Chelsea vs Everton predictions
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Chelsea & BTTS

Chelsea have picked up nine wins and suffered just two defeats from their 16 Premier League games at Stamford Bridge this season.

Chelsea will be looking to make the most of their home advantage when they take on David Moyes' Everton in Saturday's early kick-off in the Premier League.

Chelsea vs Everton prediction: A home win but goals at both ends?

Key Stats

  • Both teams have scored in 69% of Chelsea's home games this season.
  • Everton have only failed to score in three of their 14 league games since David Moyes took charge in January.
  • Chelsea's home games this season are producing an average of 9.88 total corners.
  • Everton's away games in the Premier League produce an average of 10.25 total corners.

Correct score prediction: Chelsea 2-1 Everton

We're backing Chelsea to claim a narrow 2-1 win against the Toffees this weekend as the visitors will be without centre-back James Tarkowski due to injury and the Everton defender has played a huge role in the club's excellent defensive record this season. Chelsea also score an average of 1.88 goals and concede an average of 1.06 goals per home game, which makes a 2-1 home win look even more probable.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Chelsea the clear favourite

  • HOME: 5/8 (1.63) – 61.5%
  • DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
  • AWAY: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Chelsea are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 61.5% and we tend to agree with this selection.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Chelsea edge it

Saturday's hosts have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five league meetings with Everton, but the sides did play out a goalless draw at Goodison Park back in December.

England Premier League 22/12/24

Everton

Everton

0
Chelsea

Chelsea

0

England Premier League 15/04/24

Chelsea

Chelsea

6
Everton

Everton

0

England Premier League 10/12/23

Everton

Everton

2
Chelsea

Chelsea

0

England Premier League 18/03/23

Chelsea

Chelsea

2
Everton

Everton

2

England Premier League 06/08/22

Everton

Everton

0
Chelsea

Chelsea

1

Chelsea preview: Left it late at the Cottage

A goal in the 20th minute from Alex Iwobi looked like it might clinch Fulham's first domestic double over Chelsea last weekend.

However, teenager Tyrique George equalised in the 83rd minute and deep into stoppage time, Pedro Neto crushed the home fans' spirits by scoring Chelsea's winning goal. Neto’s goal (92:31) was Chelsea’s latest winning goal in a Premier League London derby on record (since 2006-07).

Malo Gusto, Wesley Fofana, Omari Kellyman and Marc Guiu Paz could all miss the Everton game this weekend due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Sanchez (GK), Cucurella, Chalobah, James, Colwill, Palmer, Fernandez, Caicedo, Neto, Madueke & Jackson 

England Premier League 11/05/25

L

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

Chelsea

Chelsea

0

UEFA Conference League 08/05/25

W

Djurgarden

Djurgarden

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

England Premier League 04/05/25

W

Liverpool

Liverpool

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

3

UEFA Conference League 01/05/25

W

Djurgarden

Djurgarden

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

4

England Premier League 26/04/25

W

Everton

Everton

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

Everton preview: Undone late on by the Citizens

Everton gave a decent account of themselves at home against Manchester City but were let down by their inability to put the ball into the back of the net.

In the end, the visitors scored twice late on to secure a 2-0 victory and extended their good run of form.

Tarkowski got injured against City and now joins the likes of Orel Mangala, Jesper Lindstrom and Dominic Calvert-Lewin on the sidelines, while Chelsea loanee Armando Broja can't play against his parent club.

Predicted lineup: Pickford (GK), Patterson, Mykolenko, Branthwaite, O'Brien, Gueye, Doucoure, Garner, Harrison, Beto & Ndiaye 

England Premier League 10/05/25

W

Fulham

Fulham

1

Everton

Everton

3

England Premier League 03/05/25

D

Ipswich

Ipswich

2

Everton

Everton

2

England Premier League 26/04/25

L

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

Everton

Everton

0

England Premier League 19/04/25

L

Man City

Man City

2

Everton

Everton

0

England Premier League 12/04/25

W

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

0

Everton

Everton

1

Player to watch: Cole Palmer

Cole Palmer has been Chelsea's star player once again this season and we're expecting the England international to shine on Saturday.

Cole Palmer player to watch
Do Real Madrid want to make Palmer their next Galactico? – Photo by IMAGO

Palmer has 14 Premier League goals and eight assists to his name so far this season and with Everton missing the experience and leadership of Tarkowski at the back, we're expecting Palmer to take full advantage.

Can Palmer provide the key to unlocking the Everton defence?

However, Palmer is going through a goal drought right now having failed to score in each of his last 16 appearances for club and country.

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James developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer and now has 10+ years experience covering club and international leagues and competitions across the globe.