Canada vs Uruguay prediction, odds & betting tips – 14/07/2024

Canada vs Uruguay prediction, odds & betting tips – 14/07/2024
Alphonso Davies in action for Canada - Photo by Icon Sport
🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 2.5 total goals

With less at stake here, Bielsa and Marsch may release the shackles on their teams and a much more open game could develop.

Losing semi-finalists Canada and Uruguay meet in the Copa America third-place play-off this weekend in Charlotte. Our Canada vs Uruguay prediction considers which team can lift themselves to clinch the win.

Canada vs Uruguay prediction: La Celeste to win with Suarez on target

Key stats

  • Our Canada vs Uruguay betting tips take into account the impressive goalscoring record of Marcelo Bielsa’s team who average 1.8 goals per game at this tournament.
  • It has been a terrific run for Canada, but they have only won one of their five matches at this tournament in regulation time.
  • Uruguay have only lost three of their last 20 internationals.

Correct score prediction: Canada 1-2 Uruguay

With the pressure no longer on and changes possible, a meeting between a side managed by Marcelo Bielsa and one coached by Jesse Marsch has the potential to be a lot more open than the recent games involving these sides at Copa America. Uruguay may mix it up, but they have sufficient strength in depth to win the game.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Uruguay favourites for third

  • CANADA: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
  • DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
  • URUGUAY: 8/15 (1.53) – 65.2%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Bielsa’s side are the favourites according to the Canada vs Uruguay odds with an implied probability of 65.2% that they win this one.

Both sides were beaten semi-finalists in midweek. Canada went down 2-0 against Argentina for the second time in this tournament while Uruguay were beaten 1-0 by Colombia in a feisty affair that saw both sides receive red cards.

For more of the latest football picks, our free betting tips feature some of the best options from this week’s action.

Last five H2Hs: Uruguay victorious last time out

Our Canada vs Uruguay prediction suggests the South Americans will come out on top as was the case in a 2022 friendly between two nations who have very rarely met.

International Match 27/09/22

Canada

Canada

0
Uruguay

Uruguay

2

Canada preview: Buchanan sidelined once more

The underdogs will be without Tajon Buchanan again after he suffered a leg break in training earlier in the tournament. Light changes are possible from Jesse Marsch.

Predicted Lineup: Crepeau (GK), Johnston, Bombito, Cornelius, Davies, Millar, Osorio, Kone, Laryea, Oluwaseyi & David

Copa America 14/07/24

L

Uruguay

Uruguay

2 (4)

Canada

Canada

2 (3)

Copa America 10/07/24

L

Argentina

Argentina

2

Canada

Canada

0

Copa America 06/07/24

W

Venezuela

Venezuela

1 (3)

Canada

Canada

1 (4)

Copa America 30/06/24

D

Chile

Chile

0

Canada

Canada

0

Copa America 25/06/24

W

Peru

Peru

0

Canada

Canada

1

Uruguay preview: Nandez to return

Nahitan Nandez returns from a one match ban and could slot into the Uruguay starting eleven which may feature a number of changes. Guillermo Varela is suspended after his semi-final red card.

Predicted Lineup: Rochet (GK), Nandez, Gimenez, Olivera, Viña, Ugarte, Valverde, Pellistri, De La Cruz, Araujo & Suarez

Copa America 14/07/24

W

Canada

Canada

2 (3)

Uruguay

Uruguay

2 (4)

Copa America 11/07/24

L

Colombia

Colombia

1

Uruguay

Uruguay

0

Copa America 07/07/24

W

Brazil

Brazil

0 (2)

Uruguay

Uruguay

0 (4)

Copa America 02/07/24

W

USA

USA

0

Uruguay

Uruguay

1

Copa America 28/06/24

W

Bolivia

Bolivia

0

Uruguay

Uruguay

5

Player to watch – Luis Suarez

Luis Suarez is a Uruguayan football legend with 68 goals in 141 appearances for his country but he’s largely warmed the bench at this tournament with Darwin Nuñez preferred up top. Bielsa may be inclined to rest Nuñez here though and give Suarez the starting role in this third-place play-off.

canada vs uruguay predictions
Luis Suarez takes aim against the USA – Photo by Icon Sport

Still posting big numbers in MLS

Luis Suarez has scored 12 times in 16 MLS appearances for Inter Miami this term. The 37 year old is still a lethal finisher and averages a goal every 96.5 minutes in that competition.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.