Brazil vs Senegal prediction, odds & betting tips – 15/11/2025
Vinicius in action for Brazil || Credit IMAGO / justpictures.ch
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Over 3.5 goals

Two to three of their last five games have ended in over 3.5 goals.

This weekend's international friendly brings together two continental heavyweights as Brazil look to settle their score with Senegal on Saturday at the Emirates Stadium in London after losing their previous outing against the African giant. 

The Selecao have had a decent run of games, winning three of their last five matches and losing two. They also secured a spot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. However, their recent outing, which was a friendly game, ended in a 3-2 loss against Japan. 

On the other hand, the Lions of Teranga boast an impressive form in their qualifiers, winning their last four games in a row. They secured an emphatic 4-0 victory against Mauritania in their last World Cup qualifying match.

Read our Brazil vs Senegal predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other international friendly predictions.

Brazil vs Senegal prediction: Expect a high-scoring game and a draw 

Key statistics

  • Over 3.5 goals have been scored in two of their last five games.
  • One of their last two meetings ended in a full-time draw.
  • BTTS has been played in their last two meetings.

Correct score prediction: Brazil 2-2 Senegal

Senegal have had good form heading into this game and have not lost to Brazil in their recent meetings. Although there have been a lot of goals in their recent games and their previous encounters.

Based on their forms and goal-scoring records, we predict a 2-2 draw with a high-scoring affair in this game. Both teams possess a lot of quality players in attack and can outscore each other, so we expect a lot of goals in this game. 

Pre-match odds and win probability: Brazil are firm favourites

  • Home: 8/13 (1.62) – 61.9%
  • Draw: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
  • Away: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.0%

*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*

The Senegalese team have developed a knack for beating Brazil, but the bookmakers see the Selecao as favourites in this clash with odds of 1.62, reflecting a 61.9% chance of victory. 

The draw is priced at 3.90, suggesting a 25.6% probability, while Senegal are seen as the underdog at 5.25 odds, translating to a 19.0% chance of success. Despite Brazil being the favourites, we believe the game will end in a draw.

Most recent head-to-head: Senegal maintains an impressive unbeaten record

Senegal holds a surprising unbeaten record against the mighty Brazilian side. Both teams have met only in two official matches. These two games were friendly fixtures in which Brazil secured no victory and Senegal claimed one victory, with a draw separating them. The most recent match, played in June 2023, resulted in a notable 4-2 victory for Senegal, which followed a 1-1 draw in October 2019.

International Match 20/06/23

Brazil

Brazil

2
Senegal

Senegal

4

International Match 10/10/19

Brazil

Brazil

1
Senegal

Senegal

1

After reviewing our key Brazil vs Senegal predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.

Brazil preview: Injury-hit squad

Neymar has been left out of Carlo Ancelotti’s 26-man Brazil squad, marking more than two years since his last international appearance. Although the 33-year-old has recovered from his latest injury at Santos, the injury-prone forward was not included in the final selection. Goalkeeper Hugo Souza withdrew through injury, while Raphinha, Gabriel Martinelli, Savinho, Joelinton, Joao Gomes and Lucas Beraldo are among several high-profile players omitted by Ancelotti.

Predicted lineup: Ederson (GK), Wesley, Marquinhos, Gabriel, C. Henrique, Casemiro, Guimaraes, Estevao, Paqueta, Rodrygo & Vinicius Jr

Last five fixtures

  • 14.10.25 – Japan 3 – 2 Brazil
  • 10.10.25 – South Korea 0 – 5 Brazil
  • 10.09.25 – Bolivia 1 – 0 Brazil
  • 05.09.25 – Brazil 3 – 0 Chile
  • 11.06.25 – Brazil 1 – 0 Paraguay

Senegal preview: Few injury concerns

Senegal will be without Krepin Diatta, who is sidelined through injury, while Nampalys Mendy, Mamadou Mbow and Cheikh Nisse have all been omitted after taking part in last month’s squad.

Assane Diao returns to the national team after missing the previous international break due to injury and Rassoul Ndiaye is back in the senior setup for the first time in 18 months, hoping to add to his single international cap. There are also new call-ups, with Mamadou Sarr and Ibrahim Mbaye, both of whom could make their debuts against Brazil.

Predicted lineup: E. Mendy (GK), A. Mendy, Koulibaly, Niakhate, Diouf, P. Sarr, Gueye, I. Sarr, Ndiaye, Mane & Jackson

Last five fixtures

  • 14.10.25 – Senegal 4 – 0 Mauritania
  • 10.10.25 – South Sudan 0 – 5 Senegal
  • 09.09.25 – D.R. Congo 2 – 3 Senegal
  • 05.09.25 – Senegal 2 – 0 Sudan
  • 29.08.25 – Sudan 1 – 2 Senegal

Player to watch: Vinicius Junior

Vinicius Jr, Brazil star player || Credit - IMAGO / Sports Press Photo

A key player to watch in this match is Real Madrid star Vinicius Junior, who played an important role in Brazil’s World Cup qualifications. He scored three goals and provided two assists during the qualifiers and his presence in the team for the Senegal clash will be a boost for the team and a threat to the Taranga Lions’ defence.


Stephen is a dynamic sports journalist, writer, and reporter who brings passion and expertise to the world of sports, captivating audiences with insightful articles and in-depth analysis of the game.