Bournemouth vs Sunderland prediction, odds & betting tips – 28/02/2026
Can Andoni Iraola guide Bournemouth to victory? - Photo by IMAGO / Action Plus / Hongbo Chen
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Under 2.5 total goals

Both teams' last five games have averaged 2.4 goals per match.

Bournemouth will welcome Sunderland to the Vitality Stadium in the Premier League's Saturday lunchtime kick-off. The Cherries were held to a 0-0 draw away at West Ham last time out, while the Black Cats slumped to a disappointing 3-1 home defeat to Fulham.

As such, Bournemouth are in eighth place at the time of writing, with ambitions of breaking into the European spots come the end of the season. Sunderland are in 12th but are just two points behind them, in what is a very congested midtable.

Bournemouth vs Sunderland prediction: Cherries to charge to victory?

Key stats

  • Bournemouth are unbeaten in six games (W3, D3).
  • Sunderland have lost their last three away league matches.
  • Only one of the previous seven H2Hs have ended in a draw.

Correct score prediction: Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland

Bournemouth are in far superior form at the moment, and with home advantage on their side too, we are backing them to win here. Not only have Sunderland lost their last three league matches, but they have only scored once too, so we are not hopeful of their chances of scoring.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bournemouth favourites with bookmakers

  • HOME: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%
  • DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
  • AWAY: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

As shown by the implied probabilities, Bournemouth have been installed as the favourites with bookmakers to claim all three points on home soil. Interestingly, both a draw and a Sunderland win are separated by just 3.2%.

Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Today’s betting tips page, as well as our Premier League predictions & betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Mixed bag

Both teams have faced each other seven times before, and five this century. In those five H2Hs, both sides won twice and there was one draw, which suggests that this particular fixture could be a tougher one to predict than initially thought.

England Premier League 29/11/25

Sunderland

Sunderland

3
Bournemouth

Bournemouth

2

Bournemouth preview: No fresh concerns

At the time of writing, Bournemouth have reported no fresh concerns in their squad. Players like Justin Kluivert and Lewis Cook are still out injured.

Predicted lineup: Petrovic (GK); Jimenez, Hill, Senesi, Truffert; Scott, Adams; Rayan, Kroupi, Adli & Evanilson

Last five results:

  • 21/02/26: West Ham 0-0 Bournemouth (Premier League)
  • 10/02/26: Everton 1-2 Bournemouth (Premier League)
  • 07/02/26: Bournemouth 1-1 Aston Villa (Premier League)
  • 31/01/26: Wolverhampton Wanderers 0-2 Bournemouth (Premier League)
  • 24/01/26: Bournemouth 3-2 Liverpool (Premier League)

Sunderland preview: Triple injury blow

Sunderland suffered as many as three injuries against Fulham last time out, and all three are now set for a spell on the sidelines. Indeed, both Nordi Mukiele and Brian Brobbey are expected to be out for two or three weeks, while Jocelin Ta Bi faces a month out.

Predicted lineup: Roefs (GK); ume, Ballard, Alderete, Geertruida; Xhaka, Diarra; Sadiki, Le Fee, nguol & Isidor

Last five results:

  • 22/02/26: Sunderland 1-3 Fulham (Premier League)
  • 15/02/26: Oxford United 0-1 Sunderland (FA Cup)
  • 11/02/26: Sunderland 0-1 Liverpool (Premier League)
  • 07/02/26: Arsenal 3-0 Sunderland (Premier League)
  • 02/02/26: Sunderland 3-0 Burnley (Premier League)

Player to watch: Rayan

Rayan is a threat for Bournemouth – Photo by Icon Sport

Rayan has enjoyed a bright start to his Bournemouth career, and almost scored again at West Ham United last time out. The winger went on a mazy dribble before hitting the post, and will be hoping that he can go one better and find the net against Sunderland.

premier league prediction

Adam is a lead writer on Football Whispers. He is a big Arsenal fan, and also follows his local club Wealdstone, made famous by The Wealdstone Raider, who he has interviewed. Adam also follows darts, boxing, cricket and tennis, among many other sports.