Napoli vs Cagliari prediction, odds & betting tips 23/05/2025
Napoli are on the verge of making history. (Photo by Icon Sport)
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Napoli to win with handicap (-1)

Cagliari are on a eight-game winless H2H run against Napoli (D3, L5), who can claim the throne with a fifth victory in seven games.

The stage is set for a volcanic finale at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona as Antonio Conte’s Napoli stand one victory away from reclaiming the Scudetto.

Cagliari have little at stake beyond pride and arrive as mere bystanders to what could be the Partenopei’s title coronation on Friday, 23 May.

View our free Napoli vs Cagliari predictions below.

Napoli vs Cagliari predictions: Conte and co. to go guns blazing

Key stats

  • Napoli are aiming to win Serie A for the fourth time in their history.
  • The hosts have won nine of their last 12 home encounters against Cagliari.
  • Cagliari have recorded just one away in nine league outings (D3, L5).
  • The Isolani have lost four of their last six Serie A games (W2).

Correct score prediction: Napoli 3-1 Cagliari

Napoli’s dreams of a fourth Scudetto hang by a thread after two costly draws against Genoa and Parma. However, spirits will be higher than ever at the Maradona, where the Partenopei remain unbeaten in 10 league games since early December. Davide Nicola and his men are aware that they’re walking into a Neopolitan inferno, and appear unlikely to hand Inter Milan the title lifeline they crave.

Pre-game odds and win probability: As polar as odds get

  • HOME: 2/11 (1.18) – 84.7%
  • DRAW: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%
  • AWAY: 14/1 (15.00) – 6.6%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Despite Conte’s touchline ban following his late dismissal against Parma, Napoli’s squad will channel his fiery mentality on the pitch. The Partenopei are unbeaten this calendar year in home league games, and their hunger is reflected by their 2/11 (1.18) odds to win this encounter, suggesting an 84.7% probability of victory.

Cagliari have found the back of the net in their last six matches, but they face near-impossible 14/1 (15.00) odds of victory – a 6.6% chance of win probability rate.

For more intriguing odds, take a look at today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Napoli with the upper hand

Napoli are unbeaten in their last eight Serie A H2Hs, with Cagliari last tasting victory against the former Scudetto holders back in September 2019.

Italy Serie A 15/09/24

Cagliari

Cagliari

0
Napoli

Napoli

4

Italy Serie A 25/02/24

Cagliari

Cagliari

1
Napoli

Napoli

1

Italy Serie A 16/12/23

Napoli

Napoli

2
Cagliari

Cagliari

1

Italy Serie A 21/02/22

Cagliari

Cagliari

1
Napoli

Napoli

1

Italy Serie A 26/09/21

Napoli

Napoli

2
Cagliari

Cagliari

0

Napoli preview: One win is all it takes

Napoli missed the chance to clinch the title in the previous game. Their pursuit of a historic triumph will have to do without the likes of Juan Jesus, Stanislav Lobotka and Alessandro Buongiorno.

Predicted lineup: Meret (GK), Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Olivera, Spinazzola, Politano, ZamboAnguissa, Gilmour, McTominay, Raspadori & Lukaku

Italy Serie A 11/05/25

D

Genoa

Genoa

2

Napoli

Napoli

2

Italy Serie A 03/05/25

W

Lecce

Lecce

0

Napoli

Napoli

1

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

W

Torino

Torino

0

Napoli

Napoli

2

Italy Serie A 19/04/25

W

Monza

Monza

0

Napoli

Napoli

1

Italy Serie A 14/04/25

W

Empoli

Empoli

0

Napoli

Napoli

3

Cagliari preview: Dead rubber for the islanders

The Isolani do not have major injury concerns in their final match of the season. However, Zito Lovumbo, who scored a stoppage-time equaliser in last year's 1-1 draw, sits out due to a muscle injury.

Predicted lineup: Caprile (GK), Zappa, Mina, Luperto, Zortea, Adopo, Makoumbou, Deiola, Augello, Piccoli & Pavoletti

Italy Serie A 10/05/25

L

Como

Como

3

Cagliari

Cagliari

1

Italy Serie A 03/05/25

L

Udinese

Udinese

2

Cagliari

Cagliari

1

Italy Serie A 28/04/25

W

Verona

Verona

0

Cagliari

Cagliari

2

Italy Serie A 23/04/25

L

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

Cagliari

Cagliari

1

Italy Serie A 12/04/25

L

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

3

Cagliari

Cagliari

1

Player to watch: Scott McTominay

Five of Mctominay’s 11 goals this league campaign arrived in Napoli’s last six games, although he drew blanks in each of the last three.

Napoli vs Cagliari prediction
The Scot is Napoli's second-highest goalscorer in Serie A. (Photo by Icon Sport)

The Scotland international has 12 goals and six assists across all competitions this season. Expect him to increase his goal contribution in what could end up being one of Napoli’s most successful seasons.

italy serie a tips

With a passport full of stories, Akhil has journeyed across Europe and beyond, immersed in the fabric of the beautiful game. From covering thrilling Milan derby nights at San Siro as a live match analyst to uncovering hidden talents in the Benelux region as a scout, his versatile and hybrid background allows him to deliver clear, engaging narratives that capture football's essence.