With nine Premier League matches left to play for Burnley, their sole ambition now is to avoid the ignominy of finishing the season in last place for the first time in their history, since they are nine points adrift of safety.
The Clarets will hope to fight for survival until the final day, but that means they must turn up when Bournemouth visit Turf Moor on Saturday, March 14, and the home fans do have reason to believe they can cause an upset based on the history of this matchup.
Andoni Iraola's charges have closed the gap to the European places, largely thanks to a current unbeaten run that is the longest in the division of nine games without defeat, and the Cherries are just eight points behind fifth place.
If the visitors can string together a few more victories, they could well feature in Europe next year, depending on how English clubs fare in those competitions this season, but they can not falter on this trip to Burnley.
Explore our Burnley vs Bournemouth betting tips and odds courtesy of bet365 below.
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Burnley vs Bournemouth key stats
- Burnley are winless across their last 10 league matches at Turf Moor.
- Bournemouth have drawn four of their last five matches.
- The Cherries won only two of their last 15 away dates at Burnley, losing seven times in that run.
- The visitors won the corresponding fixture 2-0 last term.
Burnley vs Bournemouth preview: More unwanted records for the hosts
| Burnley | vs | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| 19th | Position | 9th |
| 19 | Points | 40 |
| 32 | Goals For | 44 |
| 58 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 20th | Home Rank | 10th |
| 19th | Away Rank | 12th |
By the time Scott Parker's men walk onto Turf Moor for this clash, they will have enjoyed more than 10 days off, after slumping to a 2-0 defeat at the hands of Everton in their previous Premier League outing.
The reality is that the Championship is looming large for Burnley, especially given their poor form in their backyard, having won only two of their 14 such games, while failure to win this weekend would see the hosts go 11 home matches without a victory for the first time in their English top-flight history.
Burnley conceded the opening goal in 23 of their 29 Premier League matches.
It does not look like the situation will get any better against Bournemouth, since the home side have yet to beat a team in the current top half of the table, losing 10 of 15 such meetings.
However, the only glimmer of hope for the hosts is the fact that they dominate the head-to-head record, specifically at Turf Moor, where they have won seven of the last 15 clashes.
To make matters worse for Parker, he might have to make do without his top scorer, Zian Flemming, after he missed out on the trip to Everton with a calf strain.
While there has been an upturn in results for Bournemouth, four draws in recent weeks have stalled their progress towards the upper echelons of the Premier League table.
Bournemouth have conceded a joint-league high nine away goals after the 75th minute this season.
However, the seven points that they gained in that run should not be scoffed at, considering the Cherries failed to score first in any of those matches.
Iraola should be confident ahead of this clash, though, since his troops are undefeated in their previous five road trips in a row, and, astonishingly, Bournemouth's last defeat came on January 3.
The visitors should be without the services of Justin Kluivert and Lewis Cook, with the latter not featuring in each of Bournemouth's last three games.
Burnley vs Bournemouth form guide & betting tips
| Burnley | vs | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| L-W-D-L-L | League Form | D-W-D-D-D |
| 4 | Points | 7 |
| 17th | Form Table | 11th |
| 7 | Goals For | 4 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 3 |
| W-L-D-L-L | Form (all comps) | D-W-D-D-D |
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Whispers predicts: Burnley 1-2 Bournemouth
With only one league win across the last 20 such fixtures, Burnley are staring at another defeat, and bet365 reflect that opinion, giving the home side 4.20 odds to secure three points.
The safest bet is to back a Bournemouth victory at 1.83, and having won the corresponding fixture last season, the visitors will be confident of walking away with another win at Turf Moor.
The hosts have the worst defence in the division, conceding 58 goals in their 29 league matches, averaging two goals per game, while the Cherries have been more efficient in front of goal on the road than at home, scoring 23 goals on their travels this term.
As a result, backing BTTS - Yes is another safe bet at 1.66.
There is significant value in backing Bournemouth to win and BTTS -Yes with bet365 offering 3.50, while Burley's record of scoring first in a league-low five games this term, allows us to back the visitors to net first at 1.61 for a more stable option.
Burnley's James Ward-Prowse enjoys a great personal record against Bournemouth, having scored or assisted in in four of his last five home Premier League games against the Cherries, making him a good option to back at 4.00 to score or assist.
> Bournemouth to win at 1.83 | Likelihood: Probable
> BTTS - Yes at 1.66 | Likelihood: Probable
> Bournemouth to win & BTTS - Yes at 3.50 | Likelihood: Possible
> Bournemouth to score first at 1.61 | Likelihood: Probable
> Burnley to win at 4.20 | Likelihood: Long shot
> James Ward-Prowse to score or assist at 4.00 | Likelihood: Long shot