Brazil vs Spain Women prediction, odds & betting tips – 06/08/2024

Brazil vs Spain Women prediction
Athenea Del Castillo in action for Spain against Colombia in Paris - Photo by Imago
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Under 2.5 total goals

Three of the last five meetings between Brazil Women and Spain Women have produced under 2.5 goals

Brazil upset the hosts France in the Quarter-Finals to set up a date against Spain in the last four.

Spain had to come from behind in dramatic style against Colombia in the last eight, eventually winning against the South Americans on penalties.

Brazil vs Spain Women prediction: A tight and tense 90 minutes on the cards?

Key Stats

  • Three of Brazil's four games at the 2024 Olympics have witnessed fewer than three goals.
  • Three of Spain's last five outings across all competitions have produced under 2.5 goals.
  • Brazil have only failed to score in one of their last seven fixtures.
  • Both teams have scored in four of Spain's last seven outings.

Correct score prediction: Brazil Women 1-1 Spain Women

Spain are unbeaten in their last three games against Brazil but the South Americans have only lost one of their last seven matches, so with both teams proving hard to beat in recent months we're backing a 1-1 draw on Tuesday night.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Spain the bookmaker's choice

  • HOME: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
  • DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
  • AWAY: 3/5 (1.60) – 62.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Spain Women are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 62.5%, and we tend to agree with the bookmakers on this selection.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Level pegging

The last five meetings between these two nations have produced two wins, one draw and two defeats apiece but Spain did beat Brazil 2-0 in the group stage of the 2024 Olympics.

Olympics 2024 Soccer - Women 31/07/24

Brazil Women

Brazil Women

0
Spain Women

Spain Women

2

Womens International 07/04/22

Spain Women

Spain Women

1
Brazil Women

Brazil Women

1

Womenu2019s International 05/04/19

Spain Women

Spain Women

2
Brazil Women

Brazil Women

1

Womenu2017s International 10/06/17

Spain Women

Spain Women

1
Brazil Women

Brazil Women

2

Women's World Cup 13/06/15

Brazil Women

Brazil Women

1
Spain Women

Spain Women

0

Brazil Women preview: Claimed a late win against France

Brazil took on the home nation France in the Quarter-Finals were the pair played out a tight and tense 90 minutes.

Following a goalless first half and much of the second 45 also failing to produce a single goal, the game looked like it might be heading for extra-time.

However, with eight minutes left on the clock, Adriana created one last chance for Gabi Portilho and the Corinthians forward scored to win the game for Brazil.

Predicted lineup: Lorena (GK), Souza, Yasmim, Ferreira, Tarciane, Vitória, Sampaio, Portilho, Adriana, Nunes & Jheniffer

Olympics 2024 Soccer - Women 10/08/24

L

USA Women

USA Women

1

Brazil Women

Brazil Women

0

Olympics 2024 Soccer - Women 06/08/24

W

Spain Women

Spain Women

2

Brazil Women

Brazil Women

4

Olympics 2024 Soccer - Women 03/08/24

W

France Women

France Women

0

Brazil Women

Brazil Women

1

Olympics 2024 Soccer - Women 31/07/24

L

Spain Women

Spain Women

2

Brazil Women

Brazil Women

0

Olympics 2024 Soccer - Women 28/07/24

L

Japan Women

Japan Women

2

Brazil Women

Brazil Women

1

Spain Women preview: Looked like they were going out

Spain would have been expecting a tough game against Colombia and that's just what they got.

The South Americans took the lead in the 12th minute and led 1-0 at the interval. Colombia then doubled their advantage early in the second half, leaving Spain with a mountain to climb.

A goal from veteran forward Jenni Hermoso got Spain back into the game in the 79th minute and deep into stoppage-time Irene Paredes scored an equaliser to send the game into extra-time.

This Quarter-Final would eventually be settled on penalties with Colombia missing two of their opening four spot-kicks and Spain converting each of their four to set up a Semi-Final tie against Brazil.

Predicted lineup: Coll (GK), Paredes, Aleixandri, Batlle, Carmona, Putellas, Guijarro, Bonmatí, Caldentey, Paralluelo & del Castillo

Olympics 2024 Soccer - Women 09/08/24

L

Germany Women

Germany Women

1

Spain Women

Spain Women

0

Olympics 2024 Soccer - Women 06/08/24

L

Brazil Women

Brazil Women

4

Spain Women

Spain Women

2

Olympics 2024 Soccer - Women 03/08/24

W

Colombia Women

Colombia Women

2 (2)

Spain Women

Spain Women

2 (4)

Olympics 2024 Soccer - Women 31/07/24

W

Brazil Women

Brazil Women

0

Spain Women

Spain Women

2

Olympics 2024 Soccer - Women 28/07/24

W

Nigeria Women

Nigeria Women

0

Spain Women

Spain Women

1

Player to watch – Salma Paralluelo

Salma Paralluelo set up both of Spain's equalisers against Colombia in the Quarter-Finals and we're backing the 20-year-old attacker to put in another impressive performance for her country on Tuesday night.

Salma Paralluelo player to watch
Salma Paralluelo starred for Spain against Colombia in the Quarter-Finals – Photo by Imago

The Barcelona youngster scored 20 goals in 19 league games last season and looks to have the talent to take her all the way to the top of Women's football.

Paralluelo provided the creativity for Spain against Colombia

Although she hasn't scored at the 2024 Olympics, Paralluelo's contributions have been one of the most significant for Spain, especially against Colombia when all hope seemed to be lost.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things