Colombia vs Costa Rica prediction, odds & betting tips – 28/06/2024

🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 2.5 total goals

At least three goals have been scored in five of Colombia's and four of Costa Rica's last six fixtures.

Colombia took an early lead in Group D after they beat Paraguay 2-1 and Costa Rica held Brazil to a goalless draw on matchday one.

With both teams picking up positive results confidence will be high in both camps and that should make for a close and competitive match on Friday night.

Colombia vs Costa Rica prediction: Narrow win for Los Cafeteros?

Key Stats

  • The last two meetings between Colombia and Costa Rica have both produced over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams have scored in four of Colombia's last six outings.
  • Costa Rica have only failed to score in two of their last six matches.

Correct score prediction: Colombia 2-1 Costa Rica

We're backing Colombia to claim a narrow 2-1 win against Costa Rica as Los Cafeteros have won six of their last seven games against the Central Americans. Colombia have also scored at least two goals in five of their last six matches and have only managed to keep two clean sheets during that period.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Colombia the big favourite

  • HOME: 4/11 (1.36) – 73.3%
  • DRAW: 41/10 (5.10) – 19.6%
  • AWAY: 9/1 (10.00) – 10%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Colombia are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 73.3%, but we are expecting a close and competitive 90 minutes between the pair.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: Colombia dominate

Of their last five encounters, Colombia have won four times and lost once against Costa Rica, securing a 3-1 victory when the pair last locked horns in 2018.

International Match 17/10/18

Colombia

Colombia

3
Costa Rica

Costa Rica

1

Copa America 12/06/16

Colombia

Colombia

2
Costa Rica

Costa Rica

3

International Match 06/06/15

Colombia

Colombia

1
Costa Rica

Costa Rica

0

Colombia preview: Off to a winning start

Colombia were handed a setback early on against Paraguay when Bologna centre-back Jhon Lucumi picked up an injury.

Despite that blow, Colombia scored twice in the first half with both goals being assisted by James Rodriguez and although Paraguay pulled a goal back in the second 45, Los Cafeteros held firm and won their opening group game 2-1.

Predicted lineup: Vargas (GK), Mojica, Sánchez, Mina, Muñoz, Rodríguez, Lerma, Arias, Rios, Borré & Díaz

Copa America 15/07/24

L

Argentina

Argentina

1

Colombia

Colombia

0

Copa America 11/07/24

W

Uruguay

Uruguay

0

Colombia

Colombia

1

Copa America 06/07/24

W

Panama

Panama

0

Colombia

Colombia

5

Copa America 03/07/24

D

Brazil

Brazil

1

Colombia

Colombia

1

Copa America 28/06/24

W

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

0

Colombia

Colombia

3

Costa Rica preview: Secured a point against Brazil

In what was expected to be an easy opening game for Brazil turned out to be anything but as Costa Rica defended manfully to see out a goalless draw.

Brazil through everything at Los Ticos including their 17-year-old prospect Endrick but Gustavo Alfaro's men stayed strong and deserved their share of the spoils.

Predicted lineup: Sequeira (GK), Calvo, Vargas, Quirós, Mitchell, Galo, Brenes, Aguilera, Lassiter, Ugalde & Zamora

Copa America 03/07/24

W

Paraguay

Paraguay

1

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

2

Copa America 28/06/24

L

Colombia

Colombia

3

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

0

Copa America 25/06/24

D

Brazil

Brazil

0

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

0

North & Central America - World Cup Qualifying 09/06/24

W

Grenada

Grenada

0

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

3

North & Central America - World Cup Qualifying 07/06/24

W

St. Kitts and Nevis

St. Kitts and Nevis

0

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

4

Player to watch – James Rodriguez

Everyone knew heading into the 2024 Copa America that James Rodriguez would be key to Colombia's chances of going far in the USA.

James Rodríguez player to watch
James Rodríguez of Sao Paulo runs forward with the ball – Photo by Icon Sport

On matchday one, against Paraguay, James set-up both goals in a 2-1 victory for Los Cafeteros in his 101st appearance for his country and with Brazil only managing a draw with Costa Rica, that result put Colombia top of Group D.

Will James be the man to unlock the Costa Rica defence?

We're backing James to provide the key to unlocking what proved to be a well-organised Costa Rica defence against Brazil as he has the creativity and vision from open play to spot a pass as well as being an expert set-piece taker.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things