Burnley vs Sunderland prediction, odds & betting tips – 23/08/2025
Will Sunderland win at home again? - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

BTTS - No

Only one goal has been scored in the last three H2Hs.

Two teams who were promoted from the Championship at the end of the 2024/25 campaign will meet in the second round of fixtures in the new 2025/26 Premier League season. Indeed, Burnley will welcome Sunderland to Turf Moor on Saturday afternoon.

The Clarets earned automatic promotion by incredibly breaking the 100-point mark, but lost out on the title to eventual champions Leeds by virtue of their inferior goal difference. Meanwhile, the Black Cats were promoted via the play-offs, and got off to the best possible start in the English top flight by beating West Ham 3-0 at the Stadium of Light.

Burnley vs Sunderland prediction: Black Cats to clinch victory?

Key stats

  • Burnley have lost three games in a row in all competitions without scoring.
  • Sunderland have won two of their last three matches across all competitions to nil.
  • Sunderland are unbeaten in the previous three H2Hs.

Correct score prediction: Burnley 0-1 Sunderland

Judging by the most recent H2Hs, we are not expecting many goals in this game. Sunderland hold the momentum after last weekend's results, so we fancy them just to edge it here.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Burnley favoured by bookmakers

  • HOME: 13/10 (2.30) – 43.5%
  • DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
  • AWAY: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

As shown by the implied probabilities, Burnley have been installed as the favourites by bookmakers to win on home soil. A draw and a Sunderland victory away from home are separated by just 1.5%.

Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Football Betting Tips Today page, as well as our Premier League predictions & betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Few goals on show

As mentioned before, Sunderland are unbeaten in the last three meetings in all competitions, including in the two Championship fixtures in the 2024/25 campaign. However, there has only been one goal scored in total across those H2Hs, which suggests that we may see another low-scoring affair.

England Championship 17/01/25

Burnley

Burnley

0
Sunderland

Sunderland

0

England Championship 24/08/24

Sunderland

Sunderland

1
Burnley

Burnley

0

England Championship 31/03/23

Burnley

Burnley

0
Sunderland

Sunderland

0

England Championship 22/10/22

Sunderland

Sunderland

2
Burnley

Burnley

4

England EFL Cup 28/08/19

Burnley

Burnley

1
Sunderland

Sunderland

3

Burnley preview: Broja to be involved for Clarets?

New signing Armando Broja could “possibly” be involved according to Burnley head coach Scott Parker. However, Bashir Humphreys, Zeki Amdouni and Axel Tuanzebe are still suffering from injury problems for the Clarets.

Predicted lineup: Dubravka (GK); Walker, Ekdal, Esteve, Hartman, Sonne; Mejbri, Cullen, Laurent, Anthony & Foster

England Championship 03/05/25

W

Millwall

Millwall

1

Burnley

Burnley

3

England Championship 26/04/25

W

QPR

QPR

0

Burnley

Burnley

5

England Championship 21/04/25

W

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

1

Burnley

Burnley

2

England Championship 18/04/25

W

Watford

Watford

1

Burnley

Burnley

2

England Championship 11/04/25

W

Norwich

Norwich

1

Burnley

Burnley

2

Sunderland preview: Seelt fit but still injuries for Black Cats

Sunderland head coach Regis Le Bris has passed Jensen Seelt fit after the defender limped off against West Ham last time out. However, Aji Alese, Luke O'Nien, Dennis Cirkin and Romaine Mundle remain on the treatment table for the Black Cats.

Predicted lineup: Roefs (GK); Hume, Seelt, Ballard, Mandava; Xhaka, Diarra, Sadiki; Talbi, Mayenda & Adingra

England Championship 13/05/25

L

Coventry

Coventry

1

Sunderland

Sunderland

0

England Championship 09/05/25

W

Coventry

Coventry

1

Sunderland

Sunderland

2

England Championship 03/05/25

L

QPR

QPR

1

Sunderland

Sunderland

0

England Championship 26/04/25

L

Oxford Utd

Oxford Utd

2

Sunderland

Sunderland

0

England Championship 21/04/25

L

Blackburn

Blackburn

1

Sunderland

Sunderland

0

Player to watch: Eliezer Mayenda

Eliezer Mayenda has already opened his Premier League account for Sunderland – Photo by Imago

Despite signing so many players in the summer transfer window so far, Eliezer Mayenda was a mainstay from the Sunderland team that got promoted from the Championship via the play-offs at the end of the 2024/25 campaign. The striker opened the scoring for the Black Cats against West Ham last time out, and Burnley will know all about the threat that he possesses in the final third of the pitch.


Adam is a lead writer on Football Whispers. He is a big Arsenal fan, and also follows his local club Wealdstone, made famous by The Wealdstone Raider, who he has interviewed. Adam also follows darts, boxing, cricket and tennis, among many other sports.