches have ended with at least three goals scored.

Correct score prediction: Fiorentina 2-1 Como

Fiorentina have won three of their last four matches in Serie A and have claimed victories in each of their three previous meetings with Como. The hosts have only managed to keep one clean sheet in their last six attempts and will be without top scorer Kean this weekend, so we're going with a narrow 2-1 correct score prediction in favour of Fiorentina.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Fiorentina the overwhelming favourite

  • HOME: 7/19 (1.37) – 73.1%
  • DRAW: 43/10 (5.30) – 18.9%
  • AWAY: 10/1 (11.00) – 9.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Fiorentina are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 73.1 % and we tend to agree with the bookmakers on this selection.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: 100% record for Fiorentina

Sunday's hosts have won each of their three previous encounters with Como, claiming a 2-0 victory when the pair met for their reverse league meeting in November.

Italy Serie A 24/11/24

Como

Como

0
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

Fiorentina preview: Three wins from last four

Raffaele Palladino's side made the trip to the San Siro on Monday night looking to make it back-to-back wins over Inter in the space of four days.

The home side took the lead on this occasion courtesy of an own goal from Marin Pongracic but a Ronaldo Mandragora penalty put Fiorentina back onto level terms just before the interval. However, an early goal in the second 45 for the home side proved enough to defeat Firoetina 2-1 on the night with Moise Kean picking up a yellow card which means he will now miss the Como game.

Defender Pablo Mari looks set to miss the Como game due to a thigh injury but should be back in action very soon.

Predicted lineup: de Gea (GK), Gosens, Pongracic, Dodo, Ranieri, Parisi, Moreno, Mandragora, Richardson, Zaniolo & Beltran 

Italy Serie A 13/04/25

D

Parma

Parma

0

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

0

UEFA Conference League 10/04/25

W

NK Celje

NK Celje

1

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

Italy Serie A 05/04/25

D

AC Milan

AC Milan

2

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

Italy Serie A 30/03/25

W

Atalanta

Atalanta

0

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1

Italy Serie A 16/03/25

W

Juventus

Juventus

0

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

3

Como preview: Lost four of last five

Como were looking to end their two-game losing run when they played host to Juventus last Friday.

The visitors took the lead in the 34th minute but Assane Diao equalised for Como in first-half stoppage time. This game appeared to be heading for a draw until the 89th minute when Juve were awarded a penalty which Randal Kolo Muani converted much to the disappointment of the home fans.

Sergi Roberto, Alberto Moreno, Ivan Azon, Marc-Oliver Kempf, Dele Alli, Mergim Vojvoda and Daniele Baselli all look set to miss the trip to Florence this weekend through injury.

Predicted lineup: Butez (GK), Goldaniga, Dossena, Smolcic, Valle, da Cunha, Perrone, Paz, Cutrone, Strefezza & Diao

Italy Serie A 13/04/25

W

Torino

Torino

0

Como

Como

1

Italy Serie A 05/04/25

W

Monza

Monza

1

Como

Como

3

Italy Serie A 29/03/25

D

Empoli

Empoli

1

Como

Como

1

Italy Serie A 15/03/25

L

AC Milan

AC Milan

2

Como

Como

1

Italy Serie A 08/03/25

D

Venezia

Venezia

1

Como

Como

1

Player to watch: Lucas Beltran

Lucas Beltran hasn't set Serie A alight since making the move to Fiorentina from his homeland of Argentina last season but the hardworking forward is a key player for the Italian side.

Lucas Beltran player to watch
Lucas Beltran in action for Fiorentina – Photo by Imago

Beltran is the second top scorer in the Fiorentina side with four Serie A goals and he is going to need to be at his best this weekend as top scorer Mosie Kean, who has 15 league goals, is unavailable due to a suspension.

With Kean suspended there is more pressure on Beltran to score

We're backing Beltran to lead by example on Sunday, helping to guide Fiorentina to all three points at home to Como.


James developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer and now has 10+ years experience covering club and international leagues and competitions across the globe.