Cagliari play host to Serie A's bottom club Monza on Sunday and we're bringing you all our tips and predictions for the game.
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Cagliari vs Monza prediction: A low scoring home win?
Key Stats
- Cagliari have won six league games this season, one of which was away at Monza in January and four have arrived at home.
- Under 2.5 goals have been produced in 55% of Cagliari's outings in Serie A this season.
- 52% of Monza's league games have ended with fewer than three goals scored.
- A bet on BTTS – No has paid out in 53% of Cagliari's home matches this season.
Correct score prediction: Cagliari 1-0 Monza
Cagliari only score an average of 1.07 goals per home game in Serie A this season but Monza are averaging under a goal a game on the road, which is why we're backing a narrow 1-0 home win on Sunday.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Cagliari the clear favourite
- HOME: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%
- DRAW: 45/17 (3.65) – 27.4%
- AWAY: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Cagliari are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 57.1% but both teams have been in poor form of late.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: All square
The last five meetings between these two clubs have been split evenly with each side taking home two wins, one draw and two defeats. Cagliari claimed a 2-1 win at Monza in January's reverse league meeting.
Italy Serie A 05/01/25
Monza
Cagliari
Italy Serie A 16/03/24
Monza
Cagliari
Italy Serie A 26/11/23
Cagliari
Monza
Cagliari preview: Narrowly beaten at the Stadio Olimpico
Cagliari made the trip to Roma before the international break where a tight and tense 90 minutes was eventually settled by a solitary goal.
The two teams went in goalless at the interval but just after the hour mark, the hosts broke the deadlock and then held firm to secure a 1-0 victory over Cagliari.
Gabriele Zappa, Florinel Coman and Zito Luvumbo make up the three main injury concerns for Cagliari ahead of Sunday's clash with Monza.
Predicted lineup: Caprile (GK), Palomino, Mina, Luperto, Obert, Zortea, Viola, Deiola, Adopo, Prati & Piccoli
Italy Serie A 10/05/25
L
Como
3
Cagliari
1
Italy Serie A 03/05/25
L
Udinese
2
Cagliari
1
Italy Serie A 28/04/25
W
Verona
0
Cagliari
2
Italy Serie A 23/04/25
L
Fiorentina
2
Cagliari
1
Italy Serie A 12/04/25
L
Inter Milan
3
Cagliari
1
Monza preview: Held at home by Parma
Monza played host to fellow relegation battlers Parma in their last outings in Serie A but failed to make the most of their chances.
Following a goalless first half, Monza took the lead on the hour mark through Armando Izzo's first league goal of the campaign but Parma equalised late on and the game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Mirko Maric, Matteo Pessina, Andrea Colpani, Stefano Sensi, Andrea Carboni and Luca Caldirola are all doubts for this weekend's trip to Cagliari.
Predicted lineup: Turati (GK), D'Ambrosio, Izzo, Kyriakopoulos, Pereira, Birindelli, Castrovilli, Bianco, Zeroli, Balde & Mota
Italy Serie A 11/05/25
W
Udinese
1
Monza
2
Italy Serie A 04/05/25
L
Atalanta
4
Monza
0
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
L
Juventus
2
Monza
0
Italy Serie A 19/04/25
L
Napoli
1
Monza
0
Italy Serie A 12/04/25
L
Venezia
1
Monza
0
Player to watch: Roberto Piccoli
Roberto Piccoli is having his best season in front of goal since turning pro with Atalanta in 2018.
The Cagliari striker has scored seven times in Serie A this season, with his previous best being five goals for Lecce in the previous campaign.
Piccoli top scores for Cagliari this season
We're backing Piccoli to put in another impressive performance on Sunday and perhaps provide the match-winner for Cagliari against the division's bottom club.