Paraguay take on Brazil at the Estadio ueno Defensores del Chaco in a World Cup qualification fixture on Wednesday, 11 September. Read our football predictions for the match below.
Contents
- 1 Paraguay vs Brazil prediction: Visitor’s class to shine through in Asuncion
- 2 Pre-game odds and win probability: Markest favour Brazil
- 3 Most recent H2Hs: History favours Brazil
- 4 Paraguay preview: Hosts could be unchanged
- 5 Brazil preview: Dorival Junior could make changes
- 6 Player to watch – Vinicius Junior
Paraguay vs Brazil prediction: Visitor’s class to shine through in Asuncion
Key Stats
- Brazil managed to win each of their last three encounters with Paraguay.
- Brazil scored ten goals across their last three meetings with Paraguay.
- Vinicius Junior scored twice when Brazil beat Paraguay 4-1 in the Copa America in June.
- Paraguay failed to score in four of their last five skirmishes with Brazil.
Correct score prediction: Paraguay 0-2 Brazil
Brazil were comfortable winners (4-1) when they met Paraguay at the Copa America in the summer and though their margin of victory is unlikely to be so wide in Asuncion, the Selecao should have enough class to edge out a Paraguayan outfit that failed to score in four of the last five iterations of this fixture.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Markest favour Brazil
- HOME: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
- DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
- AWAY: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.6%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Paraguay picked up a respectable point at Uruguay at the weekend (0-0), though keeping a more dangerous Brazil team off the scoresheet should be a much tougher task and the hosts have just a 15.4% chance of winning on Wednesday according to the latest probability figures.
Brazil meanwhile, eked out three points from an awkward test against Ecuador (1-0) in their last World Cup qualifier, though the 4/7 favourites will be targeting a more expansive display in Asuncion. Head over to our free football tips page for more expert analysis and predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: History favours Brazil
Brazil have been the dominant force in this fixture down through the years. Most recently, at the Copa America in June, the Brazilians roared to a convincing 1-0 win over their Paraguayan counterparts.
Copa America 29/06/24
Paraguay
Brazil
South America - World Cup Qualifying 02/02/22
Brazil
Paraguay
South America - World Cup Qualifying 09/06/21
Paraguay
Brazil
Copa America 28/06/19
Brazil
Paraguay
South America - World Cup Qualifying 29/03/17
Brazil
Paraguay
Paraguay preview: Hosts could be unchanged
Head Coach Gustavo Alfaro would have been pleased about his team's display in the weekend's 0-0 draw at Uruguay. Alfaro sent his team out in a defensively-orientated 4-2-3-1 formation in Montevideo, so expect to see a similar shape against Brazil.
Predicted lineup: Fernandez (GK), Velazquez, G. Gomez, Alderete, Alonso, Cubas, D. Gomez, Enciso, Bobadilla, Almiron, Pitta
South America - World Cup Qualifying 11/09/24
W
Brazil
0
Paraguay
1
South America - World Cup Qualifying 06/09/24
D
Uruguay
0
Paraguay
0
Copa America 03/07/24
L
Costa Rica
2
Paraguay
1
Copa America 29/06/24
L
Brazil
4
Paraguay
1
Copa America 24/06/24
L
Colombia
2
Paraguay
1
Brazil preview: Dorival Junior could make changes
Brazil just about did enough to see of Ecuador at the weekend, though they manufactured just ten shots in their 1-0 win and Head Coach Dorival Junior might change things up in a bid to get more creativity into his front six on Wednesday.
Predicted lineup: Alisson (GK), Danilo, Marquinhos, Magalhaes, Arana, Andre, Guimaraes, Henrique, Paqueta, Vinicius, Rodrygo
South America - World Cup Qualifying 11/09/24
L
Paraguay
1
Brazil
0
South America - World Cup Qualifying 07/09/24
W
Ecuador
0
Brazil
1
Copa America 07/07/24
L
Uruguay
0 (4)
Brazil
0 (2)
Copa America 03/07/24
D
Colombia
1
Brazil
1
Copa America 29/06/24
W
Paraguay
1
Brazil
4
Player to watch – Vinicius Junior
Real Madrid forward Vinicius Junior had an unusually quiet outing for Brazil in the nation’s 1-0 win over Ecuador at the weekend, though the explosive attacker could be a more prominent protagonist against Paraguay.
Vinicius Jr has punished Paraguay before
Vini Jr stole the show when Brazil pasted Paraguay 4-1 at the Copa America in the summer and notched two of his team’s four goals in their Group Stage rout. The 24-year-old could do some more damage against the same defence on Wednesday.
