Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa provides a tasty affair in the race for European places when they meet on Wednesday, December 3.
The hosts have put together a string of positive results that have seen them climb into fifth place in the Premier League, while Villa occupy fourth and are only a point adrift of Manchester City in second.
A win for both sides is crucial, as they aim to solidify their quest for continental football next season, resulting in a thrilling encounter under the lights at the Amex Stadium.
Explore Premier League betting tips and our Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove Albion betting tips below.
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Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa Prediction: Unbeaten home record to play its part
Key stats
- Brighton are unbeaten at home in the league, winning four and drawing twice.
- The Seagulls are undefeated in their previous four outings, regardless of the venue.
- Aston Villa have won five games in a row in all competitions.
- Before this round, Brighton saw a joint-league high of nine matches in which both teams scored.
Correct score prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Aston Villa
Brighton have scored 21 goals in the league this season from their 13 games, while Villa have only struck 16 goals in that run. That scoreline appeared in two of the Villains’ last three outings, although that was in a winning cause. The hosts, though, are averaging two goals per game at home, while they concede exactly one goal in such matches.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Home advantage counts
- HOME: 6/5 (2.2) – 45.5%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.4) – 29.4%
- AWAY: 11/5 (3.2) – 31.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Despite Aston Villa sitting higher up on the Premier League table, and with a two-point lead, Ladbrokes has them as second-best to finish this game with three points. As a result, the Villains have a 31.3% chance of winning this one, while Brighton’s excellent home record has them edging this one with a 45.5% chance of continuing their unbeaten run at the Amex Stadium.
We have more free betting tips for today that can help you out with the best possible selections.
Most recent H2Hs: The Villains in control
Overall, Aston Villa boast more victories in the head-to-head history with 19 wins across their 35 meetings. Meanwhile, Brighton only won six times, which is difficult to comprehend. There was a period between 2021 and 2023, when Villa won five in a row, and the visitors won the corresponding fixture last term 3-0.
England Premier League 02/04/25
Brighton
Aston Villa
England Premier League 30/12/24
Aston Villa
Brighton
England Premier League 05/05/24
Brighton
Aston Villa
England Premier League 30/09/23
Aston Villa
Brighton
England Premier League 28/05/23
Aston Villa
Brighton
Brighton & Hove Albion preview: Stars still missing
Fabian Hurzeler still has to deal without some of his crucial players, including Kaoru Mitoma, Solly March, James Milner and Adam Webster. Georginio Rutter is also a doubt for this one due to a head injury, while Stefanos Tzimas is likely to replace Danny Welbeck from the start in an effort to rotate the squad.
Predicted lineup: Verbruggen; Kadioglu, Van Hecke, Dunk, De Cuyper; Baleba, Ayari; Minteh, Hinshelwood, Gomez; Tzimas
Last five games
- Nottingham Forest 0-2 Brighton
- Brighton 2-1 Brentford
- Crystal Palace 0-0 Brighton
- Brighton 3-0 Leeds United
- Arsenal 2-0 Brighton
Aston Villa preview: Mings missing
Tyrone Mings is still battling a hamstring strain and with definitely be out of this one, while Ross Barkley is doubtful. The former Luton midfielder made a 13-minute appearance as a substitute in Villa’s 1-0 over Wolves this past weekend, until he had to be taken off because of an injury. Unai Emery may once again turn to Ollie Watkins for inspiration in the goals department.
Predicted lineup: Martinez; Cash, Konsa, Torres, Digne; Tielemans, Onana; McGinn, Rogers, Buendia; Watkins
Last five games
- Aston Villa 1-0 Wolves
- Aston Villa 2-1 Young Boys
- Leeds United 1-2 Aston Villa
- Aston Villa 4-0 Bournemouth
- Aston Villa 2-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Player to watch: Ollie Watkins
The English international has been going through a dry spell on the goals front, scoring just one goal in his last 10 appearances for club and country. However, he has been limited with minutes, just like he was at the weekend against Wolves. Watkins could be fresh and ready to go from the off here, and he has a slight liking toward Brighton. The Villa number 11 scored seven goals and registered two assists in nine matches against the Seagulls, including a hat-trick in a 6-1 drubbing at Villa Park back in 2023.