Chelsea vs Man Utd prediction, odds & betting tips – 16/05/2025
Chelsea are odds-on favourites to beat domestic strugglers, Man Utd. (Photo by Imago)
🔥 Our Hot tip

Half time result: Chelsea to win

Chelsea have been winning at half time in 50% of their home games in the Premier League this season while United have had their noses in front at the interval just twice in 18 attempts on the road.

Top-four chasers Chelsea lock horns with Man Utd at Stamford Bridge in England’s Premier League on Friday, 16 May. Read our Premier League predictions for the clash below.

Chelsea vs Man Utd prediction: Blues should be in command in the capital

Key Stats

  • Man Utd have lost five and drawn two of their last seven assignments in the Premier League.
  • Man Utd have failed to score in 14 of their 36 Premier League fixtures this season.
  • Three of Chelsea’s last four Premier League wins on home soil finished 1-0 in the Blues’ favour.
  • Eight players were booked when Chelsea and Man Utd last met in November.

Correct score prediction: Chelsea 1-0 Man Utd

Chelsea have won seven of their last eight league games at Stamford Bridge, however, three of the most recent four of those victories finished 1-0 to the Blues, so margins could be slim again on Friday.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Chelsea are clear favourites

  • HOME: 1/3 (1.33) – 75%
  • DRAW: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
  • AWAY: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Chelsea’s 2-0 defeat at Newcastle was a blow to their top four hopes, though the Blues have won seven of their last eight games at home and they have a 75% chance of bouncing back here.

Man Utd meanwhile, will have their eyes firmly on next week’s Europa League Final and with heavy team rotation expected, they are far from backable against Chelsea, even at a mammoth price of 6/1. Check out more of our latest football predictions and Premier League analysis on our dedicated page.

Most recent H2Hs: BTTS has been a common outcome

Chelsea and Man Utd drew their reverse fixture 1-1 in November and that was the seventh tussle in a row between the clubs where BTTS landed.

TEST Fixtures 28/02/25

Man Utd

Man Utd

2
Chelsea

Chelsea

2

TEST Fixtures 26/02/25

Man Utd

Man Utd

0
Chelsea

Chelsea

0

TEST Fixtures 28/11/24

Chelsea

Chelsea

0
Man Utd

Man Utd

0

TEST Fixtures 27/11/24

Man Utd

Man Utd

0
Chelsea

Chelsea

0

TEST Fixtures 27/11/24

Chelsea

Chelsea

0
Man Utd

Man Utd

2

Chelsea preview: James could return

Christopher Nkunku, Marc Guiu and Wesley Fofana remain sidelined for Chelsea. Reece James and Malo Gusto will both be hoping to start having come off the bench against Newcastle. Nicolas Jackson is suspended having been sent off in the same game, while loanee Jadon Sancho cannot face his parent club. Chelsea will move into the top four if they manage to win on Friday.

Predicted lineup: Sanchez (GK), James, Chalobah, Colwill, Cucurella, Lavia, Caicedo, Fernandez, Neto, Palmer, Madueke

England Premier League 11/05/25

L

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

Chelsea

Chelsea

0

UEFA Conference League 08/05/25

W

Djurgarden

Djurgarden

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

England Premier League 04/05/25

W

Liverpool

Liverpool

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

3

UEFA Conference League 01/05/25

W

Djurgarden

Djurgarden

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

4

England Premier League 26/04/25

W

Everton

Everton

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

Man Utd preview: Visitors will rotate

Leny Yoro should join Matthijs de Ligt, Diogo Dalot, Lisandro Martinez and Joshua Zirkzee in the stands having picked up an injury in United's 2-0 loss to West Ham. That reverse was Man Utd's ninth home league defeat of the season, their joint-most ever in a single league campaign, and most since 1962-63. Expect Ruben Amorim to rotate ahead of next week's crucial Europa League Final.

Predicted lineup: Bayindir (GK), Fredricson, Lindelof, Shaw, Dorgu, Ugarte, Eriksen, Amass, Mainoo, Mount, Obi

England Premier League 11/05/25

L

West Ham

West Ham

2

Man Utd

Man Utd

0

UEFA Europa League 08/05/25

W

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Man Utd

Man Utd

4

England Premier League 04/05/25

L

Brentford

Brentford

4

Man Utd

Man Utd

3

UEFA Europa League 01/05/25

W

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Man Utd

Man Utd

3

England Premier League 27/04/25

D

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

1

Man Utd

Man Utd

1

Player to watch – Mason Mount

It’s taken a while, but Mason Mount has started to show flashes of the old form that earned him a move from Chelsea to Man Utd in 2023 and the midfielder should be in confident fettle ahead of playing his former employers.

Chelsea vs Man United prediction
Can an improving Mason Mount shine against former club Chelsea? (Photo by Imago)

Mount will be determined to shine

Mount, who scored two cracking goals in the Europa League quarter-finals against Athletic Bilbao a week ago, has bagged three goals in his last three appearances overall, so he won’t be afraid to shoot if given a sight of goal at Stamford Bridge.

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Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.