Brazil vs Peru prediction, odds & betting tips – 16/10/2024
Brazil won in Chile last time out - Photo by IMAGO.
🔥 Our Hot tip

Brazil to win by 1 goal

Brazil have only won one of their last 16 matches by more than a single goal.

Brazil are back at home in 2026 World Cup qualifying this week. Our Brazil vs Peru prediction considers whether the home team can build on a much needed win on Thursday night.

Brazil vs Peru prediction: Hosts to win by one in Brasilia

Key stats

  • Our Brazil vs Peru betting tips take into account that the visitors haven’t let in more than two goals in any of their last 16 matches.
  • Five of Brazil’s last six international victories have come by one goal margins.
  • Peru have only won one of their nine World Cup qualifiers in the 2026 cycle so far.

Correct score prediction: Brazil 2-1 Peru

Brazil are currently a shadow of their once great selves. They should still comfortably find a path through to reaching the World Cup, but they are dominating games as you might expect with the talent that is still at their disposal. Peru should be competitive as a result here, but a home win still looks likely.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Brazil the clear favourites

  • HOME: 2/9 (1.22) – 81.8%
  • DRAW: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
  • AWAY: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.0%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the very clear favourites according to the Brazil vs Peru odds with an implied probability of 81.8% that they win this match.

Brazil come into this game after a badly needed win, with Igor Jesus and Luiz Henrique striking in a 2-1 triumph away to Chile.

As for Peru, they were victorious at the ninth time of asking last week with Miguel Araujo scoring an 88th minute winner to defeat Uruguay 1-0.

For more of the best picks, today’s football tips look at the upcoming action in Europe and beyond.

Most recent H2Hs: Brazil targeting fifth straight win

Our Brazil vs Peru prediction suggests the five-time World Cup winners will triumph again, having won each of the last four meetings. Marquinhos scored the only goal for Brazil late on when the sides met earlier in this cycle.

South America - World Cup Qualifying 13/09/23

Peru

Peru

0
Brazil

Brazil

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 10/09/21

Brazil

Brazil

2
Peru

Peru

0

Copa America 06/07/21

Brazil

Brazil

1
Peru

Peru

0

Copa America 19/06/21

Peru

Peru

0
Brazil

Brazil

0

Copa America 18/06/21

Brazil

Brazil

4
Peru

Peru

0

Brazil preview: Paqueta serves ban

There’ll be no Lucas Paqueta here for Brazil after his booking last time out. Vinicius Junior is the most notable injury absentee while Ederson will continue in goal with Alisson sidelined.

Predicted Lineup: Ederson (GK), Danilo, Marquinhos, Gabriel, Abner, Andre, Guimaraes, Raphinha, Savio, Jesus & Rodrygo

South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25

L

Argentina

Argentina

4

Brazil

Brazil

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25

W

Colombia

Colombia

1

Brazil

Brazil

2

South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24

D

Uruguay

Uruguay

1

Brazil

Brazil

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 14/11/24

D

Venezuela

Venezuela

1

Brazil

Brazil

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/10/24

W

Peru

Peru

0

Brazil

Brazil

4

Peru preview: Unchanged eleven possible

After ending their winless start last time out, Peru could be unchanged here. Renato Tapia and Yoshimar Yotun remain sidelined through injury.

Predicted Lineup: Gallese (GK), Polo, Araujo, Zambrano, Abram, Callens, Pena, Sonne, Castillo, Valera & Flores

South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25

L

Venezuela

Venezuela

1

Peru

Peru

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25

W

Bolivia

Bolivia

1

Peru

Peru

3

South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24

L

Argentina

Argentina

1

Peru

Peru

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/11/24

D

Chile

Chile

0

Peru

Peru

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/10/24

L

Brazil

Brazil

4

Peru

Peru

0

Brazil are back at home in 2026 World Cup qualifying this week. Our Brazil vs Peru prediction considers whether the home team can build on a much needed win on Thursday night.

