Sparks will fly as two Rio de Janeiro-based sides battle for supremacy in the Brasileiro Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos on Wednesday, 15 October 2025.
View our free Botafogo vs Flamengo predictions below.
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Botafogo vs Flamengo predictions: A low-scoring affair
Key stats
- Fewer than three goals were scored in four of Botafogo’s last five games.
- Five of Flamengo’s last six league matches went below the 2.5-goal threshold.
- Botafogo are unbeaten in their last five home games across all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Botafogo 1-0 Flamengo
Flamengo are going through a rough patch, having won only one of their last five matches across all competitions. They have also struggled in front of goal, failing to score in three of their last four games.
On the other hand, Botafogo, who have no losses in their last five home games, are also unbeaten in the last three league encounters between these sides (W2, D1).
Keeping in mind that a couple of Flamengo players are suspended for this match, we are leaning toward Botafogo for the win.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Botafogo are up against it
- HOME: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
- DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.2%
- AWAY: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
A poor run of results has seen Flamengo lose their comfortable lead at the top of the Brasileiro Serie A table. With only one win in their last four league games, Filipe Luis’ troops have dropped to second and are trailing leaders Palmeiras by three points.
Botafogo, on the other hand, are fifth in the Brazilian top flight with a 12-7-8 win-draw-loss record. Despite claiming league and continental glory last season, the hosts are on course to go trophyless this campaign.
Ahead of this Rio de Janeiro derby, Flamengo are the expected winners at 21/20 (2.05). Teams with these odds generally have a 48.8% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Botafogo vs Flamengo predictions.
We have also established that both teams have been involved in their fair share of low-scoring games in recent weeks. Keeping in mind that only one goal was scored in their last two clashes, under 1.5 total goals has an appealing look at 2/1 (3.00). That one has a 33.3% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: An even contest
In the last five encounters between these sides across all competitions, both teams have two wins apiece with a draw between them. However, Flamengo are without a win in their last three clashes in the Brasileiro Serie A.
Brazil Campeonato Carioca 13/02/25
Flamengo
Botafogo
Brazil Supercopa 02/02/25
Botafogo
Flamengo
Brazil Serie A 18/08/24
Botafogo
Flamengo
Brazil Serie A 28/04/24
Flamengo
Botafogo
Brazil Campeonato Carioca 08/02/24
Flamengo
Botafogo
Botafogo preview: A few absentees
The reigning champions will enter this game with lots of injury problems, giving head coach Davide Ancelotti selection issues for this key clash. Kaio, Alex Telles and Bastos all have knee problems. Fernando Marcal has an adductor issue, and Nathan Ribeiro is yet to recover from a forearm fracture.
In addition, Danilo is sidelined with a hamstring injury, Neto is out due to thigh problems, Philippe Sampaio continues to have muscular pains, while Newton serves a one-game ban for accumulated yellow cards.
Predicted lineup: Linck (GK), Vitinho, Bahia, Barboza, Ricardo, Freitas, Allan, Rodriguez, Savarino, Jeffinho & Cabral.
Last five matches
- Internacional 2-0 Botafogo
- Botafogo 2-1 Bahia
- Fluminense 2-0 Botafogo
- Gremio 1-1 Botafogo
- Botafogo 1-0 Atletico-MG
Flamengo preview: Looking to improve their fortunes
As for Flamengo, Erick Pulgar has not recovered from a metatarsal fracture and remains out of this game, while Saul Niguez and Michael are doubtful with ankle injuries.
Under pressure to recover their footing in the title race, the visitors will have both former Real Madrid star Danilo and Wallace Yan unavailable through suspension, as both players were sent off in the recent defeat to Bahia.
Predicted lineup: Rossi (GK), Emerson, Cleiton, Ortiz, Lucas, Carrascal, Jorginho, De la Cruz, Araujo, De Arrascaeta & Pedro.
Last five matches
- Bahia 1-0 Flamengo
- Flamengo 0-0 Cruzeiro
- Corinthians 1-2 Flamengo
- Estudiantes 1-0 Flamengo (2-4 AP)
- Flamengo 1-1 Vasco
Player to watch: Giorgian De Arrascaeta
No player has as many goal contributions as Giorgian De Arrascaeta in the Brasileiro Serie A this season. The former Cruzeiro midfielder has 24 direct goal involvements in 24 league assignments and will be called upon to provide goals on Wednesday night.