Brighton play host to Crystal Palace in the M23 Derby at the Amex Stadium on Sunday afternoon, with both teams in desperate need of points after a slump in form. Indeed, both sides sit in the bottom half of the Premier League table, and will not want to slip closer to the relegation zone.
Brighton and Palace were held to 1-1 draws last time out, as the Seagulls dropped points at home to Everton, while the Eagles failed to beat 10-man Nottingham Forest at the City Ground. Nonetheless, we are expecting an intense derby with potentially more at stake than just bragging rights.
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Brighton vs Crystal Palace prediction: Both sides to settle for point?
Key stats
- Brighton are unbeaten in five home games, although four have been draws.
- Palace are winless in six away matches, with five being defeats.
- Each sides' last four games have seen both teams score.
Correct score prediction: Brighton 1-1 Crystal Palace
With both teams out of form, confidence is low in terms of being able to win the game. Thus, we could see a draw here, as was the case for Brighton and Palace last weekend.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Brighton favourites with bookmakers
- HOME: 1/1 (2.00) – 50.0%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- AWAY: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, Brighton have been installed as the favourites with bookmakers to claim all three points on home soil. Interestingly, both a draw and a Palace win are separated by just 0.8%.
Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Today’s betting tips page, as well as our Premier League predictions & betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Palace hold upper hand
Brighton have only won once in the previous five H2Hs, with there being two Palace wins and two draws. Four of those meetings also saw both teams score, which is a familiar pattern that could be repeated on Sunday.
England Premier League 09/11/25
Crystal Palace
Brighton
England Premier League 05/04/25
Crystal Palace
Brighton
England Premier League 15/12/24
Brighton
Crystal Palace
England Premier League 03/02/24
Brighton
Crystal Palace
England Premier League 21/12/23
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Brighton preview: Ayari out
Yasin Ayari is ruled out with a shoulder injury, but Diego Gomez is available. Mats Wieffer is also close to a return for Brighton.
Predicted lineup: Verbruggen (GK); Veltman, Van Hecke, Dunk, Kadioglu; Hinshelwood, Gross; Minteh, Rutter, Mitoma & Welbeck
Last five results:
- Brighton 1-1 Everton
- Fulham 2-1 Brighton
- Brighton 1-1 Bournemouth
- Manchester United 1-2 Brighton
- Manchester City 1-1 Brighton
Crystal Palace preview: Mateta doubtful
Jean-Philippe Mateta is having further assessments on an ongoing knee injury, and so is a doubt. Jorgen Strand Larsen could make his Palace debut in his place.
Predicted lineup: Henderson (GK); Richards, Lacroix, Riad; Munoz, Wharton, Lerma, Mitchell; Johnson, Sarr & Strand Larsen
Last five results:
- Nottingham Forest 1-1 Crystal Palace
- Crystal Palace 1-3 Chelsea
- Sunderland 2-1 Crystal Palace
- Macclesfield 2-1 Crystal Palace
- Crystal Palace 0-0 Aston Villa
Player to watch: Jorgen Strand Larsen
After playing against them for Wolves, Jorgen Strand Larsen could make his debut for Palace against Brighton. 14 Premier League goals last season highlight how deadly he can be in attack, and the Norwegian will hope to live up to his £48m price tag.