Champions Liverpool head to the Amex for their penultimate game of the 2024/25 season. Our Brighton vs Liverpool prediction and Premier League betting tips consider whether the Reds can win their final away fixture.
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Brighton vs Liverpool prediction: Goals to flow in home win
Key stats
- Both teams have scored two or more goals in four of Brighton’s last eight league games.
- Our Brighton vs Liverpool betting tips take into account that Arne Slot’s team have conceded three goals in two of their last three away games.
- 72% of Brighton home matches in the Premier League this season have seen both teams score.
- Liverpool away games average 3.56 goals in total in the Premier League this term.
Correct score prediction: Brighton 3-2 Liverpool
Brighton will be fully focused on this game and are likely to find a higher intensity than Liverpool who are winding down towards the end of a successful season.
We’ve already seen standards slip slightly from Slot’s team in recent weeks, with defeats at Fulham and Chelsea since the start of April, and a repeat is certainly possible here against a Brighton side that has taken seven points from their last three games.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies struggling to call it
- HOME: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%
- DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- AWAY: 7/5 (2.40) – 41.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the slight favourites according to the Brighton vs Liverpool odds, with an implied probability of 41.7% that they win this match.
They head into this following a 2-2 home draw against Arsenal, with Cody Gakpo and Luis Diaz’s early goals cancelled out by the Gunners after the break.
As for Brighton, they won 2-0 at Wolves last time out, with Danny Welbeck and Brajan Gruda on target.
For more from the upcoming matches, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: A fixture that usually delivers goals
Our Brighton vs Liverpool prediction suggests we’ll see both teams score for the sixth meeting in a row.
The Seagulls have scored at least twice in all of the last four meetings on the South Coast, winning two of them.
England Premier League 02/11/24
Liverpool
Brighton
England EFL Cup 30/10/24
Brighton
Liverpool
England Premier League 31/03/24
Liverpool
Brighton
England Premier League 08/10/23
Brighton
Liverpool
England FA Cup 29/01/23
Brighton
Liverpool
Brighton preview: Doubts over key duo
Captain Lewis Dunk is expected to be back in the Brighton squad for this game, but may only be ready for a place on the bench. Kaoru Mitoma is also a doubt, while Solly March and Georginio Rutter are set to miss out again due to injuries.
Predicted Lineup: Verbruggen (GK), Lamptey, Van Hecke, Webster, Estupinan, Wieffer, Ayari, Minteh, Baleba, O’Riley & Welbeck
England Premier League 10/05/25 W Wolverhampton 0 Brighton 2 England Premier League 04/05/25 D Newcastle 1 Brighton 1 England Premier League 26/04/25 W West Ham 2 Brighton 3 England Premier League 19/04/25 L Brentford 4 Brighton 2 England Premier League 12/04/25 D Leicester 2 Brighton 2
Liverpool preview: Few issues for Slot
We may see some rotation from the Liverpool boss from the last game, but he’s only expecting to be missing Joe Gomez to injury.
Predicted Lineup: Alisson (GK), Tsimikas, Van Dijk, Konate, Bradley, Jones, Mac Allister, Szoboszlai, Diaz, Jota & Salah
England Premier League 11/05/25 D Arsenal 2 Liverpool 2 England Premier League 04/05/25 L Chelsea 3 Liverpool 1 England Premier League 27/04/25 W Tottenham 1 Liverpool 5 England Premier League 20/04/25 W Leicester 0 Liverpool 1 England Premier League 13/04/25 W West Ham 1 Liverpool 2
Player to watch – Danny Welbeck
Experienced striker Danny Welbeck takes good form into this match with three goals in his last six games to boost his team’s European push.
Welbeck in double figures at last
For the first time in his career, 34-year-old Danny Welbeck has scored 10 goals in a Premier League season. This is also the first time ever in the Premier League that Brighton have had multiple players reach double figures, with Joao Pedro also netting 10 times.
