Brest v Sturm Graz prediction, odds & betting tips – 19/09/2024

Brest v Sturm Graz prediction
Brest are gearing up to play their first ever Champions League fixture against Sturm Graz. (Photo by Imago)
🔥 Our Hot tip

Brest to win

Sturm Graz have lost each of their last seven fixtures in the Champions League.

Brest welcome Sturm Graz to the Stade Francis-Le Bléin for a Champions League group stage clash on Thursday, 19 September. Read our Champions League predictions for the match below.

Brest vs Sturm Graz prediction: Hosts to prevail?

Key Stats

  • Brest won their last home game 4-0 against St. Etienne in Ligue 1.
  • Sturm Graz have lost each of their last seven fixtures in the Champions League.
  • Each of Sturm Graz’s last three competitive matches featured over 2.5 goals.
  • Ludovic Ajorque scored on his home debut for Brest against St. Etienne.

Correct score prediction: Brest 2-1 Sturm Graz

Brest will play their first-ever Champions League home game on Thursday and the French outfit can harness the energy of the occasion to prevail. Brest have kept only one clean sheet in four outings this term however, so expect goals from both teams.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Sturm Graz priced as underdogs

  • HOME: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%
  • DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
  • AWAY: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Brest were beaten 3-1 at PSG at the weekend despite taking an early lead in Paris, though the 17/20 favourites should still be full of energy for the club’s first-ever Champions League fixture against Sturm Graz, and that could be enough to get them over the line on Thursday.

The visitors are already leading the Austrian Bundesliga after five games, though Sturm Graz have a poor record in the Champions League and they have been priced as 16/5 underdogs this week as a consequence. View more of our top football tips and Champions League analysis on our dedicated page.

Most recent H2Hs: Teams have never met before

Brest and Sturm Graz have never played each other before, making Thursday’s clash the teams’ first-ever encounter.

Brest preview: Trio missing for Brest

Romain Faivre, Bradley Locko and Pierre Lees-Melou are all out of action for Brest. Eric Roy's charges were beaten by Ligue 1 champions PSG at the weekend, though they won their last home game 4-0 against St. Etienne.

Predicted lineup: Bizot (GK), Lala, Chardonnet, Le Cardinal, Haidara, Camara, Fernandes, Magnetti, Del Castillo, Sima, Ajorque

UEFA Champions League 01/10/24

W

FC Salzburg

FC Salzburg

0

Brest

Brest

4

France Ligue 1 27/09/24

L

Auxerre

Auxerre

3

Brest

Brest

0

France Ligue 1 22/09/24

W

Toulouse

Toulouse

0

Brest

Brest

2

UEFA Champions League 19/09/24

W

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

1

Brest

Brest

2

France Ligue 1 14/09/24

L

PSG

PSG

3

Brest

Brest

1

Sturm Graz preview: Two possible absentees

Sturm Graz could be without the services of Manprit Sarkaria and Alexandar Borkovic on Thursday. Sturm Graz came from two goals down to beat WSG Tirol 4-2 in their last assignment, though that fixture was on August 31st.

Predicted lineup: Scherpen (GK), Gazibegovic, Lavalee, Aiwu, Johnston, Gorenc Stankovic, Kiteishvili, Horvat, Boving, Zvonarek, Biereth

UEFA Champions League 02/10/24

L

Club Brugge

Club Brugge

1

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

0

Austria Bundesliga 28/09/24

W

FC Blau Weiss Linz

FC Blau Weiss Linz

1

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

2

Austria Bundesliga 25/09/24

D

FK Austria Vienna

FK Austria Vienna

2

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

2

Austria Bundesliga 22/09/24

L

Wolfsberger AC

Wolfsberger AC

3

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

0

UEFA Champions League 19/09/24

L

Brest

Brest

2

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

1

Player to watch – Romain Del Castillo

Romain Del Castillo was a key member of the Brest team that secured Champions League qualification last season, chipping in with 16 goal involvements (8G&8A) in 30 Ligue 1 appearances for his club.

Brest vs Sturm Graz prediction
Romain Del Castillo will be aiming to score for the third game in a row for Brest. (Photo by Imago)

Del Castillo can excel in the Champions League

Del Castillo managed to score in each of his last two appearances for Brest and the 28-year-old winger should be able to tackle his first Champions League assignment against Sturm Graz with plenty of confidence as a result.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.