Peru vs Chile prediction, odds & betting tips – 16/11/2024
Peru and Chile drew 0-0 when they last met in the summer. (Photo by Imago)
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Under 2.5 total goals

Eight of Peru’s last nine matches in all competitions have produced under 2.5 goals.

Peru welcome Chile to the Estadio Monumental to contest a CONMEBOL World Cup Qualification fixture on Saturday, 16 November. Read our World Cup predictions for the clash below.

Peru vs Chile prediction: Goals could be at a premium in Lima

Key Stats

  • Eight of Peru’s last nine matches in all competitions have featured under 2.5 goals.
  • Peru and Chile drew 0-0 when they last met back in June.
  • Peru and Chile have won only one of their first ten World Cup qualification fixtures each.
  • Three Chile players were booked in their team’s 0-0 draw with Peru in the summer.

Correct score prediction: Peru 0-0 Chile

Peru and Chile occupy the bottom two places in the CONMEBOL World Cup qualification group, netting just eight goals in 20 fixtures combined in the section so far. The toothless outfits drew 0-0 when they last met in June and a similar outcome could be in the works here.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Peru are favourites

  • HOME: 27/20 (2.35) – 42.6%
  • DRAW: 15/8 (2.88) – 34.8%
  • AWAY: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Peru have won only once in ten attempts in their World Cup qualification section so far, though they are one place above bottom-side Chile in the table and have been priced as 27/20 favourites to win on Saturday as a result.

Like their hosts, Chile have won only once in the CONMEBOL qualification section and the Chileans have only a 28.6% chance of doubling their tally of victories at Peru’s expense. You can find more of our latest football predictions on our dedicated page.

Most recent H2Hs: History of low-scoring contests

Peru and Chile drew 0-0 when they last met in June and that was the fourth tussle in a row between the clubs where under 2.5 goals landed.

Copa America 22/06/24

Peru

Peru

0
Chile

Chile

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 13/10/23

Chile

Chile

2
Peru

Peru

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 08/10/21

Peru

Peru

2
Chile

Chile

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 13/11/20

Chile

Chile

2
Peru

Peru

0

Copa America 04/07/19

Chile

Chile

0
Peru

Peru

3

Peru preview: Veteran Guerrero could lead the line

Marcos López, Carlos Ascues, Renato Tapia, Christian Cueva, Yoshimar Yotun, Yordy Reyna and Andre Carillo are all missing from the Peruvian roster. 40-year-old striker Paolo Guerrero could feature in attack for Peru.

Predicted lineup: Gallese (GK), Araujo, Zambrano, Callens, Advincula, Cartagena, Castillo, Pena, Abram, Guerrero, Flores

South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25

L

Venezuela

Venezuela

1

Peru

Peru

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25

W

Bolivia

Bolivia

1

Peru

Peru

3

South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24

L

Argentina

Argentina

1

Peru

Peru

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/11/24

D

Chile

Chile

0

Peru

Peru

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/10/24

L

Brazil

Brazil

4

Peru

Peru

0

Chile preview: Medel, Pulgar and Sanchez missing

Chile are missing a number of high-profile players including Mauricio Isla, Eugenio Mena, Gary Medel, Erick Pulgar, Marcelo Diaz, Ben Brereton Diaz and Alexis Sanchez. Arturo Vidal could claim the armband in Sanchez's absence.

Predicted lineup: Cortes (GK), Loyola, Maripan, Kuscevic, Sierralta, Echeverria, Vidal, Pavez, Valdes, Aravena, Vargas

South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25

D

Ecuador

Ecuador

0

Chile

Chile

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/03/25

L

Paraguay

Paraguay

1

Chile

Chile

0

International Match 08/02/25

W

Panama

Panama

1

Chile

Chile

6

South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24

W

Venezuela

Venezuela

2

Chile

Chile

4

South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/11/24

D

Peru

Peru

0

Chile

Chile

0

Player to watch – Arturo Vidal

Arturo Vidal missed Chile’s chastening 4-0 loss to Colombia in October, though the veteran midfielder returns to the fold this weekend and his experience could be key in Lima.

Peru vs Chile prediction
Veteran Arturo Vidal returns to the Chilean midfield this weekend. (Photo by Imago)

Vidal has seen it all before

Vidal turned 37 at the start of the summer and having represented his country a massive 142 times already, the midfielder is the most-capped player in the current Chile squad. Vidal, who plays his club football with Colo-Colo still has enough quality to shine on Saturday.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.