Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli prediction, odds & betting tips – 17/01/2026
Nico Kovac instructing on the sidelines - IMAGO / Maximilian Koch
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First to score: Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund have scored first in each of their last six games. They have also scored first in eight of their past nine meetings against St Pauli

Borussia Dortmund will be looking to pick up back-to-back wins in the Bundesliga when they take on St Pauli on Saturday at Signal Iduna Park.

View our Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli predictions below.

Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli prediction: Easy home win

Key stats

  • There have been under 4.5 cards in five of Borussia Dortmund's last seven games.
  • Both teams have seen under 10.5 corners in four of their last five meetings.
  • St Pauli have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 15 meetings against Dortmund.

Correct score prediction: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 St Pauli

Nico Kovac's side are unbeaten in their last six games and have not lost against St Pauli in their previous three meetings.

St Pauli are without a win in their last three games. There have over 2.5 goals in six of the last seven meetings between the two sides.

Dortmund are second in the league, whereas St Pauli are desperate to escape relegation. We predict both sides to score, but Dortmund to pick up all three points.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Dortmund clear favourites

HOME: 1/3 (1.33) – 75.2%

DRAW: 17/4 (5.25) – 19%

AWAY: 15/2 (8.5) – 11.8%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Thus, we can see Borussia Dortmund are clear favourites for this game. They have registered six home wins and two draws, and bookmakers have priced them at 1/3 (1.33) with a 75.2% chance of winning.

The home side have been scoring first in eight of their last nine meetings against St Pauli, and have won the first half in six of their last eight meetings. Dortmund are priced as first-half winners at 4/5 (1.8).

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Dortmund hold advantage

Die Borussen have not lost against St Pauli in their previous three meetings. The last time the two sides met, it was a six-goal thriller.

Germany Bundesliga I 23/08/25

St Pauli

St Pauli

3
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

3

Germany Bundesliga I 01/03/25

St Pauli

St Pauli

0
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

2

Germany Bundesliga I 18/10/24

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

2
St Pauli

St Pauli

1

Germany DFB Pokal 18/01/22

St Pauli

St Pauli

2
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

1

Borussia Dortmund preview: Building momentum

Bayern Munich are operating in a different league at the moment, and at best, Dortmund can do is keep winning and try to close the gap if possible.

They have a mostly fit squad to choose from this weekend, but Aaron Anselmino is out with a muscle injury.

Predicted lineups: Kobel (GK), Sule, Anton, Schlotterbeck, Couto, Sabitzer, Nmecha, Ryerson, Beier, Brandt & Silva

Last five fixtures

  • Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Werder Bremen
  • Eintracht Frankfurt 3–3 Borussia Dortmund
  • Borussia Dortmund 2–0 B. Monchengladbach
  • Freiburg 1–1 Borussia Dortmund
  • Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Bodo/Glimt

St Pauli preview: Can they pick up a shock result?

Kiezkicker have lost 10 of their 16 league games this season, and they need points to stay clear of the relegation zone.

The visitors will be without Jackson Irvine and the attack-minded Danel Sinani with respective foot and calf injuries, while Connor Metcalfe is also a doubt.

Predicted lineups: Vasilj (GK), Dzwigala, Wahl, Mets, Pyrka, Fujita, Sands, Smith, Oppie, Ceesay & Lage

Last five fixtures

  • Wolfsburg 2-1 St Pauli
  • St Pauli 0-0 Werder Bremen
  • Mainz 0-0 St Pauli
  • St Pauli 2-1 Heidenheim
  • FC Koln 1-1 St Pauli

Player to watch: Nico Schlotterbeck

Schlotterbeck joined Dortmund in the summer of 2022, and he has gradually established himself as a key player for the club.

This season, the centre-back has made 13 starts in the Bundesliga, scoring two goals, and several top clubs are reportedly vying for his signature.

Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli
Nico Schlotterbeck looks on ahead of Dortmund game – photo by IMAGO / Maximilian Koch

Saikat is a freelance Sports Journalist with over ten years of experience covering football (and other sports) for various publications including GRV Media, Rocket Sports Network, Breaking Media, and Football Whispers. Saikat also has a keen interest in F1, cricket, and tennis and has taken face to face interviews of footballers such as Emile Heskey and Robbie Fowler.