Chelsea will be looking to make the most of their home advantage when they take on David Moyes' Everton in Saturday's early kick-off in the Premier League.
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Chelsea vs Everton prediction: A home win but goals at both ends?
Key Stats
- Both teams have scored in 69% of Chelsea's home games this season.
- Everton have only failed to score in three of their 14 league games since David Moyes took charge in January.
- Chelsea's home games this season are producing an average of 9.88 total corners.
- Everton's away games in the Premier League produce an average of 10.25 total corners.
Correct score prediction: Chelsea 2-1 Everton
We're backing Chelsea to claim a narrow 2-1 win against the Toffees this weekend as the visitors will be without centre-back James Tarkowski due to injury and the Everton defender has played a huge role in the club's excellent defensive record this season. Chelsea also score an average of 1.88 goals and concede an average of 1.06 goals per home game, which makes a 2-1 home win look even more probable.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Chelsea the clear favourite
- HOME: 5/8 (1.63) – 61.5%
- DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
- AWAY: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Chelsea are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 61.5% and we tend to agree with this selection.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Chelsea edge it
Saturday's hosts have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five league meetings with Everton, but the sides did play out a goalless draw at Goodison Park back in December.
England Premier League 22/12/24
Everton
Chelsea
England Premier League 15/04/24
Chelsea
Everton
England Premier League 10/12/23
Everton
Chelsea
England Premier League 18/03/23
Chelsea
Everton
England Premier League 06/08/22
Everton
Chelsea
Chelsea preview: Left it late at the Cottage
A goal in the 20th minute from Alex Iwobi looked like it might clinch Fulham's first domestic double over Chelsea last weekend.
However, teenager Tyrique George equalised in the 83rd minute and deep into stoppage time, Pedro Neto crushed the home fans' spirits by scoring Chelsea's winning goal. Neto’s goal (92:31) was Chelsea’s latest winning goal in a Premier League London derby on record (since 2006-07).
Malo Gusto, Wesley Fofana, Omari Kellyman and Marc Guiu Paz could all miss the Everton game this weekend due to injury.
Predicted lineup: Sanchez (GK), Cucurella, Chalobah, James, Colwill, Palmer, Fernandez, Caicedo, Neto, Madueke & Jackson
England Premier League 11/05/25
L
Newcastle
2
Chelsea
0
UEFA Conference League 08/05/25
W
Djurgarden
0
Chelsea
1
England Premier League 04/05/25
W
Liverpool
1
Chelsea
3
UEFA Conference League 01/05/25
W
Djurgarden
1
Chelsea
4
England Premier League 26/04/25
W
Everton
0
Chelsea
1
Everton preview: Undone late on by the Citizens
Everton gave a decent account of themselves at home against Manchester City but were let down by their inability to put the ball into the back of the net.
In the end, the visitors scored twice late on to secure a 2-0 victory and extended their good run of form.
Tarkowski got injured against City and now joins the likes of Orel Mangala, Jesper Lindstrom and Dominic Calvert-Lewin on the sidelines, while Chelsea loanee Armando Broja can't play against his parent club.
Predicted lineup: Pickford (GK), Patterson, Mykolenko, Branthwaite, O'Brien, Gueye, Doucoure, Garner, Harrison, Beto & Ndiaye
England Premier League 10/05/25
W
Fulham
1
Everton
3
England Premier League 03/05/25
D
Ipswich
2
Everton
2
England Premier League 26/04/25
L
Chelsea
1
Everton
0
England Premier League 19/04/25
L
Man City
2
Everton
0
England Premier League 12/04/25
W
Nottm Forest
0
Everton
1
Player to watch: Cole Palmer
Cole Palmer has been Chelsea's star player once again this season and we're expecting the England international to shine on Saturday.
Palmer has 14 Premier League goals and eight assists to his name so far this season and with Everton missing the experience and leadership of Tarkowski at the back, we're expecting Palmer to take full advantage.
Can Palmer provide the key to unlocking the Everton defence?
However, Palmer is going through a goal drought right now having failed to score in each of his last 16 appearances for club and country.