Carlisle vs Derby prediction, odds & betting tips 23/09/2023

Carlisle
23/09/23 - 15:00

Finished

0

-

2

Derby

Carlisle - Derby

England League 1 - Brunton Park

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

Carlisle and Derby face each other in an English League One clash on Saturday, September 23. The Rams are still searching for consistency. So are, the Cumbrians. Our dedicated League One betting tips page gives you more predictions and odds.

Carlisle vs Derby predictions and betting tips

If you need help finding the right bet for Carlisle vs Derby, check our top betting picks for this game, along with our other best football tips for today.

BTTS

  • Carlisle saw 3 of their last 4 matches finish without a clean sheet. 
  • Also, in 3 of Derby’s last 4 games, both sides scored. 
  • Derby also saw their last 2 away games finish with BTTS outcomes. 

Total Goals: Even

  • There have been an even number of goals in all of Carlisle’s 4 home league games so far this season. 
  • Also, 3 of Carlisle’s last 4 had an even amount of goals in them. 
  • So did, 3 of Derby’s last 4 league games. 

Top betting odds and key stats for Carlisle vs Derby

Check the best Carlisle vs Derby odds and useful stats here, on our website:

Head to Head

23/08/16

England EFL Cup EFL Cup

Derby

Derby

Carlisle

Carlisle

1

1

11/08/14

England EFL Cup EFL Cup

Carlisle

Carlisle

Derby

Derby

0

2

Last Five - Carlisle

07/09/24

England League 2 England

Bradford

Bradford

Carlisle

Carlisle

2

1

L

03/09/24

England EFL Trophy England

Nottm Forest U21

Nottm Forest U21

Carlisle

Carlisle

2

1

L

31/08/24

England League 2 England

Tranmere

Tranmere

Carlisle

Carlisle

2

1

L

24/08/24

England League 2 England

Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons

Carlisle

Carlisle

3

0

L

17/08/24

England League 2 England

Barrow

Barrow

Carlisle

Carlisle

0

1

W

Last Five - Derby

31/08/24

England Championship CHA

Bristol City

Bristol City

Derby

Derby

0

3

W

27/08/24

England EFL Cup EFL Cup

Barrow

Barrow

Derby

Derby

0 (3)

0 (2)

L

24/08/24

England Championship CHA

Watford

Watford

Derby

Derby

2

1

L

17/08/24

England Championship CHA

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Derby

Derby

0

1

W

13/08/24

England EFL Cup EFL Cup

Chesterfield

Chesterfield

Derby

Derby

1

2

W

Now, let's take a better look at the best markets and odds we found for this duel:

Carlisle odds: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4% Probability

Draw odds13/5 (3.60) – 27.8% Probability

Derby odds15/13 (2.15) – 46.4% Probability

As we can see, the bookies see Derby to be the expected winners in this match, with a 46.40% win probability. Regarding other markets, Waghorn to Score Anytime is worth considering in our opinion at 13/10 (2.30). 

Carlisle – Derby preview: latest form, news, and potential lineups

Read all of the latest injury updates and team news for this duel, including our predicted Carlisle vs Derby lineups.

Carlisle

Carlisle are about to face derby for the first time since 1984. The Cumbrians are still adjusting to life in the higher division and they’ve been able to win just once in their opening eight league outings. 

In their last match, Carlisle did well to deserve a 1-1 away draw vs Lincoln. Withstood some fierce late pressure without too much trouble. Going forward offered little thought. 

The team’s star centre-back Barcley is the big absentee right now. He remains in the treatment room. Striker Kayode is facing a late fitness test due to a hamstring issue. He’s mainly used off the bench anyway. 

Predicted Lineup:

Andresson (GK), Lavelle, Huntingdon, Mellish, Back, Guy, Moxon, Gibson, Armer, Plange & Maguire

Derby

Derby were held to a frustrating 1-1 home draw by Portsmouth last weekend. The Rams took the lead in the last minute only to concede an equaliser deep in added time. Once again, there was no conviction in the display. 

Derby have mixed 3 wins with 3 defeats in their first 7 games and they still search for some stability. 

Influential playmaker Hourihane got off injured in this last match and it seems he will be absent now. The other key inner midfielder Bird is already sidelined so this opens a massive hole in that area. Recently signed Embleton and Fornah are likely to be provided cover. 

In better news, Collins scored his first goal of the season in the last match and this could be enough to see him starting ahead of Washington. Also, Barkhuizen is finally fully fit and ready to play his first minutes of the campaign. 

Predicted Lineup: 

Wildsmith (GK), Cashin, Nelson, Forsyth, Mendez-Laing, Smith, Embleton, Fornah, Barkhuizen, Collins & Waghorn

​Starting Lineups

The teams usually announce their starting lineups one hour before the start of the game.

Player to Watch: Martyn Waghorn

Derby’s only reliable goal provider so far had been veteran striker Martyn Waghorn. He netted 5 goals in just the last 5 rounds and last weekend failed to score only because on two occasions stunning saves were denying him. 

Waghorn is the go-to-man up front and with Derby’s threat from the wings better now Barkhuizen is fit we can expect more goals from Waghorn in the coming match.