Brazil vs Peru prediction: Hosts to win by one in Brasilia

Key stats

  • Our Brazil vs Peru betting tips take into account that the visitors haven’t let in more than two goals in any of their last 16 matches.
  • Five of Brazil’s last six international victories have come by one goal margins.
  • Peru have only won one of their nine World Cup qualifiers in the 2026 cycle so far.

Correct score prediction: Brazil 2-1 Peru

Brazil are currently a shadow of their once great selves. They should still comfortably find a path through to reaching the World Cup, but they are dominating games as you might expect with the talent that is still at their disposal. Peru should be competitive as a result here, but a home win still looks likely.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Brazil the clear favourites

  • HOME: 2/9 (1.22) – 81.8%
  • DRAW: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
  • AWAY: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.0%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the very clear favourites according to the Brazil vs Peru odds with an implied probability of 81.8% that they win this match.

Brazil come into this game after a badly needed win, with Igor Jesus and Luiz Henrique striking in a 2-1 triumph away to Chile.

As for Peru, they were victorious at the ninth time of asking last week with Miguel Araujo scoring an 88th minute winner to defeat Uruguay 1-0.

For more of the best picks, today’s football tips look at the upcoming action in Europe and beyond.

Most recent H2Hs: Brazil targeting fifth straight win

Our Brazil vs Peru prediction suggests the five-time World Cup winners will triumph again, having won each of the last four meetings. Marquinhos scored the only goal for Brazil late on when the sides met earlier in this cycle.

South America - World Cup Qualifying 13/09/23

Peru

Peru

0
Brazil

Brazil

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 10/09/21

Brazil

Brazil

2
Peru

Peru

0

Copa America 06/07/21

Brazil

Brazil

1
Peru

Peru

0

Copa America 19/06/21

Peru

Peru

0
Brazil

Brazil

0

Copa America 18/06/21

Brazil

Brazil

4
Peru

Peru

0

Brazil preview: Paqueta serves ban

There’ll be no Lucas Paqueta here for Brazil after his booking last time out. Vinicius Junior is the most notable injury absentee while Ederson will continue in goal with Alisson sidelined.

Predicted Lineup: Ederson (GK), Danilo, Marquinhos, Gabriel, Abner, Andre, Guimaraes, Raphinha, Savio, Jesus & Rodrygo

South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25

L

Argentina

Argentina

4

Brazil

Brazil

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25

W

Colombia

Colombia

1

Brazil

Brazil

2

South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24

D

Uruguay

Uruguay

1

Brazil

Brazil

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 14/11/24

D

Venezuela

Venezuela

1

Brazil

Brazil

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/10/24

W

Peru

Peru

0

Brazil

Brazil

4

Peru preview: Unchanged eleven possible

After ending their winless start last time out, Peru could be unchanged here. Renato Tapia and Yoshimar Yotun remain sidelined through injury.

Predicted Lineup: Gallese (GK), Polo, Araujo, Zambrano, Abram, Callens, Pena, Sonne, Castillo, Valera & Flores

South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25

L

Venezuela

Venezuela

1

Peru

Peru

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25

W

Bolivia

Bolivia

1

Peru

Peru

3

South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24

L

Argentina

Argentina

1

Peru

Peru

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/11/24

D

Chile

Chile

0

Peru

Peru

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/10/24

L

Brazil

Brazil

4

Peru

Peru

0

Player to watch – Raphinha

One player who took fine form into this international camp is Raphinha. The Barcelona man has scored five and assisted four in nine appearances in La Liga so far this term.

brazil vs peru prediction
Raphinha in action last week – Photo by IMAGO.

Can Raphinha reproduce club form for Brazil?

Raphinha’s return of seven goals in 28 internationals is not a bad one for a player who is not an outright forward. He’s averaging 3.3 shots per game from a deep position for Barca this term and will fancy he can get lots of attempts away in this match.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.