Cagliari vs Genoa prediction
Genoa and Cagliari played out a 2-2 draw back in November - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Draw

Cagliari average 1.07 points per home game in Serie A this season, while visitors Genoa are averaging 1.15 points on their travels.

Visiting Genoa sit three places and five points above Friday night's hosts Cagliari in the Serie A table and we're expecting a tight and tense 90 minutes between the two clubs.

Cagliari vs Genoa prediction: Possible stalemate on the cards?

Key Stats

  • Three of the last five meetings between these two clubs have ended in draws.
  • Both teams have scored in just 43% of Cagliari's home games this season.
  • Only 38% of Genoa's away games in Serie A have ended with both teams scoring.

Correct score prediction: Cagliari 0-0 Genoa

We're expecting another close and competitive 90 minutes between these two sides, just as we saw in November's reverse league meeting which ended all square. Three of the last five head-to-heads between Cagliari and Genoa have ended in draws, two of which finished goalless.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Cagliari the slight favourite

  • HOME: 16/11 (2.45) – 40.7%
  • DRAW: 28/13 (3.15) – 31.7%
  • AWAY: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Cagliari are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 40.7% but we believe that this game has stalemate written all over it.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Level pegging

The last five meetings between these two clubs have been split evenly with each picking up one win, three draws and one defeat.

Italy Serie A 24/11/24

Genoa

Genoa

2
Cagliari

Cagliari

2

Italy Serie A 29/04/24

Genoa

Genoa

3
Cagliari

Cagliari

0

Italy Serie A 05/11/23

Cagliari

Cagliari

2
Genoa

Genoa

1

Italy Serie B 01/03/23

Cagliari

Cagliari

0
Genoa

Genoa

0

Italy Serie B 07/10/22

Genoa

Genoa

0
Cagliari

Cagliari

0

Cagliari preview: Narrowly beaten by Bologna

Cagliari managed to take the lead in the 22nd minute away at Bologna through top scorer Roberto Piccoli but two second-half goals from Riccardo Orsolini proved enough for Bologna to turn the game in their favour and secure all three points.

That result leaves Cagliari sitting in 15th position in the Serie A table and after picking up a knock against Bologna, the hosts could be without forward Zito Luvumbo for the Genoa game.

Predicted lineup: Caprile (GK), Augello, Mina, Luperto, Zappa, Obert, Zortea, Makoumbou, Adopo, Piccoli & Coman

Italy Serie A 12/04/25

L

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

3

Cagliari

Cagliari

1

Italy Serie A 06/04/25

D

Empoli

Empoli

0

Cagliari

Cagliari

0

Italy Serie A 30/03/25

W

Monza

Monza

0

Cagliari

Cagliari

3

Italy Serie A 16/03/25

L

Roma

Roma

1

Cagliari

Cagliari

0

Italy Serie A 07/03/25

D

Genoa

Genoa

1

Cagliari

Cagliari

1

Genoa preview: Held at home by Empoli

Genoa simply didn't make enough of their home advantage last time out against struggling Empoli and had to settle for a share of the spoils in the end.

The visitors went in at the break a goal up but an 81st-minute equaliser from Genoa defender Johan Vasquez saw the scoreline end 1-1.

Defender Mattia Bani picked up an injury in that game and could now join the likes of Mario Balotelli, Morten Thorsby and Vitor Oliveira on the sidelines.

Predicted lineup: Leali (GK), Sabelli, Martín, Vásquez, Zanoli, De Winter, Frendrup, Miretti, Masini, Pinamonti & Messias 

Italy Serie A 13/04/25

D

Verona

Verona

0

Genoa

Genoa

0

Italy Serie A 04/04/25

W

Udinese

Udinese

0

Genoa

Genoa

1

Italy Serie A 29/03/25

L

Juventus

Juventus

1

Genoa

Genoa

0

Italy Serie A 14/03/25

W

Lecce

Lecce

1

Genoa

Genoa

2

Italy Serie A 07/03/25

D

Cagliari

Cagliari

1

Genoa

Genoa

1

Player to watch: Koni De Winter

Genoa's young Belgian defender Koni De Winter has really impressed since making his move from Juventus permanent in the summer.

Koni De Winter player to watch
Koni De Winter in action against Venezia – Photo by Imago

The 22-year-old made 29 appearances in Serie A last season whilst on loan with Genoa but didn't score a single goal during that period. However, De Winter has managed to score three times in 15 league games so far this season and is performing his defensive duties to a high standard.

De Winter has been in very good form for Genoa this season

We've backed this game to end goalless and one of the reasons for that is the form of De Winter and his fellow Genoa defenders who have kept more clean sheets on the road than they have in their own backyard so far this season.


James developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer and now has 10+ years experience covering club and international leagues and competitions across the globe.