Sparks will fly as Brazil host Paraguay in the CONMEBOL FIFA World Cup qualifiers at Neo Quimica Arena on Wednesday, 11 June 2025.
View our free Brazil vs Paraguay predictions below.
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Brazil vs Paraguay predictions: Goals at both ends
Key stats
- Paraguay are currently on a nine-match unbeaten run.
- Both teams were on the scoresheet in four of Brazil's last five games.
- Brazil have not lost a competitive home game to Paraguay since 1949.
Correct score prediction: Brazil 2-1 Paraguay
Although Paraguay are unbeaten in their last nine games, they are still hunting for their first away win in the World Cup qualifiers (D5, L2).
In fact, Paraguay's only away wins in the last four years were in friendly matches.
Keeping in mind that Brazil have 10 points from a possible 12 in their last four home games, we are leaning toward the hosts for the win.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Paraguay are up against it
- HOME: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
- DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
- AWAY: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
With only one win in their last five qualifying games, Brazil have dropped to fourth in the CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying group. They are two points behind third-placed Paraguay with three matches left to play.
Depending on the outcome of Venezuela's encounter with Uruguay, Brazil could secure an automatic World Cup berth with a victory on Wednesday.
On the other hand, Paraguay could potentially lose their remaining three matches and still qualify automatically for the World Cup.
Ahead of this clash, Brazil are the expected winners at 4/9 (1.44). Teams with these odds generally have a 69.2% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Brazil vs Paraguay predictions.
We have also pointed out that four of Brazil's last five matches produced goals at both ends. For this reason, BTTS – Yes has an appealing look at 7/5 (2.40). That one has a 41.7% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: A fairly one-sided contest
Although Paraguay were the victors in the reverse fixture, they have lost five of their last six meetings with Brazil.
South America - World Cup Qualifying 11/09/24
Paraguay
Brazil
Copa America 29/06/24
Paraguay
Brazil
South America - World Cup Qualifying 02/02/22
Brazil
Paraguay
South America - World Cup Qualifying 09/06/21
Paraguay
Brazil
Copa America 28/06/19
Brazil
Paraguay
Brazil preview: Looking to get back to winning ways
Raphinha is expected to play a crucial role for Brazil, marking his return against Paraguay on Wednesday after serving a suspension in the goalless draw with Ecuador.
Newcastle midfielder Bruno Guimarães picked up an injury in that game and is now a major doubt for this contest. Raphinha’s return could mean that Palmeiras winger Estevao, who got the nod last week, will return to the bench.
New manager Carlo Ancelotti took over the Canary Squad last month after leaving Real Madrid, but only secured a draw in his first game for the five-time world champions. The Italian manager will be eager to secure his first win for Brazil when they host Paraguay, which would move them into the top 3 in the qualification standings.
Predicted lineup: Alisson (GK), Sandro, Ribeiro, Marquinhos, Vanderson, Pereira, Casemiro, Gerson, Cunha, Vinicius & Raphinha.
South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25
L
Argentina
4
Brazil
1
South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25
W
Colombia
1
Brazil
2
South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24
D
Uruguay
1
Brazil
1
South America - World Cup Qualifying 14/11/24
D
Venezuela
1
Brazil
1
South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/10/24
W
Peru
0
Brazil
4
Paraguay preview: Eyeing their first away win
The win over Uruguay last time out saw Paraguay leap into the top 3 in the CONMEBOL FIFA World Cup qualifying table with three matches left, but that came at a cost as Brighton & Hove Albion midfielder Diego Gomez sustained an injury, making him a likely absentee for the clash with Brazil.
Manager Gustavo Alfaro and his troops can fancy their chances of doing the double over Brazil after picking up a slim victory in the reverse fixture last year. Having strung together a nine-game unbeaten streak, they have momentum on their side to achieve this feat.
Predicted lineup: Fernandez (GK), Caceres, G. Gomez, Alderete, Alonso, Galarza, Sosa, Cubas, Almiron, Enciso & Sanabria.
South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25
D
Colombia
2
Paraguay
2
South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/03/25
W
Chile
0
Paraguay
1
South America - World Cup Qualifying 19/11/24
D
Bolivia
2
Paraguay
2
South America - World Cup Qualifying 14/11/24
W
Argentina
1
Paraguay
2
South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/10/24
W
Venezuela
1
Paraguay
2