Losing semi-finalists Canada and Uruguay meet in the Copa America third-place play-off this weekend in Charlotte. Our Canada vs Uruguay prediction considers which team can lift themselves to clinch the win.
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Canada vs Uruguay prediction: La Celeste to win with Suarez on target
Key stats
- Our Canada vs Uruguay betting tips take into account the impressive goalscoring record of Marcelo Bielsa’s team who average 1.8 goals per game at this tournament.
- It has been a terrific run for Canada, but they have only won one of their five matches at this tournament in regulation time.
- Uruguay have only lost three of their last 20 internationals.
Correct score prediction: Canada 1-2 Uruguay
With the pressure no longer on and changes possible, a meeting between a side managed by Marcelo Bielsa and one coached by Jesse Marsch has the potential to be a lot more open than the recent games involving these sides at Copa America. Uruguay may mix it up, but they have sufficient strength in depth to win the game.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Uruguay favourites for third
- CANADA: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
- DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
- URUGUAY: 8/15 (1.53) – 65.2%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Bielsa’s side are the favourites according to the Canada vs Uruguay odds with an implied probability of 65.2% that they win this one.
Both sides were beaten semi-finalists in midweek. Canada went down 2-0 against Argentina for the second time in this tournament while Uruguay were beaten 1-0 by Colombia in a feisty affair that saw both sides receive red cards.
For more of the latest football picks, our free betting tips feature some of the best options from this week’s action.
Last five H2Hs: Uruguay victorious last time out
Our Canada vs Uruguay prediction suggests the South Americans will come out on top as was the case in a 2022 friendly between two nations who have very rarely met.
International Match 27/09/22
Canada
Uruguay
Canada preview: Buchanan sidelined once more
The underdogs will be without Tajon Buchanan again after he suffered a leg break in training earlier in the tournament. Light changes are possible from Jesse Marsch.
Predicted Lineup: Crepeau (GK), Johnston, Bombito, Cornelius, Davies, Millar, Osorio, Kone, Laryea, Oluwaseyi & David
CONCACAF Nations League 23/03/25
W USA 1 Canada 2 CONCACAF Nations League 21/03/25
L Mexico 2 Canada 0 CONCACAF Nations League 20/11/24
W Suriname 0 Canada 3 CONCACAF Nations League 15/11/24
W Suriname 0 Canada 1 International Match 15/10/24
W Panama 1 Canada 2
Uruguay preview: Nandez to return
Nahitan Nandez returns from a one match ban and could slot into the Uruguay starting eleven which may feature a number of changes. Guillermo Varela is suspended after his semi-final red card.
Predicted Lineup: Rochet (GK), Nandez, Gimenez, Olivera, Viña, Ugarte, Valverde, Pellistri, De La Cruz, Araujo & Suarez
South America - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/25
D Bolivia 0 Uruguay 0 South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25
L Argentina 1 Uruguay 0 South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24
D Brazil 1 Uruguay 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/11/24
W Colombia 2 Uruguay 3 South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/10/24
D Ecuador 0 Uruguay 0
Player to watch – Luis Suarez
Luis Suarez is a Uruguayan football legend with 68 goals in 141 appearances for his country but he’s largely warmed the bench at this tournament with Darwin Nuñez preferred up top. Bielsa may be inclined to rest Nuñez here though and give Suarez the starting role in this third-place play-off.
Still posting big numbers in MLS
Luis Suarez has scored 12 times in 16 MLS appearances for Inter Miami this term. The 37 year old is still a lethal finisher and averages a goal every 96.5 minutes in that competition.