Brighton vs Man City prediction, odds & betting tips 31/08/2025
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Brighton or draw

Brighton avoided defeat in both matches against Man City last season.

Manchester City will take on Brighton in the Premier League this weekend, with the Cityzens looking to bounce back from their defeat to Tottenham last weekend.

The trip to the Amex will be far from an easy one for Pep Guardiola and his players, but with Liverpool and Arsenal playing each other this weekend, a win would mean they make up ground on at least one of their two main title challengers.

For Brighton, the match is an opportunity to pick up their first league win of the new campaign.

As part of this week's round of Premier League betting tips, check out our Man City vs Brighton prediction below.

Brighton vs Man City prediction: Brighton to push City all the way

Key Stats

  • Brighton have lost none of their last five home Premier League matches.
  • Man City have won on just one of their last three visits to the Amex Stadium.
  • Both teams have scored in five of the last six matches between Brighton and Man City

Correct score prediction: Brighton 1-1 Man City

Man City's performance against Tottenham could either have just been a bad day at the office or evidence that the issues that plagued the team last season are still prevalent this season, too. Given how easily Spurs got in behind them, it didn't feel like just a blip. Brighton usually turn up for matches against the big boys, but their form doesn't justify backing them for a straight win.

Pre-game odds and win probability: The hosts are the underdogs

  • HOME: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
  • DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
  • AWAY: 5/6 (1.83) – 54.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Brighton vs Man City odds indicate that the bookies haven't lost faith in City just yet, but gone are the days when they went into every league match as huge odds-on favourites. Ladbrokes have given the visitors a 45.5% chance of victory on Sunday, while Brighton have been given a 25.6% chance of picking up all three points.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: A mixed bag

Last season, Brighton enjoyed their two matches against Man City, beating them 2-1 at home before drawing 2-2 at the Etihad Stadium. Prior to last season, though, it was generally City who had the better of the H2H, so the Seagulls will be well aware of what a Pep Guardiola team can do on any given day.

England Premier League 15/03/25

Man City

Man City

2
Brighton

Brighton

2

England Premier League 09/11/24

Brighton

Brighton

2
Man City

Man City

1

England Premier League 25/04/24

Brighton

Brighton

0
Man City

Man City

4

England Premier League 17/03/24

Brighton

Brighton

0
Man City

Man City

0

England Premier League 21/10/23

Man City

Man City

2
Brighton

Brighton

1

Brighton preview: Rutter is touch and go

The big news out of the Brighton camp this week is that Georginio Rutter could be fit to play after missing last weekend's clash with Everton and the Seagulls' Carabao Cup match against Oxford. In other news, Julio Enciso and Facundo Buonanotte, have both departed this week but Carlos Baleba remains a Brighton player.

Predicted lineup: Verbruggen (GK), Wieffer, Dunk, Van Hecke, De Cuyper, Baleba, Ayari, Minteh, O'Riley, Mitoma, Welbeck

England Premier League 10/05/25

W

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

0

Brighton

Brighton

2

England Premier League 04/05/25

D

Newcastle

Newcastle

1

Brighton

Brighton

1

England Premier League 26/04/25

W

West Ham

West Ham

2

Brighton

Brighton

3

England Premier League 19/04/25

L

Brentford

Brentford

4

Brighton

Brighton

2

England Premier League 12/04/25

D

Leicester

Leicester

2

Brighton

Brighton

2

Man City preview: Could Ederson to return?

After his poor performance last week, James Trafford could be replaced between the sticks by Ederson, who is yet to complete a move away from the club. Rodri should be fit enough to start in a huge boost, as is Rayan Ait-Nouri, despite being forced off against Surs.

Predicted lineup: Ederson (GK), Lewis, Stones, Dias, Ait-Nouri, Rodri, Bernardo, Reijnders, Doku, Marmoush, Haaland

England Premier League 10/05/25

D

Southampton

Southampton

0

Man City

Man City

0

England Premier League 02/05/25

W

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

0

Man City

Man City

1

England FA Cup 27/04/25

W

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

0

Man City

Man City

2

England Premier League 22/04/25

W

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

Man City

Man City

2

England Premier League 19/04/25

W

Everton

Everton

0

Man City

Man City

2

Player to watch: Rodri

Rodri
Rodri – Photo by Imago

Rodri is expected to return to the Man City starting XI on Sunday, and Guardiola will be banking on his team looking completely different with the Ballon d'Or winner in midfield. There is no doubt that City have missed the Spaniard, but is he really the difference between them being title challengers and not?

epl predictions

Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.