Two teams closing in on qualification for the 2026 World Cup meet in Brasilia this week. Our Brazil vs Colombia prediction considers whether the hosts can claim a morale-boosting victory.
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Brazil vs Colombia prediction: Hosts to win by one with Raphinha on target
Key stats
- Our Brazil vs Colombia betting tips take into account that the hosts have only won two of their last 19 matches by more than a single goal.
- Brazil have won 17 of their last 20 home World Cup qualifiers, losing only one.
- It’s three defeats in four matches for Colombia, with all of those losses coming by one-goal margins.
Correct score prediction: Brazil 2-1 Colombia
It has not been a convincing campaign for Brazil, but they should still qualify for the World Cup with few issues and they have enough quality to see off Colombia here.
The visitors boasted a formidable record in international football for two years building into last summer’s Copa America, but their recent performances and results have been much less impressive.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hosts the clear favourites
- HOME: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- AWAY: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Brazil vs Colombia odds, with an implied probability of 57.1% that they win this match.
They’ve not played since a 1-1 draw against Uruguay last November when Gerson grabbed their goal.
Colombia’s last match was a rare home defeat, coming by a 1-0 margin against Ecuador, despite their visitors playing most of the game with only 10 players.
For more from the upcoming matches, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Los Cafeteros target first win in Brazil
Our Brazil vs Colombia prediction suggests the hosts can successfully extend their unbeaten home record against this opposition.
Colombia have only managed to score three goals in total across their seven previous visits to this country in World Cup qualifying.
Copa America 03/07/24
Brazil
Colombia
South America - World Cup Qualifying 17/11/23
Colombia
Brazil
South America - World Cup Qualifying 12/11/21
Brazil
Colombia
South America - World Cup Qualifying 10/10/21
Colombia
Brazil
Copa America 24/06/21
Brazil
Colombia
Brazil preview: Neymar return cut short
Neymar was due to return to the international fold here, but he has had to pull out of the squad with an injury, along with Ederson and Danilo.
Predicted Lineup: Alisson (GK), Vanderson, Gabriel, Marquinhos, Arana, Gerson, Bruno Guimaraes, Rodrygo, Raphinha, Vinicius & Cunha
South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25 L Argentina 4 Brazil 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25 W Colombia 1 Brazil 2 South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24 D Uruguay 1 Brazil 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 14/11/24 D Venezuela 1 Brazil 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/10/24 W Peru 0 Brazil 4
Colombia preview: Sinisterra withdraws
The visitors will have to cope without Luis Sinisterra who has withdrawn with an injury. Jhon Duran is pushing for a start up top.
Predicted Lineup: Vargas (GK), Munoz, Sanchez, Lucumi, Mojica, Lerma, Rios, Arias, J. Rodriguez, Diaz & Duran
South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25 D Paraguay 2 Colombia 2 South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25 L Brazil 2 Colombia 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 19/11/24 L Ecuador 1 Colombia 0 South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/11/24 L Uruguay 3 Colombia 2 South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/10/24 W Chile 0 Colombia 4
Player to watch – Raphinha
One of the bright sparks for Brazil of late has been Raphinha. He has also been in stunning form for Barcelona, with seven goals and five assists in his last 11 appearances.
Raphinha shining on the big stage
The winger has four goals in eight appearances during this World Cup qualifying campaign. He has also netted 11 in 10 Champions League matches this term, averaging 3.9 shots per game in that competition.