Cagliari vs Fiorentina prediction, odds & betting tips – 23/05/2024

cagliari vs fiorentina predictions
Fiorentina won 3-0 when the sides met earlier this term – Photo by Icon Sport

Cagliari and Fiorentina meet on Thursday in Serie A with the game moved forwards to allow the visitors more time to prepare for their European final next week. Our Cagliari vs Fiorentina prediction considers whether either side can finish the campaign with three points.

Cagliari vs Fiorentina prediction: Game with goals to end level

Cagliari vs Fiorentina predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

BTTS - Yes

⚽ Correct score

Cagliari 2-2 Fiorentina

⚽ Double chance

Cagliari or draw

Key Stats

  • Our Cagliari vs Fiorentina betting tips take into account that three of Gli Isolani’s last four home games have produced score draws.
  • 83% of Cagliari home games overall this term in Serie A have seen both teams score.
  • Fiorentina average just 1.12 points per game on their travels this term in the league.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Visitors the clear favourites

  • HOME: 17/5 (4.40) – 22.7%
  • DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
  • AWAY: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The visitors are the clear favourites according to the Cagliari vs Fiorentina odds with an implied probability of 55.6 that they win this one.

That’s partly a reflection of Cagliari now being safe after they won 2-0 at Sassuolo on Sunday thanks to goals from Matteo Prati and Gianluca Lapadula. While they are only three points above the drop zone, they can’t go down as two of the sides below them face each other on the final weekend.

Fiorentina meanwhile come into this game after a 2-2 home draw against Napoli with Cristiano Biraghi and M’Bala Nzola their scorers.

For more analysis and the latest picks, today’s betting tips will guide you around the best bets from this week’s football action.

Last five H2Hs: Home advantage normally key

Italy Serie A 02/10/23

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

3
Cagliari

Cagliari

0

Italy Serie A 23/01/22

Cagliari

Cagliari

1
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1

Italy Serie A 24/10/21

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

3
Cagliari

Cagliari

0

Italy Serie A 12/05/21

Cagliari

Cagliari

0
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

0

Italy Serie A 10/01/21

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1
Cagliari

Cagliari

0

Our Cagliari vs Fiorentina prediction is backed up by the last two meetings in Sardinia ending in draws. Cagliari haven’t lost any of their last four home games against this opposition, however Fiorentina are unbeaten in six meetings overall.

Cagliari Preview: Dossena suspended for final game

The hosts have a big absentee in central defence with Alberto Dossena serving a ban. Jakub Jankto is out injured.

Predicted Lineup: Scuffet (GK), Zappa, Mina, Hatzidiakos, Augello, Sulemana, Deiola, Nandez, Gaetano, Luvumbo, Lapadula

Italy Serie A 23/05/24

L

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

3

Cagliari

Cagliari

2

Italy Serie A 19/05/24

W

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

0

Cagliari

Cagliari

2

Italy Serie A 11/05/24

L

AC Milan

AC Milan

5

Cagliari

Cagliari

1

Italy Serie A 05/05/24

D

Lecce

Lecce

1

Cagliari

Cagliari

1

Italy Serie A 29/04/24

L

Genoa

Genoa

3

Cagliari

Cagliari

0

Fiorentina Preview: Light rotation possible ahead of UECL final

With the Conference League final in Athens next week, Fiorentina may make light changes, although they still have an outside shot of clinching seventh in Serie A so it should be a strong eleven. Riccardo Sottil is out injured.

Predicted Lineup: Terracciano (GK), Biraghi, Martinez Quarta, Milenkovic, Dodo, Arthur, Duncan, Kouame, Beltran, Ikone, Nzola

Italy Serie A 02/06/24

W

Atalanta

Atalanta

2

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

3

UEFA Conference League 29/05/24

L

Olympiakos

Olympiakos

1

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

0

Italy Serie A 23/05/24

W

Cagliari

Cagliari

2

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

3

Italy Serie A 17/05/24

D

Napoli

Napoli

2

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

Italy Serie A 13/05/24

W

Monza

Monza

1

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

Player to watch – Zito Luvumbo

One of the most likely sources of a goal for the home team will be 22 year old Zito Luvumbo. He has had a bright season in Serie A, scoring four and assisting five goals in 31 appearances, only 18 of which have been starts.

cagliari vs fiorentina prediction
Zito Luvumbo aims for goal against Lecce earlier this month – Photo by Icon Sport

Luvumbo getting plenty of shots away

No player in the Cagliari squad is averaging as many shots per game as the Angolan. Luzumbo takes 1.7 attempts per match in Serie A on average with Gianluca Lapadula next highest on 1.5.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.