Fulham vs Chelsea prediction
Fulham in action against Ipswich - Photo by Imago
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BTTS & Over 2.5 goals

Both teams have scored in 75% of Fulham's home games and over 2.5 goals have been produced in 62% of the matches at Craven Cottage this season.

Fulham secured the bragging rights in December's West London derby at Stamford Bridge and will be looking to claim the domestic double over Chelsea for the first time in their history this Sunday.

Fulham vs Chelsea prediction: Goals expected at the Cottage

Key Stats

  • Over 2.5 goals have been produced in 56% of Chelsea's away games and 56% of the Blues trips on the road have also seen both teams score.
  • Fulham claimed a 2-1 win over Chelsea at Stamford Bridge in December's reverse league meeting.
  • Raul Jimenez has 13 goal involvements in the Premier League this season for Fulham.

Correct score prediction: Fulham 2-1 Chelsea

We're backing Fulham to claim another 2-1 win against Chelsea this weekend, just as they did back in December. Sunday's hosts score an average of 1.56 goals per home game and Chelsea's away games are averaging a total of exactly 3.00 goals this season. Enzo Maresca's side were in action in midweek against Legia Warsaw, losing the game 2-1 but winning on aggregate, so some tired legs are to be expected.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Chelsea the slight favourite

  • HOME: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
  • DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
  • AWAY: 6/4 (2.50) – 40%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Chelsea are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 40% but we can see Fulham getting something out of Sunday's West London derby.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Chelsea lead

Sunday's guests have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five competitive games against their local rivals Fulham, but lost 2-1 at home to the Cottagers in December.

England Premier League 26/12/24

Chelsea

Chelsea

1
Fulham

Fulham

2

TEST Fixtures 08/11/24

Chelsea

Chelsea

1
Fulham

Fulham

0

England Premier League 13/01/24

Chelsea

Chelsea

1
Fulham

Fulham

0

England Premier League 02/10/23

Fulham

Fulham

0
Chelsea

Chelsea

2

Elite Club Friendlies 30/07/23

Chelsea

Chelsea

2
Fulham

Fulham

0

Fulham preview: Narrowly beaten at the Vitality

Fulham got off to a nightmare start away against Bournemouth last time out, conceding a goal in the opening minute.

Despite their best efforts, Fulham were unable to carve out an equaliser at the Vitality Stadium and ended up losing the game 1-0.

Reiss Nelson has a thigh injury and has been ruled out of the West London derby, while Harry Wilson is touch and go.

Predicted lineup: Leno (GK), Andersen, Castagne, Robinson, Bassey, Lukic, Pereira, Berge, Sessegnon, Iwobi & Muniz

England Premier League 20/04/25

L

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

Fulham

Fulham

1

England Premier League 14/04/25

L

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

1

Fulham

Fulham

0

England Premier League 06/04/25

W

Liverpool

Liverpool

2

Fulham

Fulham

3

England Premier League 01/04/25

L

Arsenal

Arsenal

2

Fulham

Fulham

1

England FA Cup 29/03/25

L

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

3

Fulham

Fulham

0

Chelsea preview: Held at home by Ipswich

Chelsea fans would have been expecting a lot more from their side at home to struggling Ipswich Town last weekend but relief was the overall emotion come the final whistle.

The Tractor Boys scored twice in the first half to lead 2-0 at the break but an own goal early in the second half got Chelsea back into the game. Jadon Sancho, who has not exactly impressed during his loan spell, came up with an equalising goal for Maresca's men in the 79th minute to spare any blushes. Sancho had gone 15 consecutive matches without registering a goal or assist before the Ipswich game. In those 15 games, he had just two shots on target.

Wesley Fofana, Omari Kellyman, Marc Guiu Paz and Romeo Lavia could all miss the short trip to Craven Cottage this weekend due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Sanchez (GK), Adarabioyo, Cucurella, Chalobah, Colwill, Palmer, Fernandez, Caicedo, Neto, Madueke & Jackson

England Premier League 20/04/25

W

Fulham

Fulham

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

UEFA Conference League 17/04/25

L

Legia Warsaw

Legia Warsaw

2

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

England Premier League 13/04/25

D

Ipswich

Ipswich

2

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

UEFA Conference League 10/04/25

W

Legia Warsaw

Legia Warsaw

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

3

England Premier League 06/04/25

D

Brentford

Brentford

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

0

Player to watch: Rodrigo Muniz

Rodrigo Muniz has impressed this season despite making most of his appearances for Fulham from the substitutes bench.

rodrigo muniz

The Brazilian forward, who made 26 appearances last season, 18 starts, and scored nine league goals, has featured in 31 games for Fulham this season, making just eight starts, and scoring eight goals so far.

Will Fulham's super-sub strike again in the West London derby

Muniz was on target in December against Chelsea, scoring the winning goal in the West London derby and we're backing him to make his mark on Sunday as well when Fulham chase a historic derby double.


James developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer and now has 10+ years experience covering club and international leagues and competitions across the globe.