Unipol Domus will host Cagliari vs Fiorentina on Sunday, 24 August 2025, as both teams battle for three valuable points in the first round of the Italian Serie A.
View our free Cagliari vs Fiorentina predictions below.
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Cagliari vs Fiorentina predictions: A low-scoring affair
Key stats
- Cagliari's last five matches went below the 2.5-goal line.
- Fewer than three goals were scored in four of Fiorentina’s last five games.
- Fiorentina have won four consecutive meetings between these sides.
Correct score prediction: Cagliari 0-2 Fiorentina
Cagliari have a poor track record against Fiorentina, as they have lost four consecutive skirmishes between these sides and have no wins in their last nine encounters.
Given that Cagliari won only one of their last six matches at the end of regulation time, we are confident that Fiorentina will kick off their new Serie A campaign with a victory.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Fiorentina are clear favourites
- HOME: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
- DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
- AWAY: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.4%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Fiorentina were fifth in Serie A last season, while Cagliari finished 15th, just three spots above the relegation zone.
Ahead of this encounter, Fiorentina are the expected winners at 5/4 (2.25). Teams with these odds generally have a 44.4% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Cagliari vs Fiorentina predictions.
We have also pointed out that both teams were involved in their fair share of low-scoring games. On that note, under 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 3/4 (1.75). That one has a 57.1% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: A one-sided affair
Fiorentina were victorious in the last four meetings between these sides and are unbeaten in their last nine skirmishes.
Italy Serie A 23/04/25
Cagliari
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 08/12/24
Fiorentina
Cagliari
Italy Serie A 23/05/24
Cagliari
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 02/10/23
Fiorentina
Cagliari
Italy Serie A 23/01/22
Cagliari
Fiorentina
Cagliari preview: No Pavoletti, no party?
Cagliari will kick off their third straight season in the Italian top-flight when they host Fiorentina this weekend. The Rossoblu finished five points clear of the drop zone last term in 15th place, and the objective this season will be to continue in the league come what may.
Striker Leonardo Pavoletti is sidelined with a knee injury; he's just about the only absentee for Cagliari this weekend, which means coach Fabio Pisacane should put out his strongest XI, with probably Zito Luvumbo and Roberto Piccoli starting up front in his preferred 4-3-1-2 formation.
Predicted lineup: Caprile (GK), Luperto, Mina, Obert, Zortea, Adopo, Prati, Folorunsho, Idrissi, Luvumbo & Piccoli.
Italy Serie A 10/05/25
L
Como
3
Cagliari
1
Italy Serie A 03/05/25
L
Udinese
2
Cagliari
1
Italy Serie A 28/04/25
W
Verona
0
Cagliari
2
Italy Serie A 23/04/25
L
Fiorentina
2
Cagliari
1
Italy Serie A 12/04/25
L
Inter Milan
3
Cagliari
1
Fiorentina preview: A couple of absentees
Closing last season with wins against Bologna and Udinese ensured La Viola finished in a UEFA Conference League spot, just five points shy of Champions League football. Managed by the highly experienced Stefano Pioli, Fiorentina will again look to have a great season this term, having made some fantastic forays in the summer transfer window.
On the injury front, Christian Kouame and Rolando Mandragora are ruled out of this contest for the visitors.
Moise Kean, who finished second in the Serie A top scorers list last season, should have a spot in the attacking ranks alongside summer signing Edin Dzeko.
As for Dzeko, Fiorentina becomes the third Italian club he features for, having previously donned the shirts of AS Roma and Inter Milan.
Predicted lineup: De Gea (GK), Comuzzo, Pongracic, Ranieri, Dodo, Fagioli, Sohm, Gosens, Gudmundsson, Kean & Dzeko.
Italy Serie A 12/05/25
L
Venezia
2
Fiorentina
1
UEFA Conference League 08/05/25
D
Real Betis
2
Fiorentina
2
Italy Serie A 04/05/25
L
Roma
1
Fiorentina
0
UEFA Conference League 01/05/25
L
Real Betis
2
Fiorentina
1
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
W
Empoli
1
Fiorentina
2
Player to watch: Lucas Beltran
Lucas Beltran has a solid track record against Cagliari, as he was directly involved in at least one goal in four consecutive meetings between these teams. The former River Plate midfielder will fancy his chances against Cagliari once again.