Two South American giants clash in a World Cup qualifier in Buenos Aires on Tuesday night. Our Argentina vs Brazil prediction considers whether the hosts can continue their strong recent run of results against their great rivals.
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Argentina vs Brazil prediction: Hosts to edge tight game
Key stats
- Our Argentina vs Brazil betting tips take into account that the visitors have lost 50% of their away qualifiers in the 2026 cycle.
- Brazil average just 0.83 goals per away game in this World Cup qualifying campaign.
- Of their last eight home World Cup qualifiers, Argentina have won seven of them to nil.
Correct score prediction: Argentina 1-0 Brazil
Argentina have been the stronger of these two sides in recent years, and their solid defence has tended to nullify the Brazilian attack whenever the teams have met.
While the absence of Leo Messi will leave them slightly short in terms of creative spark, they still look capable of breaking down Brazil at some point, and sealing their place at the 2026 World Cup with a victory.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Scaloni’s side the favourites
- HOME: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.4%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- AWAY: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Argentina vs Brazil odds, with an implied probability of 44.4% that they win this match.
They come into this game following a 1-0 win in Uruguay, with Thiago Almada scoring the game’s only goal.
Brazil beat Colombia 2-1 last time out, with Vinicius Junior scoring a 99th-minute winner.
For more from the upcoming internationals, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Low-scoring contests the norm
Our Argentina vs Brazil prediction suggests this will be another tight affair, and all of the last seven meetings have served up two or fewer goals, with only one team scoring.
Brazil have failed to score in any of their last four matches against Argentina, losing three of them. Their last goal against their rivals came in a 2-0 win at Copa America in 2019.
South America - World Cup Qualifying 22/11/23
Brazil
Argentina
South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/11/21
Argentina
Brazil
Copa America 11/07/21
Argentina
Brazil
International Match 15/11/19
Brazil
Argentina
Copa America 03/07/19
Brazil
Argentina
Argentina preview: Key men missing
Messi is not the only big name missing for the hosts, with Lautaro Martinez and Paulo Dybala also sidelined through injuries. Nico Gonzalez is suspended, but Rodrigo De Paul could be fit enough to return in midfield.
Predicted Lineup: E. Martinez (GK), Molina, Otamendi, Romero, Tagliafico, De Paul, Mac Allister, Fernandez, Almada, Alvarez & Simeone
South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25
W Brazil 1 Argentina 4 South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25
W Uruguay 0 Argentina 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24
W Peru 0 Argentina 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 14/11/24
L Paraguay 2 Argentina 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/10/24
W Bolivia 0 Argentina 6
Brazil preview: Visitors hit by suspensions and withdrawals
The away team will have to cope without the suspended Gabriel Magalhaes and Bruno Guimaraes. They’ve also lost Alisson and Gerson to injuries suffered against Colombia.
Predicted Lineup: Bento (GK), Vanderson, Marquinhos, Murillo, Arana, Joelinton, Andre, Rodrygo, Raphinha, Vinicius & Pedro
South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25
L Argentina 4 Brazil 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25
W Colombia 1 Brazil 2 South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24
D Uruguay 1 Brazil 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 14/11/24
D Venezuela 1 Brazil 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/10/24
W Peru 0 Brazil 4 
Player to watch – Julian Alvarez
The hosts will be looking to striker Julian Alvarez to fire them to another victory. The 2022 World Cup winner is having a good season with Atletico Madrid, scoring 23 times in all competitions for his new club.
Can Alvarez take club form onto the international stage?
The 25-year-old has only scored twice in 13 appearances in this World Cup qualifying campaign for Argentina. He has tended to relish the big stage in his career though, and averaged a goal every 113 minutes in the Champions League this term for Atleti.